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The 10 counties that will decide the 2020 election
The Hill ^ | 09/04/19 | Reid Wilson

Posted on 09/04/2019 10:46:10 AM PDT by yesthatjallen

Three years after a presidential election that came down to 77,000 votes in three Midwestern battlegrounds, Democrats and Republicans are eyeing a much larger battlefield ahead of the 2020 contests, one that stretches from the picturesque coastline of rural Maine to the high desert of Arizona.

Both President Trump’s campaign and the Democrats vying to replace him are scrutinizing a political map in flux, one in which attitudes and alignments are shifting and new regions are coming into play.As many as a dozen states could be up for grabs next year as economic and international uncertainty pairs with a cauldron of domestic discontent in government.

SNIP

Erie County, Pa.

Sauk County, Wis.

Muskegon County, Mich.

Maricopa County, Ariz.

Tarrant County, Texas

New Hanover County, N.C.

Peach County, Ga.

Washington County, Minn.

Hillsborough County, N.H.

Lincoln County, Maine



TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Arizona; US: Georgia; US: Maine; US: Michigan; US: Minnesota; US: New Hampshire; US: North Carolina; US: Pennsylvania; US: Texas; US: Wisconsin
KEYWORDS: 2020; 2020election; 2020swingstates; arizona; counties; countieslist; dnctalkingpoint; dnctalkingpoints; election; election2020; electoralcollege; eriecounty; faithlesselectors; georgia; hillsboroughcounty; lincolncounty; maine; maricopacounty; mediawingofthednc; michigan; minnesota; muskegoncounty; nationalpopularvote; newhampshire; newhanovercounty; northcarolina; npv; partisanmediashills; peachcounty; pennsylvania; presstitutes; reidwilson; saukcounty; smearmachine; tarrantcounty; texas; thehill; thehillary; theshill; trump2020; washingtoncounty; wisconsin

1 posted on 09/04/2019 10:46:10 AM PDT by yesthatjallen
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To: yesthatjallen

I wonder what they’ll say if Trump wins in a landslide?


2 posted on 09/04/2019 10:48:39 AM PDT by 1Old Pro
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To: yesthatjallen

The MSM can say whatever they like in articles of this type. No one ever checks on them after the election, they’re forgotten almost immediately. Just a waste of bandwidth. Reid Wilson has to justify his existence, so here we are.


3 posted on 09/04/2019 10:51:47 AM PDT by Steely Tom ([Seth Rich] == [the Democrat's John Dean])
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To: yesthatjallen

My county (Westmoreland, Pennsylvania) provided Trump with 128% of the vote margin he needed to win Pennsylvania and secure 270. In 1984, Mondale narrowly carried it during Reagan’s 49 state landslide.


4 posted on 09/04/2019 10:59:29 AM PDT by Vigilanteman (The politicized state destroys aspects of civil society, human kindness and private charity.)
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To: yesthatjallen

I agree with you on Washington County.

It’s a GOP-leaning suburb with a few pockets of Democrats - especially in the southern part.

But the biggest problem is that some of the suburbs like Stillwater have a strong population of easily persuaded soccer moms and millennial snots who don’t have a problem voting Democrat.

If Trump can win this county (even narrowly), he has a chance of carrying Minnesota. If not, it’ll likely be another close loss like in 2016.


5 posted on 09/04/2019 10:59:48 AM PDT by MplsSteve
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To: MplsSteve

I live in Washington County, Minnesota.

It’ll be nice to have my vote finally count for once.


6 posted on 09/04/2019 11:06:16 AM PDT by toast
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To: yesthatjallen

Well then cancel elections in all but these counties! If the headline is true then why bother with the others?


7 posted on 09/04/2019 11:07:42 AM PDT by I want the USA back (The further a society drifts from the truth, the more it will hate those who speak it. Orwell.)
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To: yesthatjallen

This is the reason we have the Electoral College.


8 posted on 09/04/2019 11:08:23 AM PDT by Meatspace
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To: yesthatjallen

Erie County hardly even counts for anything in Pennsylvania elections. I have a hard time seeing why its a bellwether for Trump.


9 posted on 09/04/2019 11:23:16 AM PDT by Buckeye McFrog (Patrick Henry would have been an anti-vaxxer.)
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To: I want the USA back

Totally agree with you FRiend. Lovely as the weather is here in California, it is irritating to watch my vote being canceled out by the millions in LA and SanFran every election.


10 posted on 09/04/2019 11:23:58 AM PDT by FormerFRLurker (Keep calm and vote your conscience.)
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To: Buckeye McFrog

Turnout is everything.

I saw a detailed study once that said ALL elections are decided by GOP turnout.

It said that Democrat turnout is nearly a constant. So the winner depends on if more or less GOP voters turn up at the polls.

So Erie PA could be a bellwether because it has a high population of registers GOP, and if they all show up then the GOP will win.


11 posted on 09/04/2019 11:25:53 AM PDT by Mr. K (No consequence of repealing obamacare is worse than obamacare itself.)
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To: yesthatjallen

The most important counties are the deeply democrat ones where they can cheat and add millions of illegal votes - ie Broward FL etc


12 posted on 09/04/2019 11:36:25 AM PDT by Squidpup ("Fight the Good Fight of Faith")
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To: Mr. K

My fear is the opposite. That the Democrats will flush a huge turnout of gibmedats by promising to forgive everyone’s medical and student debts.


13 posted on 09/04/2019 11:48:43 AM PDT by Buckeye McFrog (Patrick Henry would have been an anti-vaxxer.)
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To: yesthatjallen

Santa Clara County, California would like to determine the outcome of the election.


14 posted on 09/04/2019 11:53:07 AM PDT by Disambiguator (Keepin' it analog.)
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To: yesthatjallen

I would add the Iron Range in Northern MN.
Normally hard core Union vote fabricator.
Perhaps not in 2020


15 posted on 09/04/2019 12:26:02 PM PDT by Zathras
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To: yesthatjallen

Huh. Nothing from Ohio and Florida. If Trump takes those two, he’ll be hard to beat regardless of the others. But he’ll take WI, MI, and PA, and maybe CO and AZ too.


16 posted on 09/04/2019 12:29:16 PM PDT by Forgiven_Sinner (Seek you first the kingdom of God, and all things will be given to you.)
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To: Buckeye McFrog

Erie is loaded with ethnic Democrat voters with strong religious backgrounds -—Roman Catholic, Greek Orthodox, Russian Orthodox, etc.

They are not crazy about radical socialism and the accompanying attacks on traditional values.

Erie County will be a good indicator of just how far left the Dems can go without hemorrhaging votes.


17 posted on 09/04/2019 1:34:31 PM PDT by Walrus ("I can't spare this (Trump). He fights.")
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To: Mr. K

Not to be snarky, but what about the Democratic Dead votes, ballot harvesting, and illegal voting?


18 posted on 09/04/2019 2:11:39 PM PDT by Jan_Sobieski (Sanctification)
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To: AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Arthur Wildfire! March; Berosus; Bockscar; cardinal4; ColdOne; ...
Thanks yesthatjallen. And nah.

19 posted on 09/04/2019 10:27:52 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (Imagine an imaginary menagerie manager imagining managing an imaginary menagerie.)
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To: Walrus

All the Democrat presidential candidates have gone FAR, FAR LEFT. There will be no turning back. As a one time Democrat it took me several years to see through them, this was back 40 years ago and I figured that other Democrats would grow and learn as I did, well, as I said it has been forty years! What the H is the matter with them?

I have been racking my brains for forty years trying to understand why people vote the way they do. It seems to me that a big part of the problem is that most people are not interested in politics enough to do some digging into the subject. Also there are family and group patterns of voting and the constant constant brainwashing of the media and school systems.


20 posted on 09/06/2019 4:37:37 PM PDT by cradle of freedom (Why are they called globalists? Because they want the whole world!)
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