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To: MplsSteve

True landfall near Emerald Isle, NC Lower Outer Banks or down to Myrtle Beach.

This will be the case if the storm “pauses” in North-Mid Center of the Bahamas— who will get plastered in Eleuthra and Nassau— taking max winds at 2 O’Clock position in the counterclockwise wind rotation (the worst place to be in a hurricane in this hemisphere— 2 O’Clock position, with storm path direction being at 12 “Noon” on the circle of rotation). After the “pause” or slowdown— the upper level Low that was drawing it West will move away over Florida Bay , Florida Straits and the Keys- and disconnect the “low”— handing it off as it were to the prominent descending Low coming down all the way from New England, matched in the West with a huge High area/trough. Will pull it North from where ever it finally “pauses”-— IF it does.

Praying for the pause to occur well out to sea/in the unfortunate but highly experienced Bahamas— and thus spare the entire FL Peninsula. Tides will be high and flooding possible but not a CAT 4 waltzing up the coast. This would be best scenario.


531 posted on 08/30/2019 1:47:15 PM PDT by John S Mosby (Sic Semper Tyrannis)
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To: John S Mosby
She's scary, but she's beautiful.


532 posted on 08/30/2019 1:48:57 PM PDT by numberonepal (WWG1WGA)
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To: John S Mosby

I’ve spent a fair amount of time out on the Outer Banks of NC, and have found Windfinder.com to be accurate and useful, plus it’s fun to play with, the different tools plus the visual representation is very helpful.

It shows a sort of glancing landfall around Jupiter, FL then running right up the coast and into the warm sounds of NC. I’ve got it set on 9/3 in the following link, but you can advance it several more days, or go back to current time, whatever you prefer:

https://www.windfinder.com/#5/34.4703/-87.9126/2019-09-04T00:00Z


539 posted on 08/30/2019 2:03:41 PM PDT by RegulatorCountry
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To: John S Mosby

Looks like you were right.


708 posted on 08/31/2019 8:59:31 AM PDT by crusty old prospector
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