Hurricane Dorian Live Thread

NHC/NOAA ^ | 28 August 2019 | NHC/NOAA

[PJ-Comix]

With the latest projections perhaps I will be live streaming Dorian from Broward County. Yesterday it looked like it would be well north of me but now much closer. In fact one projection (the one furthest south) shows it going right over me.

Anyway, if I do live stream, I have a nice birds eye view from my upstairs window.

[PJ-Comix]

With the latest projections perhaps I will be live streaming Dorian from Broward County. Yesterday it looked like it would be well north of me but now much closer. In fact one projection (the one furthest south) shows it going right over me.

Anyway, if I do live stream, I have a nice birds eye view from my upstairs window.

[rodguy911]

thanks very much makes good sense.

[rodguy911]

gotcha still a lot of unpredictableness in these storms.

[grania]

Do the forecasters know what they’re talking about? In the past few days, that storm went quite a bit north of what was predicted. If I were guessing, my guess wouldn’t be that it turns due west for a direct FL hit. But I know nothing, so I’m probably wrong.

[rodguy911]

navy has a good record down here.

[AF_Blue]

They're also going to turn it around and put it back in the communities. I've weathered (pun intended) several hurricanes in NW FL, and after every one, Publix had trucked out bottled water and ice from the Jacksonville distribution center and was giving it away. This was before they had a retail presence in the area.

[Peter ODonnell]

Take it from somebody used to looking at model guidance, there is no real certainty on this outcome, anything could happen and nothing is off the table (for FL, gulf coast, or southeast US). Can’t blame the forecasters, just too much spread in guidance. Some sort of clarity maybe by Saturday, by which time perhaps a 48h window for response. I wouldn’t advise anyone in FL to wait around, evacuation could be very tricky once the details become more obvious.

[1Old Pro]

Some sort of clarity maybe by Saturday, by which time perhaps a 48h window for response

That's enough time to drive to California.

[toldyou]

“Time to start convincing my sister to leave her trailer just west of Orlando.”

I have followed the news for deaths and injuries after every hurricane. It seems like trees falling on people and those living in trailers are the most reported.

By the way, I’m sure you know that Governor Abbott of Texas is in a wheelchair. I was curious and researched what happened. He was walking or running outside after a Texas storm when he was 26 years old and in law school. A large tree branch fell on him, and he’s been paralyzed ever since.

Your sister should seek out her nearest hurricane shelter in her town. Take a pillow/blanket/sleeping bag, a little suitcase with clothes, and her meds with her.

[HotHunt]

My cattle farm is in north central Florida, several miles outside a small town call Hawthorne. Where the red X is on this map.

[HotHunt]

Roger that. Thanks.

[dirtboy]

[dirtboy]

[SoFloFreeper]

that looks like models are pushing Dorian a wee bit more north of Lake Okeechobee. Do you concur?

[NautiNurse]

Dorian forecast to intensify during the next couple of days...

Summary Of 500 PM AST...Information
----------------------------------------------
Location...About 330 MI E of the Southeastern Bahamas
Max Sustained Winds...85 MPH...
Moving...NW at 13 MPH...
Minimum Pressure...986 MB...

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 mi.

On/Off Hurricane List Mash Here-->

[numberonepal]

GFS - 99 hrs (Vero Beach)
GFS Legacy - 99 hrs (Jupiter)
CMC - 117 hrs (Jupiter)
NAVGEM - 108 hrs (WPB)
ICON - 108 hrs (Ft Laud)
HWRF - 96 hrs (Melbourne)
HMON - 102 hrs (Miami)
NAM - 84 hrs (WPB)
UKMET - 84 hrs (WPB)
Euro - 144 hrs (WPB)

[M Kehoe]

Bttt.

5.56mm

[dirtboy]

[thesearethetimes...]

That one is a nightmare.