Posted on 08/14/2019 7:11:42 AM PDT by Berlin_Freeper
Cavuto...is talking about it [recession] MORE now.
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I wouldn’t know. I stopped listening to him a long ago. He’s an anti-Trump whiner.
If government debt was truly worrisome to investors, then they’d demand HIGHER interest rates on long-term debt. What’s happening here is the exact opposite.
Aargh! Here we go again.
Nobody but you calculates productivity that way so your post doesnt really have any meaning not would your point have any meaningful affect on the economy.
Working on my second retirement check. Currently going with a balance / asset allocation for the 401K with retirement date of 2030. I am thinking 10 years is enough recover from any 2008 repeats...
My accountant is concern I will get hit with more taxes when I start drawing my SS. He mention I should open a 401 Roth account to lower those taxes in the future. I will make this investment a low risk.
The only issue I really have with the markets is the US debt. I guess if the debt catches up with the USA, I have a whole lot more important things (making sure I am debt free with house paid off) to worry about then my investments.
That’s when Cavuto and I parted compny. Charles Paine is The Man now.
I saw Denmark at zero the other day and thought that very weird.
They aim to destroy Trump one way or the other..it be calling him racist against Hispanic or crashing the economy, with the help of the EU specially china, the aim to do it by hook or crook!! They are on a roll and it only will intensify to a level we’ve yet to see!!! Trump was polling 33% with Hispanic but lost 10% dropped to 22 since the El Paso shooting. Unfortunately the Hispanic community is drinking the koolaid! Tonight’s memorial service for the victims is going to make your blood boil!! This is going to be a crucify and burn President Trump to the stake!! I pray the mediaVOMITS televise it so the American people can see the vitriol coming from these nasty ugly representatives!! I WILL PRAY It TURNS INTO ANOTHER WELLSTONE SPECTACLE!! It’s not about the victims family or bring unity it’s about destroying us and the president!! It’s gonna be UGLY!!
400 points = 1.5%
“Tumbles”???
The tiny and shrinking part of my portfolio which I use for speculation buys Bear ETFs and Gold on up days and sells them on days like today.
The conventional wisdom is you can’t beat buy & hold in the long run. Just wondering if this has been the case for you.
Really?
Go back and read my first post on this thread again. "My" way of calculating productivity is ingrained in our GDP calculations ... even if it is not calculated as a separate measure.
There's a reason why GDP growth has been so stagnant for years in the U.S. -- and it's precisely the "productivity" factor I described.
Interesting chart there. But I would like to see something that compares the stock markets p/e to bond rates.
Because lets say a 10-year Treasury bond is paying 5%. Thats a safe haven from an inflated stock market. But such bonds are now paying less than 2%. Thats not a very attractive alternative.
So I guess what Im saying is that an inflated stock market might have quite a ways to go if there are no other alternatives.
If there are strong signs that the economy is starting to slow down those investors will start to worry about the effect on tax receipts and the government’s ability to service its long term debts. The ratings services may have something to say about this.
But to me the larger question is what happens to the massive debt overhang when the economy does start to slow down?
Bill Maher feels vindicated. His wish may come true after all.
Other ratings services may rate bonds based on the probability of retaining value over time -- which includes both default risk AND inflation risk. These services may give U.S. Treasury bonds something less than the highest rating for this reason, but even in this case they'd have to look carefully and see if DEFLATION is actually a bigger threat over the long term.
But to me the larger question is what happens to the massive debt overhang when the economy does start to slow down?
For the U.S. government, I believe the long-term strategy is to simply expand the investor base by imposing banking systems tied to the U.S. dollar all over the world. That's probably what is behind every stupid military campaign we've fought in the last 25+ years.
Now cut welfare for illegals and watch it jump!
Should I post what it was during Obama's years?
The only years there has been no growth in GDP since 1990 were 2008 and 2009.
The ratings services may have nothing to say about it at all. Standard & Poor’s, for example, rates bonds based on the ability of the bond holder to repay future obligations.
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Have nothing to say? Standard & Poor’s did in fact downgrade the United States’ credit rating in August of 2011.
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