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China's Central Bank Intervenes and Saves The Day, Beats Back The Yuan Haters
Forbes ^ | 08/06/2019 | Kenneth Rapoza

Posted on 08/06/2019 2:24:30 PM PDT by SeekAndFind

As expected, China's central bank came in today to stop the bloodletting in the markets following Monday's shocking after-market announcement by the Treasury Department that the Bank was manipulating the dollar-yuan exchange rate.

Animal spirits went into near-giddyness in the market after hours Monday, thinking Treasury would deliver a blow to China assets this morning.

China ended up doing better than expected, thanks in part to the actions of the central bank, led by Yi Gang.

The People's Bank of China announced on Tuesday that it would provide some stability in the coming weeks to the yuan. They'll take about 30 billion yuan ($4.2 billion) out of the market in Hong Kong on Aug. 14, they said. The move is designed to make the yuan "scarce", giving it a chance to strengthen against the dollar. Which it did on Tuesday morning, irking last night's short sellers.

The yuan went from 7.05 at yesterday's close to 7.02 early this morning. It would not be surprising to see it fall back below 7 this month on the central bank's currency moves, though for how long is anybody's guess. The market is mostly short yuan, with economists like Bill Adams from PNC Financial Services in Pittsburgh forecasting a 7.10 exchange rate before the end of the year.

China's major stock indexes all closed lower, but nothing out of the ordinary. Shanghai was down 1.55%, Shenzhen was down by around 1.4% and the ChiNext was down 1.56%. The Hang Seng fell just 0.67%.

(Excerpt) Read more at forbes.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: centralbank; china; devaluation; yuan

1 posted on 08/06/2019 2:24:30 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

Yuan more time for currency ping-pong.
Now it’s our serve.


2 posted on 08/06/2019 2:27:55 PM PDT by lee martell
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To: lee martell

If Trump tells them “you’ve just made your last shipment to Walmart” the place breaks out in full-on bloody revolution six weeks later.


3 posted on 08/06/2019 2:35:47 PM PDT by Buckeye McFrog (Patrick Henry would have been an anti-vaxxer.)
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To: Buckeye McFrog

What happens to WalMart after that?


4 posted on 08/06/2019 2:44:43 PM PDT by SeekAndFind (look at Michigan, it will)
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To: Buckeye McFrog

That, I would love to see.
Of course, the media would immediately take China’s side.
“The President continues to bully the downtrodden working class people of China!”


5 posted on 08/06/2019 2:48:31 PM PDT by lee martell
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To: SeekAndFind
"What happens to WalMart after that?"

They are forced to honor Sam Walton's dreams.


6 posted on 08/06/2019 2:48:58 PM PDT by DannyTN
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To: SeekAndFind

So China devalues their currency in a big way and the market crashes. Then they back off a bit and there is a rebound and we are supposed to cheer about how wonderful it was? That reminds me of a Clinton move in the 90s.

Personally, I think China expected Trump to flinch and he didn’t. In the long run, it will hurt China far more that it will hurt us. They are playing with a different kind of president now.


7 posted on 08/06/2019 2:51:24 PM PDT by Dutch Boy
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To: Buckeye McFrog

Embargo -the ultimate tariff.

US companies which outsource to China got the message to “get out of China”. They’ve been handed a 10-25% incentive to move their outsourced manufacturing to another country other than China.

China is not a friend of free market capitalism or the community of nations. Targeted tariffs make perfect sense.


8 posted on 08/06/2019 3:00:03 PM PDT by Justa
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To: Dutch Boy

There are many reasons the yuan is depreciating and the Central Bank of China can do only so much to prop it.Iran is especially vulnerable to yuan depreciation. They are forced to accept yuan as payment for whatever oil they sell to China. If China paid in dollars, the American imposed sanctions would be violated which would subject Chinese banks and companies to penalties. The Iranians use the yuan to import premium priced food, clothes and shoes from China. By using the yuan, the Chinese are getting a big discount on prevailing world oil prices and Iran is taking a hit.


9 posted on 08/06/2019 3:08:12 PM PDT by allendale (.)
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To: allendale

“By using the yuan, the Chinese are getting a big discount on prevailing world oil prices...”

How so? If the yuan is devalued vs. the dollar and world oil is priced in dollars the Chinese have to pay more yuan to make the same dollar priced purchase of oil.


10 posted on 08/06/2019 3:14:53 PM PDT by Justa
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To: All

This was just a convenient opportunity for Soros and the Chicoms to calibrate their October Surprise for next year.


11 posted on 08/06/2019 3:18:25 PM PDT by FirstFlaBn
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To: allendale

From what I have read/heard the Chinese central bank has pretty much full control of the value of the Yuan vs. other currencies. Unlike Western currencies trading in free markets.


12 posted on 08/06/2019 3:23:54 PM PDT by Drago
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To: Drago

Here’s my prediction on how China can signal that it is serious about reversing the trade war escalation without appearing to do anything overt that would lose face.

Somewhere buried in the pages of a provincial Chinese newspaper a story appears that describes a major bust of an illegal fentanyl exporter with quotes from the local party official that they will be dealt with severely.

Trump sees this and calls Xi to thank him at which point he offers to delay the 10% tariffs temporarily and personally look deeper into the Huawei technology ban. Xi denies that he had anything to do with the bust (actually not a lie since it would have been ordered by the Party) and portrays this as Trump blinking first to Chinese media before Trump goes public. Xi proposes to send his trade reps to Washington to resume talks now that Trump has come to his senses.

The trade talks will not resume in earnest until the Chinese ask to send a delegation back to Washington. Trump can always activate the 10% tariff at any time since it would be contingent on further trade talk progress.


13 posted on 08/06/2019 4:09:34 PM PDT by Dave Wright
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To: SeekAndFind

China takes shot at Trump, hits own foot.


14 posted on 08/06/2019 4:16:49 PM PDT by AmusedBystander (The philosophy of the school room in one generation will be the philosophy of government in the next)
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To: SeekAndFind
The yuan went from 7.05 at yesterday's close to 7.02 early this morning. It would not be surprising to see it fall back below 7 this month

So....china blinked. Lost face as it were....

15 posted on 08/06/2019 4:29:47 PM PDT by Sirius Lee (“They are openly planning to murder you. Have a plan to prevent that.”)
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To: SeekAndFind
So Forbes is rooting for communists? Boy, have they lost their way.
16 posted on 08/06/2019 4:48:48 PM PDT by Major Matt Mason (If the "Q Team" has it all, what are they waiting for?)
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To: Dave Wright

Yeah, that could be one “save face” option for China...will have to wait & see I guess.


17 posted on 08/06/2019 5:43:49 PM PDT by Drago
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To: SeekAndFind

They are losing their ability to keep the Yuan afloat.
They didn’t even get it back above 7.
They will fail completely soon enough and it will collapse.

#Winning


18 posted on 08/06/2019 5:59:37 PM PDT by Farcesensitive
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To: Major Matt Mason

Commies root for Commies.


19 posted on 08/07/2019 5:43:24 AM PDT by cowboyusa (America Cowboy Up)
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To: Drago

Saving face is itself a face saving term. What saving face really means is telling a lie to buy time. Lying is not ok, ever. Anyone attempting to lie should be called out and embarrassed even further. It’s time for China culture to grow up. Really if you think of most people in Asia as children you wouldn’t be far off the mark.


20 posted on 08/07/2019 7:13:33 AM PDT by Reeses (A journey of a thousand miles begins with a government pat down.)
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