[Vaden]

It’s close to the coast. I doubt if it has time to strengthen into a major hurricane but stranger things have happened. Last year Michael strengthened rapidly but it had more time and was farther from the shore than this is.

Praying it doesn’t strengthen much.

[Mouton]

Michael was in the absolute best situation for it to develop into a catastrophe storm. All those parameters are not present this time. Bastardi said to day he expects a cat 1-2 storm unless it goes to the far west GOM, unlikely, where it could become a 3. I'd like to see a category zero at most. The average of the best models has it landing around 90.8 west 29.2 north. The SHIP intensity model shows it at just over minimum cat 1 at its max. A potent storm but not a disaster one.