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Election model that predicted 2018 blue wave has Trump losing, liberal voters ‘terrified’
Washington Examiner ^
| 07/01/19
| Paul Bedard
Posted on 07/01/2019 8:29:04 PM PDT by lasereye
click here to read article
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To: mo
Yes between voter fraud and Mueller Russia revving up its a wonder we didnt lose more seats. Now that the Mueller stuff is over hopefully that will bring Trump swing voters back in the fold and increase turnout.
To: Mr Ramsbotham
What about moderates and conservatives who were very doubtful about Trump in 2016 but now that he has a clear record to run on will vote for him in droves in 2020?
She believes they’re fewer than the Democrats who stayed home in 2016.
She says: Bases decide elections. The Dem base is bigger. If they are motivated, they win.
62
posted on
07/01/2019 9:20:16 PM PDT
by
TTFX
To: lasereye
Trumps 2016 path to the White House was the political equivalent of getting dealt a Royal Flush in poker, said Bitecofer. Her prediction in 2018 was a Royal Flush in Spades. She'll never repeat.
To: NELSON111
Not that I disagree at all with your postulation. However, I am curious as to which of the 25 or so Democrats running isn’t “God awful”, in your opinion?
They have all moved so far to the fringe left in the primary season, how will one of them move back towards the center and be believable?
64
posted on
07/01/2019 9:21:50 PM PDT
by
ImpBill
(A Party-less little "L" libertarian. Death Before Dishonor!)
To: lasereye
Republicans added in the senate
2018 was a mixed bag. Many of the dems that won did so as moderates. They wont have that claim with what the dems are doing to themselves
We need to turn out our vote
65
posted on
07/01/2019 9:23:14 PM PDT
by
Nifster
(I see puppy dogs in the clouds)
To: lasereye
“Bitecofer” what An unfortunate name
66
posted on
07/01/2019 9:23:21 PM PDT
by
Vendome
(I've Gotta Be Me https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BB0ndRzaz2o)
To: lasereye
67
posted on
07/01/2019 9:27:02 PM PDT
by
mylife
(The Roar Of The Masses Could Be Farts)
To: tennmountainman
Yep, and the GOP fielded either very weak replacements or conceded districts, offering no opposition...
68
posted on
07/01/2019 9:30:30 PM PDT
by
Vendome
(I've Gotta Be Me https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BB0ndRzaz2o)
To: tennmountainman
Don't forget that new bullsh*t law in California that allows anyone to collect "votes" and turn them in at the polling station. We lost ten seats because of people showing up with huge loads of ballots being turned in at polling stations.
That is some bullsh*t.
Look up "Ballot Harvesting."
69
posted on
07/01/2019 9:32:41 PM PDT
by
DiogenesLamp
("of parents owing allegiance to no oither sovereignty.")
To: lasereye
Did her model for 40+ seat gain include California continuing to count found votes for weeks until they had the results they wanted?
70
posted on
07/01/2019 9:35:00 PM PDT
by
Styria
To: kiryandil
I like the way you think. May I add one thing. We are being sabotaged by a group of obsessed, mentally deranged reprobates and have been since the day of Trump's election. PAYBACKS ARE HELL, especially from an enemy without mental problems. We will make them regret that they ever won the 2020 election as well ever having been born. What laws they pass will be the path to their own demise. Their turn at bat will be about as satisfying as coitus interruptus.
71
posted on
07/01/2019 9:35:39 PM PDT
by
scottiemom
(As a retired Texas public school teacher, I highly recommend private school.)
To: scottiemom
They had the choice not to start it.
Now it's on.
72
posted on
07/01/2019 9:37:54 PM PDT
by
kiryandil
(Never pick a fight with an angry beehive)
To: ElkGroveDan
After their one-time amazing feat they tend to return to the accuracy of the background noise and confusion
Like one-trick ponies in the stock market. Regression toward the mean. Outliers are never repeated.
73
posted on
07/01/2019 9:39:27 PM PDT
by
steve86
(Prophecies of Maelmhaedhoc O'Morgair (Latin form: Malachy))
To: TTFX; Mr Ramsbotham
The Dem base and the Pubbie base are about the same size.
It's the conservatives that make the difference - that, and how hard the Dems cheat on the Big City Plantations.
They phoned in the cheat in PA and MI during the 2016 election.
74
posted on
07/01/2019 9:42:28 PM PDT
by
kiryandil
(Never pick a fight with an angry beehive)
To: lasereye
This is not statistics its some computer model
The model utilizes analytical, inferential and predictive statistics. Thats all it is, really.
75
posted on
07/01/2019 9:45:36 PM PDT
by
steve86
(Prophecies of Maelmhaedhoc O'Morgair (Latin form: Malachy))
To: R_Kangel
We don't have to accept a "victory" for their side.
They've set the precedent.
76
posted on
07/01/2019 9:46:08 PM PDT
by
kiryandil
(Never pick a fight with an angry beehive)
To: Williams
It was a blue ballot harvesting/stuffing/fraud wave.
To: lasereye
Very practical.
I do think it overstates the media’s power too much.
But maybe not.
78
posted on
07/01/2019 9:50:38 PM PDT
by
mrsmith
(Dumb sluts: Lifeblood of the Media, Backbone of the Democrat/RINO Party!)
To: lasereye
79
posted on
07/01/2019 9:53:39 PM PDT
by
thoughtomator
(The Clinton Coup attempt was a worse attack on the USA than was 9/11)
To: lasereye
Why do you scare yourselves with this hogwash?
First of all NO ONE can predict the future.
Why? Because it hasn’t happened yet.
Trump 2020 in a LANDSLIDE! Don’t doubt it for a second, chicken littles.
80
posted on
07/01/2019 10:00:46 PM PDT
by
faucetman
(Just the facts, ma'am, Just the facts)
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