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With A Pinch Of Salt: Endless Failure Of Climate Doomsday Tales
Townhall.com ^ | June 23, 2019 | Vijay Jayaraj

Posted on 06/23/2019 4:31:33 AM PDT by Kaslin

On June 29, 2017, the Dailymail in UK ran an article headlined “Four years to save the Earth: 2020 is the deadline to avert climate catastrophe, experts claim in chilling commentary.”

Two years later and halfway to deadline, the earth has not changed much. If anything, the El Niño of the 2016-17 season gave way for much cooler temperatures across the globe and the past two years have been colder than 2016.

This is just one of the many climate doomsday news articles that gets published in our mainstream news media every single day.

How seriously should we treat the climate doomsday claims?

In mid-2000s “Arctic sea ice melting” became the buzz word and the star of the climate apocalypse movement. Since then, the melting of Arctic sea ice became the central theme of climate doomsday theories.

In 2007, news media across the globe warned that the Arctic would soon be ice-free because of the excessive melting from global warming. It came on the heels of Al Gore’sAn Inconvenient Truth, a 2016 documentary on how global warming is melting Arctic ice and killing Polar bears.

Arctic summers ice-free 'by 2013,” was a BBC headline. The article justified its claim by referring to the modelling forecasts of climate scientists. It read, “using supercomputers to crunch through possible future outcomes has become a standard part of climate science in recent years … modelling studies indicate northern polar waters could be ice-free in summers within just 5-6 years.”

But instead of disappearing, the Arctic sea ice grew. The 2013 minimal sea ice extent in the Arctic outgrew the 2012 levels. The ice-free predictions have been proven to be wrong and extremely inaccurate. The minimal sea ice extent today (2018) is much higher than that of 2012.

This was not the only case where the computer models failed in their predictions.

During the past 19 years, the computer climate models used to forecast global temperatures failed to predict the temperature levels accurately. Even worse, the models failed to capture the apparent slowdown in the warming of earth.

These are the very same models that are currently being used to justify climate policies like the Paris agreement. With a two-decade record of dismal failure in predicting temperatures, the model outputs can hardly be trusted as valid indicators of future climate.

Other climate gaffes include the claims about the worsening of extreme weather events due to climate change. Contrary to popular belief, there has been no observable increase in extreme weather events.

In the U.S., tornado activity was at its record low in 2018 and the severity of wildfire has actually declined. Studies also indicate that the global area burned by wildfire has declined during the past few decades.

And these are just the incompetency of doomsayer’s claims with the current state of climate. If we contextualize the present-day climate in comparison to the climate during the past 10,000 years, then most of the doomsday theories lose their sting.

Arctic sea ice, for example, is at one of its highest levels in the Holocene (last 10,000 years). The temperature levels have constantly swung in the past, including the well-studied two warm periods (Roman and Medieval) and one cold period (Little Ice Age) in the past 2000 years.

More surprisingly, throughout the history, the atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) concentration levels followed the temperature levels and not vice versa. In other words, atmospheric CO2 concentration were not the primary drivers of the rise in temperatures (whenever they occurred).

This was reflected in the temperature measurements between 2000 and 2018, when the exponential increase in atmospheric CO2 concentration failed to cause a rise in global temperature levels.

It is a gentle reminder that we should take the doomsday claims with a pinch of salt. Neither are they scientifically accurate nor are they put through rigorous scrutiny before being disseminated to the masses.


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Editorial
KEYWORDS: 2020election; climate; climatechange; election2020; fraud; globalwarminghoax; greennewdeal; hoaxes; vijayjayaraj

1 posted on 06/23/2019 4:31:33 AM PDT by Kaslin
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To: Kaslin
In other news
So called Experts price per thousand has fallen below the price of do do
2 posted on 06/23/2019 4:51:09 AM PDT by no-to-illegals (Liberals, leftists, Rinos, moslems, illegals, lamestream media. All want America to fail and die)
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To: Kaslin

Warming, which promotes growth of the stuff WE eat as well as co2 which promotes the growth of stuff WE eat are bad?

Getting the idea yet that someone somewhere doesn’t like US?


3 posted on 06/23/2019 5:06:09 AM PDT by TalBlack (Damn right I'll "do something" you fat, balding son of a bitch!)
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To: TalBlack

They want most of us dead, the rest of us in chains.


4 posted on 06/23/2019 5:17:55 AM PDT by DuncanWaring (The Lord uses the good ones; the bad ones use the Lord.)
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To: DuncanWaring

The climate is fantastic here in Va, 70’s blue sky awesomeness.


5 posted on 06/23/2019 5:31:02 AM PDT by databoss
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To: Kaslin

These climate change carnival barkers are able to push their hoax easily because of modern media and social media. Then combine that with a dumbed down populace and vuola! The vehicle for total control. NONE of these dire predictions have come true unless they were going to happen anyway by nature. Disasters seem to be more intense because there are more people to see them and record them. Thereby intensifying hysteria. Thereby increasing control and regulation. People are stupid. What can I say.


6 posted on 06/23/2019 5:35:26 AM PDT by HighSierra5
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To: Kaslin

Stop that, earth! Stop that, sun! Stop ruining our planetary climate models with your incessant sunspot fluctuations, rotational wobbles, orbital eccentricities, and tectonic activity! /s


7 posted on 06/23/2019 5:42:57 AM PDT by BradyLS (DO NOT FEED THE BEARS!)
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To: Kaslin

I wish all these climate clowns would stop tap dancing around it and just state their case:

The world is going to end unless the USA becomes socialist.


8 posted on 06/23/2019 6:03:34 AM PDT by JPJones (More Tariffs, less income tax.)
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To: Kaslin

They get all worked up and hysterical over a prediction which is forgotten in a week.


9 posted on 06/23/2019 6:22:56 AM PDT by Spok
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To: JPJones

“The world is going to end unless the USA becomes socialist.”

And subjugates itself to the globalist collective.


10 posted on 06/23/2019 6:35:48 AM PDT by rightwingcrazy (;-)
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To: JPJones

When the answer to any question or sets of conflicting data is the same, it’s not science.

The answer of course, is Socialism.


11 posted on 06/23/2019 8:36:14 AM PDT by seowulf
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To: Kaslin
From the article:Then there's this:


12 posted on 06/23/2019 8:51:30 AM PDT by upchuck (No muzzy is fit to hold public office - their cult (religion) is incompatible with the Constitution.)
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To: Kaslin

Simply ignore that 2 feet of snow in Steamboat Springs over the weekend. In other news, it’s friggin HOT in FL this weekend. Again:

1. Define the “correct” temperature range for the planet.

2. Define the “correct” humidity range for the planet.

3. Define the “correct” mean sea level for the planet.

4. Define the “correct” amount of precipitation for the planet.

5. Define the “correct” makeup of the atmosphere.

6. Define the “correct” amount of sea ice at the N/S poles.

7. Define/explain past glaciation and subsequent warming without any input from humans.


13 posted on 06/23/2019 10:12:52 AM PDT by rktman ( #My2ndAmend! ----- Enlisted in the Navy in '67 to protect folks rights to strip my rights. WTH?)
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To: Kaslin

The El Nino represents sunlight heat leaving the oceans. They are cooling. Very few El Ninos probably occurred when there was one continent. So in this scenario, the half wits, see the wrong signal and accelerate the fall back into the ice age. Stuck on stupid.


14 posted on 06/23/2019 12:11:10 PM PDT by justa-hairyape (The user name is sarcastic. Although at times it may not appear that way.)
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To: rktman

Where are all the Evolutionists that are just waiting to see all the new creatures that have ADAPTED to the changed environment??


15 posted on 06/23/2019 12:30:55 PM PDT by Elsie (Heck is where people, who don't believe in Gosh, think they are not going...)
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To: Kaslin
The author is Vijay Jayaraj (M.Sc, Environmental Science, University of East Anglia, England)

I think that's where the Climategate events occurred.

16 posted on 06/23/2019 5:36:16 PM PDT by lasereye
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