If Perot had not run his voters would have needed to split 2/3 for Bush I for im to beat Clinton.
Yes, I know both Democrats and Republicans who voted for Perot.
The secret no one talks about is that, in some ways, Trump is basically Perot running as a Republican. Trump appeals to many of the same voters Perot did, including Democrats, but unlike Perot, he won a major party’s nomination and thus secured the votes of most of that party’s base.