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Florida Early Vote update, 11/05/2018
https://fr-companion.wixsite.com/fr-companion ^ | 11/05/2018 | self

Posted on 11/05/2018 6:15:23 AM PST by SpeedyInTexas

Totals for Florida early vote.

Absentee Ballot (VBM) - REPs lead by 62,471

In-Person Early Voting - DEMs lead by 87,160

Combined Early voting - DEMs lead by 24,689

At this same time in 2016: DEMs lead of 88,012

Numbers represent ballots cast by party registration.

Ballots have not been counted yet.


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: 2018midterms; fl; fl2018; florida
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To: TrumpCoat

Yeah same here. I know exactly what you’re talking about.


81 posted on 11/05/2018 11:24:51 AM PST by Ravi
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To: LS

I think that would be disastrous if it were happening.


82 posted on 11/05/2018 11:29:15 AM PST by JamesP81 (Washington DC is a city of evil.)
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To: SpeedyInTexas; LS

Looks like we’re up to about 75% of EV turnout of 2016 EV nationwide. Bodes well for general predictions of turnout being 80% of 2016 turnout. Just a guesstimate.


83 posted on 11/05/2018 11:32:46 AM PST by Ravi
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To: Ravi

And Election Day turnout, at least in FL, was a lot more constant than I thought.

2.8m 2014
3.0m 2016

Anything 2.5m+ is good, assuming it doesn’t all come out of south Florida


84 posted on 11/05/2018 11:40:19 AM PST by Methos8 (https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/13UdXilkzGqvvdKBN9Vwe8er64JeycQbLxKGxFy9lTlE/edit#gid=2105128)
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To: LS

Trump/MAGA is over in two years if Gillum wins.....


85 posted on 11/05/2018 11:43:53 AM PST by yield 2 the right
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To: yield 2 the right

Nonsense. No more than if Yeb were gov.


86 posted on 11/05/2018 11:46:27 AM PST by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: Methos8

Yeah seems right. 2.5 to 3.0 gives you total turnout of 7.6 to 8.1 right in my predicted wheelhouse.


87 posted on 11/05/2018 11:47:40 AM PST by Ravi
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To: LS

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3703053/posts?page=32#32


88 posted on 11/05/2018 11:48:46 AM PST by yield 2 the right
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To: yield 2 the right

District lines in FL don’t affect the statewide vote for President.

Gillum won’t have any effect on Trump.

Redistricting could affect the House though.


89 posted on 11/05/2018 11:59:10 AM PST by SpeedyInTexas (Localization, not Globalization)
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To: SpeedyInTexas; Methos8; LS; TrumpCoat

Right now by my calculation, 43.7% of all registered R voters in Florida have already cast a ballot. I expect by tomorrow, that figure will be 45% or greater.

https://dos.myflorida.com/media/700197/2018gen_party.pdf


90 posted on 11/05/2018 12:05:48 PM PST by Ravi
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To: SpeedyInTexas

So Gillum or Desantis? who wins you think...? As of this afternoon?


91 posted on 11/05/2018 12:19:19 PM PST by yield 2 the right
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To: yield 2 the right

if Desantis, he can only blame himself. I’m in GA but “look at my pretty wife”is not an election strategy. I’m going to put Florida and GA in our prayers but no way we elect the Black Panthers into office here.


92 posted on 11/05/2018 12:36:25 PM PST by ground_fog ( My God this was from today!)
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To: Ravi

Giving me goosebumps.


93 posted on 11/05/2018 12:37:24 PM PST by SpeedyInTexas (Localization, not Globalization)
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To: yield 2 the right; Ravi; LS

“So Gillum or Desantis? who wins you think...? As of this afternoon?”

I’m pulling my REP numbers down slightly. But going with Scott by 2.0%. DeSantis by 0.5%.

If I’m wrong its because they win by bigger margins, not less.


94 posted on 11/05/2018 12:40:21 PM PST by SpeedyInTexas (Localization, not Globalization)
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To: SpeedyInTexas; LS; Methos8

Courtesy of Methos8, we have hit 81.7% of 2016’s total R early vote. Someone please check my math before it gets posted to twitter. I am using Methos8’s updated spreadsheet.

https://dos.myflorida.com/media/697363/early-voting-and-vote-by-mail-report-2016-gen.pdf


95 posted on 11/05/2018 12:42:22 PM PST by Ravi
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To: ground_fog

“look at my pretty wife”

I just went to look at his wife. Hey, that is an extra reason to vote for him!


96 posted on 11/05/2018 12:42:45 PM PST by SpeedyInTexas (Localization, not Globalization)
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To: SpeedyInTexas

LOl.agree. I’m just going by internet ads so I’m probably way off..but it just seems to me he should be doing much better.


97 posted on 11/05/2018 12:50:01 PM PST by ground_fog ( My God this was from today!)
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To: SpeedyInTexas; LS; TrumpCoat

Honestly I think they both win. I can’t see that much crossover support for either Dem and the Indies will go with their county (courtesy of Trumpcoat - Indy turnout in Red counties was higher than Blue counties - last I checked).


98 posted on 11/05/2018 12:54:26 PM PST by Ravi
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To: Magnum44

When they are dealing with Black candidates they are very silent.


99 posted on 11/05/2018 12:59:33 PM PST by fortheDeclaration
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To: Ravi

In 2016, when the counties were updating in real time, that went all the way up to 85% in the little dark red counties in live time during the election day. Broward and Miami-Dade just kinda stayed around 70%-75%. That’s when I “knew.”


100 posted on 11/05/2018 1:01:28 PM PST by TrumpCoat (Longtime lurker, numbers junkie)
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