Posted on 11/05/2018 6:15:23 AM PST by SpeedyInTexas
Totals for Florida early vote.
Absentee Ballot (VBM) - REPs lead by 62,471
In-Person Early Voting - DEMs lead by 87,160
Combined Early voting - DEMs lead by 24,689
At this same time in 2016: DEMs lead of 88,012
Numbers represent ballots cast by party registration.
Ballots have not been counted yet.
Yeah same here. I know exactly what you’re talking about.
I think that would be disastrous if it were happening.
Looks like we’re up to about 75% of EV turnout of 2016 EV nationwide. Bodes well for general predictions of turnout being 80% of 2016 turnout. Just a guesstimate.
And Election Day turnout, at least in FL, was a lot more constant than I thought.
2.8m 2014
3.0m 2016
Anything 2.5m+ is good, assuming it doesn’t all come out of south Florida
Trump/MAGA is over in two years if Gillum wins.....
Nonsense. No more than if Yeb were gov.
Yeah seems right. 2.5 to 3.0 gives you total turnout of 7.6 to 8.1 right in my predicted wheelhouse.
District lines in FL don’t affect the statewide vote for President.
Gillum won’t have any effect on Trump.
Redistricting could affect the House though.
Right now by my calculation, 43.7% of all registered R voters in Florida have already cast a ballot. I expect by tomorrow, that figure will be 45% or greater.
https://dos.myflorida.com/media/700197/2018gen_party.pdf
So Gillum or Desantis? who wins you think...? As of this afternoon?
if Desantis, he can only blame himself. I’m in GA but “look at my pretty wife”is not an election strategy. I’m going to put Florida and GA in our prayers but no way we elect the Black Panthers into office here.
Giving me goosebumps.
“So Gillum or Desantis? who wins you think...? As of this afternoon?”
I’m pulling my REP numbers down slightly. But going with Scott by 2.0%. DeSantis by 0.5%.
If I’m wrong its because they win by bigger margins, not less.
Courtesy of Methos8, we have hit 81.7% of 2016’s total R early vote. Someone please check my math before it gets posted to twitter. I am using Methos8’s updated spreadsheet.
https://dos.myflorida.com/media/697363/early-voting-and-vote-by-mail-report-2016-gen.pdf
“look at my pretty wife”
I just went to look at his wife. Hey, that is an extra reason to vote for him!
LOl.agree. I’m just going by internet ads so I’m probably way off..but it just seems to me he should be doing much better.
Honestly I think they both win. I can’t see that much crossover support for either Dem and the Indies will go with their county (courtesy of Trumpcoat - Indy turnout in Red counties was higher than Blue counties - last I checked).
When they are dealing with Black candidates they are very silent.
In 2016, when the counties were updating in real time, that went all the way up to 85% in the little dark red counties in live time during the election day. Broward and Miami-Dade just kinda stayed around 70%-75%. That’s when I “knew.”
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