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Here's Why Democrats Are Confident They'll Win The House
NPR ^ | November 1, 20185:00 AM ET | JESSICA TAYLOR

Posted on 11/01/2018 2:26:45 PM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum

Democrats appear confident they'll take back the House majority next Tuesday — a fact top Republican strategists all but concede privately less than a week before Election Day.

"Up until today I would have said if the election was held today we would win. Now I'm saying we will win," House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif., said Tuesday night on CBS's The Late Show with Stephen Colbert.

Although nearly all of the competitive races remain close, conversations with several Democratic and GOP strategists, as well as public opinion polls, campaign finance reports and historic trends, all point to a strong Democratic showing in the House.

Democrats are running particularly well in suburban districts, where independents and many suburban women want to send a message of dissatisfaction to President Trump. This is having an outsize impact because many of these districts were drawn to favor the GOP and now comprise the bulk of the competitive races.

Republicans did see a slight increase in enthusiasm in the wake of Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh's testy confirmation hearing a month ago, but it has largely evaporated in the final weeks of the race, both Democrats and Republicans say. The exception is in more rural districts and traditionally red areas.

(Excerpt) Read more at npr.org ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: 2018midtermms; bluewave
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Hillary won the Presidency in 2016, so there's no reason to believe they won't win the House in 2018.
1 posted on 11/01/2018 2:26:45 PM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

And she still lostt the House in 2016. Look for a repeat in 2018.


2 posted on 11/01/2018 2:28:51 PM PDT by Pikachu_Dad ("the media are selling you a line of soap)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

F NPR


3 posted on 11/01/2018 2:30:01 PM PDT by Drango (A liberal's compassion is limited only by the size of someone else's wallet.)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum
The author Jessica Taylor can't see the blivet coming her way. The Trump supporters relish a good surprise, so they will provide another surprise that knocks Ms Taylor off her unicorn.
4 posted on 11/01/2018 2:30:41 PM PDT by Zuben Elgenubi (NOPe to GOPe)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

It’s NPR, what do you expect?


5 posted on 11/01/2018 2:32:12 PM PDT by HandBasketHell
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

Wow that article is some bs bahahaha. How about when it talks about the Cali districts. lol


6 posted on 11/01/2018 2:33:26 PM PDT by Democrats hate too much
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

So, should I listen to Pelousy or a sane person?


7 posted on 11/01/2018 2:33:48 PM PDT by Mark (Celebrities... is there anything they do not know? -Homer Simpson)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

Every man’s worst nightmare, the tyranny of rule by the angry ex wife mob


8 posted on 11/01/2018 2:36:11 PM PDT by atc23 (Votante Blanco)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

Because...um.....Trump.

And Climate Change. And Medicare for All n’stuff.


9 posted on 11/01/2018 2:36:28 PM PDT by Buckeye McFrog
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To: E. Pluribus Unum
Republicans already struggled to hold on to open seats during special elections this year in favorable GOP territory. While they still won eight of the nine special congressional elections in districts held by Republicans, the massive shift toward Democrats in places Trump had carried by upwards of 20 points was notable — and early, concrete evidence of a growing Democratic enthusiasm gap.

I've never seen so many of these special elections where the local voters didn't even know there was a special election. I don't think this is a good indicator but NPR wants their wet dream to come true...

10 posted on 11/01/2018 2:36:47 PM PDT by frogjerk (We are conservatives. Not libertarians, not "fiscal conservatives", not moderates)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

If they take the House Trump should send Paul Ryan to Gitmo as an enemy combatant. It is because of the Chamber’s puppet Ryan that the GOP Congress stopped the border wall that was the #1 reason Trump got elected.


11 posted on 11/01/2018 2:37:31 PM PDT by montag813
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

Exactly

These no nothings are going to be butt hurt bad


12 posted on 11/01/2018 2:37:45 PM PDT by Nifster (I see puppy dogs in the clouds)
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To: frogjerk

No mention of the fact that the Demonrats POURED money into the special elections.


13 posted on 11/01/2018 2:38:01 PM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum (Democracy dies when Democrats refuse to accept the result of a democratic election they didn't win.)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum
"Republicans did see a slight increase in enthusiasm in the wake of Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh's testy confirmation hearing a month ago. . . . The exception is in more rural districts and traditionally red areas. . . add, where "We, the People" cling to those old-fashioned ideas about civility, Constitutionality, honesty, freedom, and all those other good things once taught to every school child in America as part of their education for life in a free society!
14 posted on 11/01/2018 2:39:22 PM PDT by loveliberty2
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To: Drango

Take away their public tax payer funding!!!


15 posted on 11/01/2018 2:41:07 PM PDT by stubernx98 (cranky, but reasonable)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

“Democrats appear confident they’ll take back the House majority next Tuesday — a fact top Republican strategists all but concede privately less than a week before Election Day.”

Who are these supposed “top Republican strategists”?

And why are they telling NPR, the media and the Democrats that the candidates they are supposedly working for are certain to lose?


16 posted on 11/01/2018 2:41:20 PM PDT by detective
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

If Dems don’t take the House, they will scream and cry that the election was rigged and Trump was behind it. It’s their only trick left.


17 posted on 11/01/2018 2:41:22 PM PDT by Blue Highway
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

This time the dead and illegals won’t make a difference.

The Republicans will keep the House, gain 4 seats in the Senate and Gillum will lose in FL.

5.56mm


18 posted on 11/01/2018 2:42:06 PM PDT by M Kehoe (DRAIN THE SWAMP!)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

https://twitter.com/JessicaTaylor

Her Twitter account will give you an idea about her politics.


19 posted on 11/01/2018 2:44:49 PM PDT by Snickering Hound
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

From 2016: Overall, according to the Cook Political Report, Democrats would pick up five to seven Senate seats, and Clinton would likely turn at least a couple of red states blue in the presidential race. At one point this summer, there was even speculation that states as deep red as Texas and Arizona could go blue.


20 posted on 11/01/2018 2:45:31 PM PDT by bigbob (Trust Sessions. Trust the Plan.)
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