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Pollster John McLaughlin Has New Poll With Dems Up Onlt 2% and Trump ar 48%!
Fox News Hannity ^ | 10-23-2018 | Cww

Posted on 10/23/2018 6:57:36 PM PDT by CWW

Reliable GOP pollster John McLaughlin just announced that he is releasing new polling data that has the Dems only up by 2 pats over the GOP using a national sample of 1000 voters, and he has Trump up to 48% approval, the same as Rasmussen and the NBC/Wall Street Journal Poll.

(Excerpt) Read more at foxnews.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; Culture/Society; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2018election; 2018polls; 2020election; ar; braking; bumperstickers; campaign; election2018; election2020; elections; mclaughlin; onlt; polls; trump; trumpbump; vote
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To: Simon Green

Gop will take the House.

As usual the polls are completely wrong.


21 posted on 10/23/2018 7:26:03 PM PDT by JPJones (More tariffs, less income tax.)
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To: CWW

Wonder what Tips has to say?


22 posted on 10/23/2018 7:26:52 PM PDT by son of terrence
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To: CWW

D+2 on a national generic ballot of registered voters.

Pathetic, some wave alright.


23 posted on 10/23/2018 7:27:43 PM PDT by Shadow44
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To: CWW

GOP peaking at the right time.


24 posted on 10/23/2018 7:28:00 PM PDT by Ted Grant
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To: edwinland

Wrong link? No information about the poll at that link.

************

Apparently this was something said by Hannity on his show. So who knows when or where the poll will be.


25 posted on 10/23/2018 7:28:10 PM PDT by deport
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To: CWW
Dem Polling site 538 just posted an article:

Some Competitive Races Have Little To No Polling. That’s A Problem.

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-some-competitive-races-have-little-to-no-polling-thats-a-problem/

They haven't been any new polls on some of the most important toss up races, such as:

California 45th District - Walters vs. Porter

for over a month. It's like they don't want to telegraph any bad news for the Dems.

The article above provides them with an excuse as to why the Dems didn't take the house (if that happens). Using their own public polls I estimate that we are 4-5 seats from retaining the majority and there are 10 open seats that are “toss up” by their own numbers.

26 posted on 10/23/2018 7:31:06 PM PDT by DoctorZIn (Blog Now!)
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To: tinyowl

Ohhhhh. I have to remember that line. Good one.


27 posted on 10/23/2018 7:32:21 PM PDT by hawkaw
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To: central_va
Not necessarily. Campaigns mean something. Many voters don't pay attention until late. There are new ads funded by a burst of money at the last minute or the candidates horde ad money until the end. The republican ads have been more hard hitting in the last few weeks. And voters do change their minds. They are not like you and me. We know which party we will vote for in 2028. Many voters don't know.

Voters are fickle and we all know the party in the White House loses seats in the mid term election except for two times - in 2002 (after 9-11 - that is unique and makes sense) and in 1998 - I think the Dems gained 5 seats, which shocked the republicans and they forced Gingrich out of the Speakership. They believe it was backlash against the pubs threat to impeach Clinton, which they did anyway. That was the first time since 1934 the party in the White House picked up seats in a midterm election.

So the party in power almost always loses seats, but it is apparent that the Kavanaugh hearings changed the dynamics of many races. As you know, there are many factors that affect races.

In Virginia, Comstock is a goner. That has kind of been known since the day after the presidential election and Dave Bratt is a bit shaky due to an avalanche of the dems ads.

In 2010, Obama's favorability rating in Rasmussen was 50% on election morning and the dems still lost a huge 63 seats. Republicans showed up and Obama's voters did not.

28 posted on 10/23/2018 7:44:52 PM PDT by Dave W
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To: uncbob
I have talked to a number of republican voters (many are women) and they are upset at how Trump behaves, talks, tweets and conducts himself. These are people who have no complaints about substance, but they want a president who is polished, poised and perfectly presents himself.

It really is a big issue with these people and it is a hurdle for them to get over. They are sincere people but really do miss the big picture. They really do. Some will listen to reason, but others are upset and stay upset.

On the other hand, this is northern Virginia, so I'm not certain this hurts Trump much in this corner of the state since it is so heavily democratic. One out of four votes in the state come from Northern Virginia and Trump is way down the charts here. I believe Trump got only 23% of the vote in Fairfax County in the general election - a percentage that still boggles my mind. Clinton won Virginia by about 250,000 votes - it wasn't even close.

29 posted on 10/23/2018 7:54:35 PM PDT by Dave W
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To: uncbob

He is probably at 60%, so don’t get upset. The polls are underrating his popularity.


30 posted on 10/23/2018 7:59:54 PM PDT by fortheDeclaration
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To: JPJones

Yes, and add seats in the Senate.


31 posted on 10/23/2018 8:00:51 PM PDT by fortheDeclaration
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To: Dave W

So, basically, they are symbolism over substance... IOW, low IQ dimwits

“Mostly women” - not surprised. Just one more argument as to why women should never have been given the right to vote.


32 posted on 10/23/2018 8:01:37 PM PDT by JME_FAN (If you lived here, you'd be home by now.)
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To: CWW

Who wrote the headline for Hannity?


33 posted on 10/23/2018 8:07:41 PM PDT by deport
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To: Dave W

More NeverTrump claptrap
Millions of freaks voted for the destructive sociopathic vile uncouth gaffe loaded purple lipped rat eared dog eating anti American racist Muslim doper twice who couldn’t hold Trumps jock strap
Now we have to worry about a few elitists who cluck their tongues and waver like an unsteady dowager in search of a fainting couch


34 posted on 10/23/2018 8:09:47 PM PDT by Phil DiBasquette
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To: uncbob

Trumps approval is well above 60%... just because the MSM doesn’t report it, doesn’t make it not.


35 posted on 10/23/2018 8:10:57 PM PDT by teeman8r (Armageddon won't be pretty, but it's not like it's the end of the world.)
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To: CWW

A 1,000... nation wide? Man, that really, really can be swung by your selected pool.


36 posted on 10/23/2018 8:12:49 PM PDT by Pikachu_Dad ("the media are selling you a line of soap)
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To: max americana
who gave this guy the title "reliable"?

Typically this is a function of the result being reported:
If you like the result, the pollster is reliable, a veritable icon of the polling profession.
If you don't like the result, the pollster is a charlatan and should be drummed out of the profession forthwith.

37 posted on 10/23/2018 8:13:03 PM PDT by SFConservative
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To: Shadow44

“D+2 on a national generic ballot of registered voters.

Pathetic, some wave alright.”

Far, far worse for the Rats as in order to have a chance at winning the House, they need to be at +7 on the national generic ballot.

Oh noes. :)


38 posted on 10/23/2018 8:15:39 PM PDT by romanesq (For George Soros so loved the world, he gave us Obama)
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To: tinyowl

Yeah, the pills weren’t helping me
much either. Couldn’t even get close
to reality.

Back on topic;
polls are only as good, accurate, or
honest, as those that conduct them.
I view them with a grain of salt.


39 posted on 10/23/2018 8:22:03 PM PDT by Lean-Right (Eat More Moose)
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To: uncbob

Obama with all the ass kissing and covering the media did was never close to 60%.


40 posted on 10/23/2018 8:49:31 PM PDT by snarkytart
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