The polls this year are scattered and infrequent compared to presidential years. Lot cheaper to have one poll than over 400 for congress.
Most of the congressional polls are by local newspapers and colleges. Bound to be left wing bias in them. But those are the polls “professionals” such as Ed Rollins and L Sabato, who are calling it for the rats, are going by.
Never thought there’d be a blue wave or a repub one, just a hard fight with the GOP holding on to a slimmer majority in the house. I’m hoping for over 60 in the senate.
Music to my ears. That was their number one talking point at around 10pm on election night 2016, when it become apparent the electoral college was about to hand them their ass.
The senate looks great right now.
But the polls for the house look very bad.
If the polls are to believed, Pelosi has a great chance of taking over.
I know I shouldn’t believe the polls or be discouraged by them. But at the same time to be dismissive of dem chances of house takeover seems like real hubris. They have a big money advantage in many house races and it is a real problem we shouldn’t be in denial about.
Let’s not celebrate too early.
Just ignore predictions, good news or bad about the election.
Just be sure to get out and VOTE!!!
The generic ballot is what it is. But of course it doesn’t reflect what is happening in 435 districts, or really the 100 or so marginal districts.
One of the problems is that all of the media attention here is devoted to the supposedly tossup races here in California (and similarly for the WashPo crowd in Virginia). But the races in other places are not receiving the same influx of $$$ and free liberal media and maybe not as “competitive”
Nothing would please me more to see all the libs crying in their drinks on election night - I might have to go out to SF just to enjoy.
I hope he’s correct. ALL the idiot liberal radio hosts around here spew completely different information, though most concede that the Pubbies pick up a couple of Senate seats
Always enjoy a Rush transcript. Thanks for posting it again, Kaslin.
Rush has a point - there can’t be very many people who went with Trump who suddenly think differently. I don’t understand the Democrat’s tactics from a political perspective. They are shooting themselves in the foot again and again. I can only surmise that they are trying to motivate their base - but are they turning off the moderates? They surely can’t be swaying many moderate Republicans. What they are doing and saying is anything but moderate.
I disagree a little with Rush about pollsters. Pollster’s always get work for some reason. And I’m sure their bread and butter has nothing to do with what you see on TV, it’s the private polling - for politics and commercial products alike - that earn them their money. What we need is a little more competition in the polling business. The newer outfits were a lot more accurate in 2016 - they had to be because they more or less only made their money on the political polls. If these outfits gain steam, then mavbe in a few cycles we’ll see everyone make a better effort for accuracy. Until then they are free to try to use polls to push the electorate rather than to predict the elections.
BTW, if you looked into the data on almost all those 2016 polls you can see the ways they were off - you could argue they did it intentionally. If they didn’t deliberately oversample Dems, then they fudged the Independent numbers. The reality is that Independents break pretty much the same way as the two parties do call it 46% to 44% Dem advantage, give or take. The Independents break the same way, but in their internals they break the Independents heavy for the Democrats. Not sure if that is just to make it look like they are trying to be balanced, or if it’s just their way of pushing the data hoping to push the voters.
And in the end the progressives were defeated by their own lies. This is why honesty is a virtue. Actually saw lefties who were upset they were lied to leading into the last election. One actually said he did not vote because he thought it was not needed. Hillary never had that big lead. And getting lied too again, will just mean more #walkaways.
This is how the modern Democrat Party operates now.
Create a narrative.
Throw money around to reinforce the narrative.
Demonize and destroy ANYONE that dares to question or speak against the narrative.
Feign shock and incite followers to violence when the narrative does not work. Because it could not be possible it did not work, it had to be those wascally wussians!!
Please let him be right.
Trump's latest Rasmussen approval rating is 47%, NOT 51%, but still higher than most previous presidents, including Obama and Clinton, at this stage of their respective administrations.
One hopeful signal from Ras: Generic House ballot nationally from Ras was D+1 last week! If this is accurate and stays that way, Pubbies will maintain the majority. That's because 'Rat winning districts have considerably wider margins historically than GOP winning districts, at least on average. So 'Rats have to get at least +4 to win the majority of districts, so common wisdom dictates.
Dims are just trying to frame the “we wuz robbed!” narrative.
“Why are you believing it?” I’ve asked ’em point-blank. “How many people do you run into who you know voted for Trump who wish they hadn’t?”
“Well, nobody.”
“Exactly my point! How many people do you know who voted for Trump claiming that the Democrats need to win now because Trump has to be stopped and all this tweeting has to be stopped and all these bad manners have to be?”
“Uh, nobody.”
You can take THAT to the bank! Red Tsunami, Ahead! MAGA!