Wow. I didn't know that the R advantage had gotten that high.
Posted on 10/22/2018 9:44:08 AM PDT by mandaladon
Remember when Donald Trump’s widespread unpopularity would fuel a blue wave in the midterms? Trump’s still underwater on job approval, but a new Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll puts Trump at his best rating as president yet, 47/49. Republican interest in the election continues to rise, with both parties hitting a new record for midterm engagement:
The Kavanaugh effect seems pretty well established now. Not only did it provide a catalyst for GOP enthusiasm, that burst hasn’t subsided with Kavanaugh’s confirmation, either. On top of that, Republicans now have a +15 advantage on the economy, the highest level ever for the GOP. Those numbers can’t look good for Democrats who have been campaigning in this cycle to make the midterms a referendum on Trump.
Even the good news for Democrats turns out to be something else, as when the WSJ notes that they’re still up by nine on the generic ballot. That turns out to be location dependent:
This mirrors a poll last week from the Washington Post and ABC News. Their poll put Democrats up 11 points on the generic ballot, but Republicans at +1 in the 66 battleground districts, also a big swing from their earlier polling. That suggests that Democratic enthusiasm intensified in districts where they were already safe, and that Republican enthusiasm has changed the election where the House majority will be determined.
(Excerpt) Read more at hotair.com ...
Here comes Salem
Talking down Trump again
This is the best things have looked so far. Rs should have 54 Senate seats and House is too close to call. There is always a break to one side during the last week. That break will determine who takes the House.
Is he?
Is he really?
Exactly. To paraphrase Rush in his interview with Hannity, the election outcome will be affected by things that haven’t happened yet. That being said, if we’ve peaked, we peaked just when early voting (a democrat invention) started. I don’t know whose idea the migrant “caravan” was, but it was an exquisitely awful idea if you’re rooting for the democrats. Not sure what they’re thinking on the blue side, but I hope they keep up the good work!
Trump is in the mid- high 50s in any legit poll and they know it.
“That suggests that Democratic enthusiasm intensified in districts where they were already safe”
Alternatively, Republicans are most effectively silenced in districts where Democrats dominate. Better to hang up on the pollster or lie to them. Leftists are an intolerant, unforgiving, vengeful lot.
Wow. I didn't know that the R advantage had gotten that high.
Generic ballot is meaningless.
House majority will be determined by turnout in key districts. Senate appears in the bag.
Ironically, the “Blue Wave” might be washing away the Caravan via Hurricane Willa!!!
The illegal immigration issue just jumped up to the top of the list for voters.
The October surprise engineered by the Demoncrats was suppose to be Kave. When that didn’t work...they began to push the poor migrant issue.. which is backfiring bigly.
Another week of headlines ought to push a few more races into the GOP category
Democrats are a doomed party. They have great depth in limited geography... tiling up their base just means they win with 70% of the vote in districts they would have only won with 60% of the vote..
And still LOSE everywhere else with 45% of the vote or less.
“Those numbers can’t look good for Democrats who have been campaigning in this cycle to make the midterms a referendum on Trump. “
OK. So it is a referendum. He’s great. Dems suck.
Odd that Trump has low job approval.
I think we pick up 6 Senate seats, hold the House.
But when they go low, kick them.
I still believe there is a chance Karin Housley, R-MN will defeat Tina Smith, current US senator from MN now holding Al Franken’s seat.
I had no idea there was a hurricane headed for Mexico, so I checked it out after reading your post. It’s a CAT 5! Headed right through where the invading army is marching.
It’s going to be influenced by this Central American Invasion Force.
Handled right, it could ice it for the right.
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Just HOW ARE YOU going to determine that "a break to one side during the last week" determined the eventual House results?
That is foolish speculation on your part.
But I guess it may make you feel somewhat better.
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