D-23,990 (43.5%) R-21,496 (39.0%)
2016 ALL FORMS OF EARLY VOTING FIRST WEEK:
D-167,913 (43.7%) R-140,792 (36.6%)
2012 ALL FORMS OF EARLY VOTING FIRST WEEK:
D-162,237 (45.3%) R-133,585 (37.3%)
Remember in 2016, Clinton won 47.9% to 45.5% or by about 27,000 votes. Approximately 1.12 million total votes that year.
In 2012, Heller won 45.87% to 44.71% or by about 11,600 votes. Approximately 1 million votes total that year.
After ONE single solitary day of early/absentee voting in NV, we already have 70,000 votes. D barely leads R especially compared to presidential years 2016 and 2012 when D's had a much bigger advantage. Clinton barely won 2016 and Heller barely won 2012 even with a significant 1st week disadvantage in 2012. He therefore starts 2018 early voting in a much better position compared to 2012.
70,000 votes as I mentioned earlier are in after one single solitary day (10/20) this year which is a ginormous number! In the first day of early voting 2016, there were fewer votes (62,000) than this year! How is that even possible? Incredible.
Also for the first day of 2012 early/absentee voting, there were 56,000 votes which again is less than the first day this year.
2018 is definitely shaping up to be if not quite presidential level turnout pretty darn close. We are way past any sort of mid-term turnout. With that said, Heller STARTS (again starts) at a better point than Trump in 2016 and Heller himself in 2012. Obviously Heller has an advantage relative to Trump with Indies. Trump had a slightly better first week than Heller did in 2012 but still lost by a small amount.
Comments appreciated!
I hope this information is clear. Any thoughts gentleman?
[After ONE single solitary day of early/absentee voting in NV, we already have 70,000 votes]
A lot of Ds will be voting for Republicans. Takes effort to change party registration when it rarely makes a difference in who you vote for.
Another thing - How many of those sensible Ds are going to vote against the party for the sake of peace and civility? How many Rs will vote for the ANTIFA party?
We could have a rather defining election on Nov 6
Crooked won Nevada by 27,000 and early voting by 46,000. If it stays this close we are looking good with high turnout Election Day
With early voting finished and tallied, registered Democrats in Nevada have taken a 46,000-vote lead over Republican voters heading into Election Day.
The lead is just a hair short of the 48,000-vote lead Democrats took into Election Day 2012. Democrat Barack Obama defeated Republican Mitt Romney by 7 points statewide that year en route to winning his second term as president.
Great info. Thanks.
Jon Ralston is reporting that the Dems are killing it in Washoe County (Reno) though. GOP has a slight registration edge but Dems have won both early voting days by double digits.
Repubs cant afford to get swamped in Washoe. Actually repubs will need to win Washoe in order to offset losses in Clark.
Hopefully Repubs will pick it up in Washoe!
SEIU Voter fraud
Muy bueno.
How many democrats are voting for democrats?
Bump for new info