Posted on 10/18/2018 2:50:22 PM PDT by Ravi
Swing District for Blum(R). See Comments.
10/18/18: D-35,513; R-27,192; I-13,326
10/20/16: D-50,704; R-33,710; I-23,286
10/16/14: D-40,176; R-30,138; I-19,151
Moderate Dem drop-off, slight GOP drop-off and significant Indy drop-off from 2014. Of course important Senate election 2014 so turnout would be slightly higher then.
Seems favorable from what I can see...
ping.
Trend is good unless Is usually go heavy R normally in that district
Yes that would be the wild card...
Blum is in IA 1.
Oops! IA 2 incumbent is Dem Dave Loebsack.
Oops screwed that up. Will do IA#1 tomorrow then.
Sounds good. We need Blum to pull out a win.
I believe Blum will retain CD1, but that Dem Loebsack will retain CD 2.
Peters upsetting Loebsack, or even coming hair close, would be an indicator of GOP wave.
RCP has IA-1 as Lean D. We need to win a few of those types of seats to ensure we keep the House.
It’s Dem leaning district, that’s true. But incumbents are likely to win any reelection absent something compelling.
I’ve done GOP research for these CDs in the past but not this time, so I may be too jaded.
Ping for later...looks good...
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