Posted on 10/17/2018 12:10:04 PM PDT by Kaslin
IA1 Blum. Thought gone. Suddenly it’s now very close.
IA2 Loebsack. He won by 28,000 in 2018, but only 14,000 in 16. Right now, Rs have a 5,000 absentee ballot request lead in that district. If that holds and if the 16 number is more like today’s performance, Rs have shaved 1/3 off his lead already (theoretically).
He is vulnerable. Was on NO ONE’s radar til Ravi pointed this out.
“IA1 Blum. Thought gone. Suddenly its now very close.”
Good! Blum is a solid conservative, hate to lose him.
As for IA-2, it was technically Trump’s 2nd best district in the state after King’s.
First poll I’ve seen of PA-8 (Democrat incumbent Matt Cartwright) isn’t good. Siena/NY slimes has him up 12.
In NV some dem idiot got a boner cause the NRCC cancelled ad buys in Vegas. Nevada election guru Jon Ralston replies
“Jon Ralston Retweeted Kenneth P. Vogel
NRCC abandoned #nv03 long ago. They had high hopes for #nv04. I think both sides still think these races are in play. Will know more after early voting starts this weekend.
“
If RALSTON, a dem hack, thinks these seats are in play, they are in play. Also, Ralston last night confirmed what I told everyone two months ago: Rs have cut into the D registration lead by 30,000 (He didn’t phrase it that way: “Ds have 75,000 registration lead”) Yeah, but it was a lead of over 105,000 in November 2016!
Thanks for all the info you compiled and shared.
Weird.
Here are people who have been here to support Danny.
Doug Collins August 1
Don Jr. September 26
Steve Scalise October 2
Greg Walden from Oregon tomorrow
I don’t feel like NV CD 3 is left for dead...
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