Posted on 10/17/2018 5:59:48 AM PDT by PJ-Comix
With less than three weeks to Election Day, Democrats and Republicans remain in a near tie on the Generic Congressional Ballot.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone and online survey finds that 45% of Likely U.S. Voters would choose the Democratic candidate if the elections for Congress were held today. Forty-four percent (44%) would opt for the Republican. Four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate, and seven percent (7%) are undecided.
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
BTW, yesterday I did some research and in all the midterm elections going back 50 years there has never been a case where one party loses seats in the Senate (as most believe will happen to the Democrats this year) while at the same time gaining seats in the House. Yet the Democrats and their MSM allies want us to believe that despite losing Senate seats the Dems will not only gain seats in the House but win so many seats in a massive "Blue Wave" that they will win back control of the House.
Sorry, does NOT compute!
Two words I want to see/hear election night!
But...but...The ABC/Washington Post poll shows the Dems with an 11 point lead still!
The focus ought to be in the areas where there are contested elections. The fact that the GOP is doing poorly in Vermont, Hawaii and major urban and third-world immigrant areas doesn’t really have an impact on control of the house or senate.
As you must surely know it is the habit of the left-wing media to produce polls such as this one for the sole purpose of affecting the real clear politics average of polls.
I wonder what this National Generic Poll would like if you excluded those polled in CA and NY??????
Your point about Vermont, Hawaii etc is true but partly. Rothkus in PA, a great Trump supporter and Freedom Caucus member has been written off in Trump coal country in SW PA and is expected to lose to the Lamb who won the special earlier this year. The PA court redistricting supposedly made this solid R seat unwinnable.
NO ONE is talking about the 40 OPEN seats of retiring R’s. The Dems don’t have to beat a single incumbent to take the house. And NO ONE on either side is talking about the open seat races. All the poll movements have been about incumbent house members doing better, but the prime 23 seats needed by the Dems is focused on the open seats. That is what matters and none of us have any data from either side on what is happening there.
According to Nate Silver (538), the polls were biased to the Dems by 3 points in 2014 and 2016 at the state level.
It’s a toss-up, all dependent on getting high percentages of Registered GOP voters to the polls.
And please don’t forget the poll from the totally unbiased, very honest, paragon of virtue CNN, which had the Dems ahead by vertigo inducing 13% in the generic congressional. We are doomed for sure. :)
It’s called Fake Polls
No reason to use generics less than a month out
Most of these “generic” surveys oversample in deep blue highly populated areas line CA and NY. If the results are tied, republicans have leads in contested races.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/2016_generic_congressional_vote-5279.html
A lot more favorable to Republicans that’s for sure.
..and there they are...waxing down their surfboards and getting ready to ride that wave in spectacular fashion...
Hang on Moondoggie. That “pipeline” your hallucinating is a PIPEDREAM.
Blue Flush indeed!
The only reason the House was in play was because of the open seats!
But since are most in GOP districts, they are now trending back to GOP. Also, there are some Democrat seats that may be flipped as well.
watch the you tube on 2014 and see how shocked the media was on the Red wave, they had the races as being tight, but had oversampled Democrat.
I couldnt stop the ty D bol images from running through my head.
BTW, yesterday I did some research and in all the midterm elections going back 50 years there has never been a case where one party loses seats in the Senate (as most believe will happen to the Democrats this year) while at the same time gaining seats in the House. Yet the Democrats and their MSM allies want us to believe that despite losing Senate seats the Dems will not only gain seats in the House but win so many seats in a massive “Blue Wave” that they will win back control of the House.
Sorry, does NOT compute!
It depends where the competitive races are located. If the competitive Senate races are mainly in the Republican-leaning states, the Republicans are well-positioned to win seats. If the competitive House races are mainly in the Democrat-leaning states, the Republicans may well lose seats.
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