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Odds of winning $1 billion Mega Millions and Powerball: 1 in 88 quadrillion
CBS "News" ^ | October 16, 2018 | By AIMEE PICCHI

Posted on 10/16/2018 10:04:35 AM PDT by Oldeconomybuyer

Some lucky lottery players will walk away with huge winnings as the combined Mega Millions and Powerball jackpots now approach almost $1 billion. But let's get real: Chances are, it's not going to be you.

The odds of winning the combined $999 million jackpots stands at 1 in 88 quadrillion -- that's 88 thousand trillion, or the numeral 1 followed by 15 zeros, according to the Allstate Data Science Team. The previous odds, when the jackpots were smaller, stood at roughly 1 in 75 quadrillion.

To be sure, lottery players will have slightly better odds of winning either one of the jackpots. The odds of scoring the $654 million Mega MIllions prize is 1 in 302 million, while the $345 million Powerball is sporting odds of 1 in 292 million, Allstate said.

To grasp how unlikely even those odds are, it's worth checking them against the probability of other rare events. The likelihood of being struck by lightning within one's lifetime is 1 in 3,000.

You're also much more likely to date a millionaire, which carries a likelihood of 1 in 215. Even better, Americans have fairly strong odds of becoming a millionaire through work and investment, with economists at the St. Louis Federal Reserve calculating that people younger than 40 years old have a 1 in 55 chance of achieving a 7-figure net worth.

(Excerpt) Read more at cbsnews.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: lottery
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To: Mrs. Don-o
Lotteries - regressive taxation of math underachievers

I had a boss that said stuff like that. Told him the odds were still infinitely better than getting rich working for him.

61 posted on 10/16/2018 10:46:29 AM PDT by Tijeras_Slim
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

62 posted on 10/16/2018 10:48:06 AM PDT by TADSLOS (I hate Russian Dolls. They are so full of themselves.)
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To: DannyTN

Only 250M? Who can possibly live on that? LOL


63 posted on 10/16/2018 10:50:12 AM PDT by mykroar (Congratulations President Trump)
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To: z3n

It will happen on average once every 121 trillion years, or about 9,000 times longer than the age of the universe.


64 posted on 10/16/2018 10:53:51 AM PDT by LibWhacker
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To: PittsburghAfterDark
For $2 we have really interesting dinner conversation.

That's the way I look at it. I already have my dream house picked out and my dream truck built (on paper). All I need now is to win it to complete the purchase. Until then I can dream.

65 posted on 10/16/2018 10:54:05 AM PDT by BipolarBob (ALL THESE WORLDS ARE YOURS, EXCEPT EUROPA.ATTEMPT NO LANDING THERE.)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

I don’t play the lottery, but I’ll play it today...if I win, we will be on the HGTV show ‘My Lottery Dream House’.


66 posted on 10/16/2018 10:54:33 AM PDT by Deplorable American1776 (Proud to be a DeplorableAmerican with a Deplorable Family...even the dog is, too. :-))
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To: InABunkerUnderSF

I do what I can. You’re welcome.


67 posted on 10/16/2018 10:56:53 AM PDT by BBQToadRibs
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To: Mrs. Don-o

the odds of winning are 1:302 million and the payoff is greater than that so the bet is “in the money”... so it is a good bet...statistically speaking.


68 posted on 10/16/2018 10:57:09 AM PDT by willyd (I for one welcome our NSA overlords)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

More chance of aliens visiting tomorrow and saying that stephen hawkking was all wet on black holes.


69 posted on 10/16/2018 10:58:06 AM PDT by I want the USA back (Patriarchal binary all original-equipment breeder and White-privileged crusader.)
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To: Osage Orange
And then here in OK...they will tax you near 43% total...Feds and state.

Yep. Win 380mm, you hit the highest tax bracket at 37% plus the asinine Obamacare tax, so federal rate is 40.4%. Arkansas has 7% state income tax.

Great, so I win Tue night. 380m x 0.562 (reciprocal of all taxes due) = 213,560,000.00 landing in my bank account. 21.356mm gets pulled out and put into a charitable trust for my church. 10% tithe, yo!

leaves me and Mrs DC with 192,204,000.00. Tax free net. Next we pay off all loans. House, car, etc.

Next invest in tax free munis @ 4% coupon = $7,688,160 tax free income from interest EVERY YEAR. When the bonds are called or mature, I still have my 192 million.

Id simply live off the interest and give a boatload away (with the interest-never principal).

Wish me luck Jim Rob!

70 posted on 10/16/2018 10:58:09 AM PDT by DCBryan1 (Quit calling them liberals, progs, socialists, or democrats. Call them what they are: COMMUNISTS!!!!)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

I.always buy one ticket a draw for lottomax and 6/49.

I might buy two if the draw is large.


71 posted on 10/16/2018 10:58:14 AM PDT by Jonty30 (What Islam and secularism have in common is that they are both death by cults.)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

“So there’s a chance?” (a liberal)


72 posted on 10/16/2018 10:59:57 AM PDT by DungeonMaster (If your church believes in evolution it is not a Christian church.)
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To: Mrs. Don-o

It’s an entertainment tax and even math overachievers like to be entertained!


73 posted on 10/16/2018 11:03:06 AM PDT by LibWhacker
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To: z3n

I will use my lottery draw, the 6/49, to explain the odds. As expressed as a fraction, (49x48x47x46x45x44)/(1x2x3x4x5x6) that works out to be about 1/13x10^6.

If you use that formula for the other draws, you’ll get the odds. Maybe winning both might be 1/88 quadrillion.


74 posted on 10/16/2018 11:04:09 AM PDT by Jonty30 (What Islam and secularism have in common is that they are both death by cults.)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

Years ago an old friend of mine won $250,000 in the CA State Lottery.

She bought one Ticket, the only time she ever played.

Rather than using Quick Pick, she chose the Numbers based on Family Member Ages and Birthdays.


75 posted on 10/16/2018 11:06:20 AM PDT by Kickass Conservative (THEY LIVE, and we're the only ones wearing the Sunglasses.)
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To: MplsSteve

The past two Megamillions I only spent $2 for 7 tickets. How? Because just before that I got 2 numbers plus the Mega number giving me a payout of $10 which I used to to buy 5 tickets, one of which gave me a Mega number payout of $2. So I chipped in another $2 and got 2 tickets for tonight’s drawing.


76 posted on 10/16/2018 11:07:57 AM PDT by PJ-Comix (I am eating my way to weight loss. Pass the lox!)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

Wanted Freeper who will buy and mail, 1 Powerball ticket and 1 MegaMillions ticket before draw to this Canuck. I will donate $10 to FR or send you money. PM me.


77 posted on 10/16/2018 11:24:05 AM PDT by free_life (If you ask Jesus to forgive you and to save you, He will.)
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To: DannyTN

The jackpots are not overstated. The stated amount is the total money you would receive if you took the prize in annual payments for however many years the lottery bases the jackpot on. The cash equivalent is the net present value of the total of the payments. The taxes are the taxes. Evasion is illegal. Avoidance is a duty.


78 posted on 10/16/2018 11:37:17 AM PDT by VietVet876
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To: VietVet876

The jackpot should be stated as NPV. To claim the total amount of payments over many many years, is to overstate the value of the jackpot.


79 posted on 10/16/2018 11:39:23 AM PDT by DannyTN
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To: DannyTN

It’s not “many many” years, it’s a finite number of years. A winner has the option to take the annual payments over the statute number or years or to take the NPV a.k.a. “cash equivalent”. It is not that complicated.


80 posted on 10/16/2018 12:04:48 PM PDT by VietVet876
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