Not sure what that means. Has the Richmond suburban population grown relative to the rest of the district?
This is my own district. I live in Fredericksburg, which is growing pretty rapidly from the looks of things. There's construction all over the place and traffic seems worse every year. It has lots of people who commute to DC and the surrounding DC suburbs. I wonder if most of the recent arrivals are voting Democrat.
FiveThirtyEight gives Brat about a 70 percent chance to win his reelection bid.
Is this good news or bad news?
4.9 MOE? Suspect. Going to check out survey fundamentals. Sounds fishy.
November 8, 2016
It says that they interviewed “potential” voters. Does that mean likely or not.
99% chance of her winning!
Just like they predicted for HilLiARy
“This is my own district. I live in Fredericksburg...”
I spent several days in Fredericksburg about twenty years ago. Visited some CW battlefields. Liked the feel of the town. It didn’t have that NoVa feeling. I remember back then thinking “I could move and live here”. One of my favorite memories was grabbing a copy of The Washington Times and walking up to the platform of the railroad depot, sitting on a bench with a Coke and unwinding after a long day of touring. I’d sit and watch some of the trains as they went by. It was nice.
But from what I’ve been reading over the last few years, it looks more and more like Fredericksburg is becoming a NoVa exurb.
Is this good news or bad news?
FAKE NEWS!
Monmouth University Polling Institute
National
Clinton Leads by 6 Points
Monday, November 07, 2016
Most expect Clinton to win, few believe system is rigged
West Long Branch, NJ - Hillary Clinton is currently ahead of Donald Trump by 6 points among likely voters.
https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/monmouthpoll_us_110716/
_________________________________________
Just for historical reference
Anything that has university in I would not believe. Especially when the subject is against a Republican.
Monmouth U. just telling Liberal judges where to draw the new redistrict lines to make the seat safe Democrat.
Uh-oh.
Brat is one of the best of the good guys.
5pts in Sept isn’t bad at all. GOP makes up ground in Oct.
Brat signs have just started showing up in the last two weeks, I would say - lots of large signs (street corners, etc.). Spanberger signs have been up on people’s lawns for the last two months, at least. Brat is VERY active in the community - attends several events a weekend, so he is out shaking hands & rubbing elbows with his constituents. He also visits a lot of businesses (owners & employees), most of whom if not all are doing much better in the Trump economy. TV Ads are also starting to run for Brat and he’s got ‘walkers’ out in neighborhoods going door to door. I think he’s getting his campaign kicked into gear now & that would be just as this poll was taken so he could be somewhat stronger than what the poll is showing. Lots of libs in his district (which I believe has changed some since the last election) and the comments on his facebook page from the Left are just the absolute vilest, nasty stuff. Brat has been fabulous in representing his constituents so far and I hope most decent folks will recognize that and re-elect him. I’m sure his seat has been targeted by the Dems.
Don’t forget: Monmouth was one of the pollsters, as I recall, who asked for the “youngest voter in the home.” (!!)
Bull shit try again.
NYT polling has Brat hanging in there.
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/upshot/elections-polls.html
in fact, all the Repubs in true tossup districts are hanging in there. In fact most are leading narrowly.
I like the way the NYT Sienna polling is done. They are disclosing a lot about the impact of various turnout scenarios on their estimates.
Lots of northeastern liberals moved here from NJ, NY, CT, MA voting to turn VA into the mess they left behind.
Oh look, Spanberger is CIA. And a Democrat... another Valerie Plame type, no doubt.
Does anyone think it odd that there are so many political CIA types?
And she’s a gungrabber type... of course.