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Hurricane Florence Live Thread II
NHC/NOAA ^ | 12 September 2018 | NHC/NOAA

Posted on 09/12/2018 1:53:29 PM PDT by NautiNurse

The National Hurricane Center has been issuing advisories for Hurricane Florence since August 30. The five day "Cone of Uncertainty" archive progression since Aug. 30 may be found here. As the super-size storm named Florence approached the U.S. Atlantic Coast, stories abound of people who are refusing to evacuate barrier islands.

The 82nd Airborne has relocated all of its assets, while FEMA is using Fort Bragg as a major staging area for post-storm supplies, including meals, water and cots. Fort Jackson (Columbia SC) has cancelled events including basic training graduation to prepare for military and civilian evacuees from coastal locations.

While hurricane preparations are rushed to completion, some stores are closing for lack of hurricane supplies inventory. Smart phone app Gas Buddy provides updates for gasoline availability along evacuation routes.

Wave heights to 83 ft. were recorded while Hurricane Florence churned 435 miles from Wilmington, NC. Storm surge is predicted to reach 6-13 ft along the coastline to the N of landfall. Steering currents are forecast to collapse at or near landfall, resulting in Florence meandering for days. This is expected to result in up to 40 inches of rainfall in isolated areas in the Carolinas, and up to a foot of rain in the Appalachian Mountains.

Tropical Storm Isaac: The government of France has issued Tropical Storm Warnings and Watches for the Lesser Antilles.

Invest 95L: The National Hurricane Center predicts 70% chance of development in the Gulf of Mexico. Limited forecast models, satellite graphics and GOM buoy info are available for Invest 95L below.

Mash the graphics below to enlarge. All links and images are self-updating.

Hurricane Florence Isaac Invest 95L
No Forecast Cone for Invest 95L
at publication deadline

Florence Public Advisory Isaac Public Advisory
Florence Forecast Discussion Isaac Forecast Discussion
Buoy/Observations near Florence Buoy/Observations near Isaac Buoys Western GOM

National Data Buoy Center

Local Weather:
Norfolk VA
Morehead City NC
Raleigh NC
Fayetteville NC
Wilmington NC
Charleston SC/Savannah GA
Jacksonville FL
San Juan PR

Hurricane Florence & Isaac Thread I



TOPICS: Breaking News; Extended News; Front Page News; News/Current Events; US: North Carolina; US: South Carolina
KEYWORDS: braking; florence; hurricane; hurricaneflorence; hurricaneflorenceii; isaac; nautinurse; tropical
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To: NautiNurse

https://waterdata.usgs.gov/nc/nwis/current/?type=precip

If I read that chart right, Looks like Wilmington has gotten 16” of rain so far.


521 posted on 09/14/2018 5:37:13 AM PDT by mewzilla (Has the FBI been spying on members of Congress?)
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To: RegulatorCountry
This is a poor picture because the camera is sitting on the kitchen table pushed up against the southern facing window. We were in a hurry Sunday and picked the two positions pretty quick. The screen doesn't move so we're looking through it. Commercial Photography
522 posted on 09/14/2018 5:40:12 AM PDT by PeteB570 ( Islam is the sea in which the Terrorist Shark swims. The deeper the sea the larger the shark.)
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To: PeteB570

Where is this to have that much elevation, Emerald Isle? The barrier islands south of there are typically pretty flat other than the beach dune line. Well, Oak Island has that one old house, I recall being able to see it from childhood when it was very evidently sitting atop a large dune across West Beach, a low slung single story Spanish Colonial. Now you can barely see it, the dune and even driveway is hidden by wind-sculpted Yaupon trees. When that place finally goes on the market it’ll fetch a pretty penny, quite a few acres along with it in the parcel.


523 posted on 09/14/2018 5:41:02 AM PDT by RegulatorCountry
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To: RegulatorCountry

Mainland side behind Holden Beach.


524 posted on 09/14/2018 5:43:29 AM PDT by PeteB570 ( Islam is the sea in which the Terrorist Shark swims. The deeper the sea the larger the shark.)
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To: PeteB570

Supply I guess, or is that the mainland town only behind Oak Island just to the west?


525 posted on 09/14/2018 5:44:55 AM PDT by RegulatorCountry
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To: RegulatorCountry

About equal distance between Southport and M. Myrtle Beach.


526 posted on 09/14/2018 5:51:04 AM PDT by PeteB570 ( Islam is the sea in which the Terrorist Shark swims. The deeper the sea the larger the shark.)
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To: PeteB570

Oh I’m familiar with the where, I just wasn’t aware that there was any of Holden Beach actually on the mainland side.


527 posted on 09/14/2018 5:53:23 AM PDT by RegulatorCountry
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To: RegulatorCountry

Holden Beach is all on the Island. Just easier to explain where it is instead of trying to give directions from Supply or Shallotte.


528 posted on 09/14/2018 6:05:20 AM PDT by PeteB570 ( Islam is the sea in which the Terrorist Shark swims. The deeper the sea the larger the shark.)
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To: PeteB570
Here's a very recent pic from Hatteras Island, taken not even an hour ago, just north of Rodanthe, at probably the weakest, most storm damage-prone area on the entire Outer Banks. NCDOT has been hard at work, Highway 12 remains passable and open to emergency vehicles. Pavement appears unbroken beneath the plowed sand. Dune line looks heavily eroded, with one blowout allowing overwash. All in all, not bad. Commercial Photography
529 posted on 09/14/2018 6:58:00 AM PDT by RegulatorCountry
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To: All

Keep in mind the heaviest rainfall is project to start Saturday afternoon. Landfall (Half as of writing this) is just the appetizer with this system... and again, a lot of areas that are going to be affected were drenched before this storm even formed (Wind is irrelevant with the $$$ billions this storm will cause).


530 posted on 09/14/2018 6:58:35 AM PDT by rollo tomasi (Working hard to pay for deadbeats and corrupt politicians.)
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To: RegulatorCountry

Just heard from family and friends in Leland/Belville area (just west of Wilmington). They still have power but major damage with downed trees, broken windows, etc. Now it’s wait for flooding but hoping it doesn’t happen; they are just 1/2 mile from a river.


531 posted on 09/14/2018 7:01:08 AM PDT by Oorang (Tyranny thrives where government need not fear the wrath of an armed people - Alex Kozinski)
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To: Oorang

Broken windows? What broke them? Falling trees, unsecured lawn furniture? Debris blowing off other houses?


532 posted on 09/14/2018 7:03:07 AM PDT by RegulatorCountry
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To: RegulatorCountry

Broken, flying, tree limbs.


533 posted on 09/14/2018 7:17:36 AM PDT by Oorang (Tyranny thrives where government need not fear the wrath of an armed people - Alex Kozinski)
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I am checking this thread daily as I have a good friend in Charlotte who probably doesn’t have electricity now. If anyone sees news about Charlotte could I be pinged?


534 posted on 09/14/2018 7:32:13 AM PDT by little jeremiah (When we do not punish evildoers we are ripping the foundations of justice from future generations)
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To: little jeremiah

We’re in Fayetteville, about 90 miles east of Charlotte.

Little windy and on and off rain. Nothing bad yet.

Power blinked once for a second around 8:30.


535 posted on 09/14/2018 7:36:41 AM PDT by PeteB570 ( Islam is the sea in which the Terrorist Shark swims. The deeper the sea the larger the shark.)
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To: RegulatorCountry

News out of Ocracoke is all positive for now.


536 posted on 09/14/2018 7:40:36 AM PDT by AppyPappy (How many fingers am I holding up, Winston?)
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To: Comment Not Approved

You killed a dinosaur!

An endangered dinosaur!


537 posted on 09/14/2018 7:47:08 AM PDT by Black Agnes
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To: AppyPappy

Village Craftsmen has been posting pics and video to their Facebook page, pretty up to date. Some minor flooding, some broken trees. That appears to be it thus far.


538 posted on 09/14/2018 7:51:02 AM PDT by RegulatorCountry
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To: little jeremiah

40 miles SE of Charlotte here. A little breezy and clouds blowing from the north. Power outages can be found here..https://www.duke-energy.com/outages/current-outages


539 posted on 09/14/2018 8:02:42 AM PDT by neal1960 (D m cr ts S ck. Would you like to buy a vowel?)
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To: little jeremiah

Very few power outages now in Charlotte. Only 287 out of 459,000 population.

https://outagemap.duke-energy.com/ncsc/default.html


540 posted on 09/14/2018 8:02:42 AM PDT by Blennos
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