Posted on 09/09/2018 3:41:24 PM PDT by SMGFan
For months now, the focus of Campaign 2018, rightly, has been on control of the House. All the metrics continue to point to a midterm election in which Democrats could seize control of that chamber. But for sheer drama and unpredictability, the contest for control of the Senate could be the place to look.
The House is no slam-dunk for the Democrats, but most Republicans following the campaigns are genuinely worried and probably right to be that way. The overall environment is difficult for the GOP because of President Trump and because of the location of the competitive races; suburban areas as one example. There are so many Republican-held seats at risk (and very few Democratic seats in similar danger) that Democrats have multiple paths to pick up the 23 they need to flip the chamber.
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The range of possibilities in the Senate is not at all the same as in the House. No one questions whether Democrats will gain seats in the House in two months. The question is how many: a few short of the 23 they need, a few more than 23 or a lot more than 23. In the Senate, Republicans could, narrowly, lose control of the chamber or they could end up bolstering their slender two-seat majority.
(Excerpt) Read more at msn.com ...
Load of crapola
The dems ain’t gonna win the house and the senate is going to go plus give or six for the Trump Train
MSM cheerleading for the Dems as usual.
I’m going to move back up to North Dakota so I can vote against Heitkamp..
We’re picking up 12 in the Senate.
... “then Americans don’t deserve what they’ve been given.”
________________________________________________
Some Americans do.
i’m more leery of GOPe incompetence like never before
Please name the 11 seats they gain in the Senate and why for each race. Thank you.
If we dont get that wall, we walk!!
I feel a Democrat 10 seat pickup in the House and a republican pickup on 3 in the senate will be the headlines on November 7th.
Followed by violent protests from the people who instead that “my generation will remove Trump”, and Alyssa Milano crapping her panties live on CNN. RBG dies in office in spring of 2019, Maxine Waters is hospitalized for going apoplectic and Chuckles Schumer announces he’s finally having a sex change operation.
There are 63 million of us who hold a grudge, which we will not let lapse for a mid-term election. We turned out in spades for the puny primaries. I’ll let go of my grudge when the Democratic Party has been decimated.....on or about Nov. 6 & 7.
A real chance, albeit IMO below 50%, Rs lose the house. Probably sub 15% chance Rs lose the Senate - similar chance of going to 58-60 seats in senate as losing it.
Indeed, it does!
Cantwell needs to go!!!!!!
WaPo, wrong as always.
The Senate seems to be at least a +1 to the GOP, with a +8 still very possible.
The House, however.... I think will be nearly tied on NOV 7, about 218-217... with either side getting the all-important seat #218.
(The expected range for the House at the moment is about +17 to +29, Dems. A +23 gives them 218. Hopefully the current polls are skewed Left as always, but I prefer to work with what is out there.)
Very true. RealClearPolitics has the Safe seats at 174-163, Dems. The remaining 98 are currently 77 GOP seats and only 21 Dem. Of the "toss-up" races, 41 of 42 are current GOP seats.
Most of the in-play Senate races are Dem seats (12 of 17), but the GOP faces the same issue in the House.
The Marxist RATs, MSM, Soros and DNC paid protestors and the Soros Antifa paid goons think they can intimidate and crap on us and “our” President Trump and we won’t show up to vote? Really? They really don’t know who we are do they?
Obama has been the best friend to Republicans
winning elections across the country. He is has lost 3 mid term elections in a row. There zero reason for that to change!
I think someone is just being a good cheerleader. RCP has the Safe seats (and not competing) at 46-37, GOP... to get to 62, the GOP would need a virtual sweep, winning 16 of the 17 "in-play" races... 12 of which are current Dem seats.
17 in play (arranged from best-to-worst polling today for the Dem):
OH: Brown (D)
MI: Stabenow (D)
PA: Casey (D)
MN2: Smith (D)
NJ: Menendez (D)
WI: Baldwin (D)
WV: Manchin (D)
AZ: Open (R)
FL: Nelson (D)
IN: Donnelly (D)
MO: McCaskill (D)
MT: Tester (D)
NV: Heller (R)
ND: Heitkamp (D)
TN: Open (R)
TX: Cruz (R)
MS2: Hyde-Smith (R)
The "Safe" races, none of which flip:
DEMOCRATS (14)- CA: Feinstein (D), CT: Murphy (D), DE: Carper (D), HI: Hirono (D), ME: King (I), MD: Cardin (D), MA: Warren (D), MN1: Klobuchar (D), NY: Gillibrand (D), WA: Cantwell (D), VT: Sanders (I), VA: Kaine (D), NM: Heinrich (D), RI: Whitehouse (D)
REPUBLICANS (4) - MS1: Wicker (R), NE: Fischer (R), UT: Romney (R), WY: Barrasso (R)
35 seats up for a vote in NOV, and it is 26-9, current Dem seats. A tall order for the DNC to play defense.
65 seats are not up for a vote in 2018. Those are 42-23, GOP. The RNC gets to play defense for the next 2 cycles.
+1
How about "well short" of 23? That would be to my preference.
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