Forecast confidence increases dramatically between 48 hours out and 24 hours out, and and we are entering that window for landfall.
We’re well into that window already for pre-landfall effects with a storm this large. Anyone under the bulk of the spaghetti curves who isn’t on the road, or at least one foot out the door, is running late.
Yes huge storm area wise and on that point if the eye is 40 miles wide for example and the forecast models have the center stalling 20 miles offshore the eyewall would be onshore.. if the eye were smaller that wouldn’t be the case
Also it moves along the coastline SW. that’s bad but not as bad as moving NE because the NW offshore flow will upswell colder water more quickly and the storm would be moving over that water .. even on non hurricane days an offshore flow up wells colder water near the coast