45,000 sealed indictments will have a huge effect on the election.
He says the GOP will retain the House, lose some seats, but retain the House, but I didn’t readily see comments on the Senate.
It wasn't a radical shift, it was just lying MSM-Democrat manipulation of polling data falling apart.
“For 2018, the CBS News Battleground Tracker has gathered a panel of nearly 5,700 registered voters. Almost all of them live in the 50 to 60 districts that might switch from Republican to Democrat, or vice versa, in November — the only races that matter, when it comes to control of Congress.”
So if some other district, one that they’re not tracking, has an ‘unexpected upset’, they will once again be caught short.
Since CBS got caught with their pants down on Election Night like the rest of the media, I’m surprised this guy did not become the scapegoat and unceremoniously fired.
Yes but the GOP has become complacent AGAIN!!!
It was Trump, PERSONALLY, who gave us the wins in 2016. The GOP’s “you like us, we like you” namby-pamby lazy why-work-when-we-don’t-have-to approach is a LOSER. They are so afraid to take a stand they won’t even work on their BASE!
Here in Texas we have a perfect example. This new flavor of the week beto o’rourke is challenging Ted Cruz for Senate.
beto is really generating excitement (admittedly with complete complicity of the lsm). He is stumping, speechifying and saying all the right things to at least his base and is also coming across as a bit more centrist. The important thing is he is OUT THERE.
Cruz is sitting hunkered down and has been all but invisible. It is bad enough he is getting a reputation as being absent, insular and impossible to reach — his office doesn’t answer the phone, emails get form emails in return and he is absent for many votes.
But there is no EXCITEMENT there, like there was when he won the office back in 2012 and was running against name-recognition Dewhurst.
Where is that grass-roots bang the trash cans effort now?
Not just Cruz but the GOP in general?
President Trump has been holding rallies across the country to keep the base engaged.
Where te HELL is the GOP?
There is a lot at stake here and none of them seem to care.
Have to define some terms here. A “wave” election is not a term that really has a precise meaning. The way Charlie Cook uses it, it means that national issues come to dominate local races. In the last six “waves” (defined ex post) the average number of House seats changing hands is as few as 21, but usually averaging around 35-40.
Point being that arguing about whether something is a “wave” is different to saying that the Democrats won’t win the House. These pollsters are using weasel words to avoid making a call on the actual race, they’re making a call on whether or not ex post this year’s election will be considered a wave.
They’re creating rhetorical space so that even if the Dems win, they can say, yes they won the House, but this was not a wave.
Add to that observation that Trump will be out campaigning 5 days a week which if he wee Obama the press would conclude that having a president out on the campaign will seal the deal.
It seems like the only one campaigning on our side is Trump. Where's the fire, GOP? Record fundraising and silence.
Only poll that matters is held on November 6th.
Wow. It would be great to go back and relive that night. I went to bed early, depressed as usual, that the Dems would win. At 11pm, my husband came into the room and suggested I get up. We were then up until 3am, beaming!
Late deciders made the difference. (from the article)
We were not late deciders, we were tired of their stupid polls and weren’t participating.
That’s why Salvanto is relying more on CBS’s ongoing tracking poll and less on random-sample telephone polling, ahead of this year’s midterm elections.
A tracking poll sets up a panel of thousands of voters and returns to them repeatedly over months. That lets pollsters discern the factors driving voter decisions — and gauge how attitudes change as the campaign wears on. In 2016, only two major surveys’ final predictions foresaw a Trump victory. Both of them — from the LA Times/USC and IBD/TIPP — were tracking polls.
None of these blue wave stories talk about the Senate where Repubs will definitely pick up seats. Because discussing these pickups will ruin the narrative and not suppress the republican vote.
President Trump in W. Virgiia tonight. Spread the word.