>>I don’t see anything on the ground here to make me believe that Casey & Wolf won’t win easy re-election.<<
Well, that’s discouraging. But other polls from June do show a 15-16 point lead by Casey, so you’re probably being realistic.
Still, the #walkaway campaign has been building since then, and the Dems have been going leftward with a vengeance, so maybe we can hope there’s something to this recent poll?
I would love to say that I see Casey and Wolf gone, but honestly I just don’t see anything that give me any reason to think that’s going to happen.
The GOP is not remotely delivering a message that is going to drive anyone outside the base here to show up... those non traditional MAGA voters who turned out big for Trump are not being talked to let alone given a reason to show up this fall.
Dems are going to turn out at near presidential year levels and I see, sadly, nothing on the ground to make me think R’s will get turnout above traditional mid term levels.
I’d love to eat crow in that, but short of the Dems completely overplaying their hand near Election Day and motivating this folks to turn out in soite of the GOP’s electoral incompetence... I really expect Wolf and Casey to win handily.
Sadly for the same reason I see a lot of purple and pink districts going blue, particularly in this part of the country.
The GOP seems unwilling to accept the lessons of Trump