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To: DesScorp; 1_Rain_Drop; 3D-JOY; Abbeville Conservative; Abby4116; acoulterfan; aft_lizard; ...

No question. I’ve said that for six months. Given the number of seats the Ds have to defend, it’s nearly inevitable.

Right now I have a NET gain of about 4 in the senate, but that could change if we hold AZ and NV to net gain of 5-6.

However, there are a few longshots like John James in MI, the recently opened seat in MN, and the always “gettable” Joe Manchin in WV, plus Tester in MT. Richard Baris claims Tester overpolls.

I think it’s 50/50 that we get at least one of those, and not out of the question that we get 2.

As for the House, too soon. AZ hasn’t even had its primary yet, though early primary voting is REALLY good for Rs. As of last night, Republican early voting outpaced Democrats by nearly 12 points (!). This is significant in that Rs usually don’t vote early-—but, caution: R leadership has been pushing early voting, and in OH sent out flyers explaining why “concerns” over early voting weren’t valid. GOP research shows that an early voter will almost always vote the whole ticket, vs. a ED voter who often will only vote a couple of “big” races.

So it’s possible the AZ early vote advantage in part reflects a little “cannibalizing” of election day, but nevertheless, rule of thumb, if the DemoKKKrats can’t win the early vote, they can’t win.

I’m watching about 30 House races, including John Faso’s NY seat; Steve Chabot in OH; CA 48 and 49; AZ1 and McSally’s seat; a couple in FL which really seem to have solidified; two in MN (I think it’s 1 and 8, but 3 is a possibility—two of them as D to R flips); and the seats in PA. If we win a majority of those, no way the DemoKKKrats take the House. But too soon to say right now.


31 posted on 08/19/2018 6:40:24 AM PDT by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: LS
Don't forget we have a Supreme court vote yet to happen.
32 posted on 08/19/2018 6:45:06 AM PDT by GregNH (If you can't fight, please find a good place to hide!)
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To: LS

Thanks for the information. You do fine work.

Best,

L


33 posted on 08/19/2018 6:47:05 AM PDT by Lurker (President Trump isn't our last chance. President Trump is THEIR last chance.)
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To: LS

Thanks LS.


35 posted on 08/19/2018 6:54:34 AM PDT by LouisianaJoanof Arc
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To: LS
The only times I've seen you bungle is on special elections, and those are really tough to call. I take heart from your current analysis.

I do expect Mueller to drop some horrible (and false) accusations on Trump in very late October. And I also expect Deep State Jeff to remark that the charges are "troubling and credible" and that they "besmirch the honor of the office of the President".

I also half-expect a mass-shooting in a school in very late October.

39 posted on 08/19/2018 7:42:22 AM PDT by Lazamataz (NEWS MISLEADIA: The New York Times is so openly dishonest, even their crossword puzzles lie.)
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To: LS

Thanks, LS.

I think we gain 4-5 in the Senate and lose some in the House but not enough to lose the House.

The war will continue but we will be stronger not only in Congress but the nation as a whole.

The Left is showing their true ugly colors and normal, sane people don’t like what they are seeing.

The Social Media censorship is going to help us.


40 posted on 08/19/2018 7:55:18 AM PDT by laplata (Leftists/Progressives have diseased minds.)
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To: LS

Thanks!


41 posted on 08/19/2018 7:57:22 AM PDT by Rusty0604
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To: LS

Always enjoy your optimism. Trump doing so well in spite of the enemies with in and without that God must not let fail. A Majority House and Senator must be this Fall for us...she then to utterly destroy the left in 2020.


44 posted on 08/19/2018 9:24:23 AM PDT by nikos1121 (Trump w/ Cabinet to the press:"You're free to stay or to go, as I believe in a free press." lol)
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To: LS
YOU were right about Trump winning...

Then when many of us were praying for a miracle you were mentally picking out Trump's cabinet. You seem optimistic again ... makes me happy.

51 posted on 08/19/2018 12:48:24 PM PDT by GOPJ (Media is the 'smug thugs' arm of the Democrat Party....)
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To: LS
Don't forget the Secret Sauce of the DNC/CPUSA party....

Voter Fraud

It will be massive - especially in House races to be able to impeach PDJT.

The totalitarian communists have no other play to regain control.

54 posted on 08/19/2018 4:37:16 PM PDT by newfreep ("INSIDE EVERY PROGRESSIVE IS A TOTALITARIAN SCREAMING TO GET OUT" @HOROWITZ39, DAVID HOROWITZ)
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To: LS

Thanks LS, for staying on top of this! Much appreciated...


57 posted on 08/20/2018 7:12:16 AM PDT by karnage
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