Posted on 08/16/2018 3:34:12 PM PDT by tcrlaf
Remember kiddies... This is the same bunch that told us that Hillary had a 99% chance of winning on the morning of Election Day.
(Excerpt) Read more at projects.fivethirtyeight.com ...
If Trump voters sit on their ass in Nov like they did in Ohio 12th just recently, their 2016 vote was meaningless and the Trump train will be derailed. A minimum of 200 subpoenas per committee with Democrat chairmen in charge and forget about another Conservative on SCOTUS. For Pete’s sake, why can’t people see the long term of their short sightedness?
Every special election, Dems have been putting up near presidential year turnout, while GOP has not generally even getting their midterm numbers.
The only reason the GOP has not lost most of these special elections has been they have been in deep enough red districts that even with full D it hasn’t been enough in them.
The midterms, are almost certainly a loss of the house... UNLESS the GOP start realizing they can’t win by simply calling their opponent Pelosi clones or names... this DOESN’T PLAY outside the base at all.. and you can’t win against the highly motivated D base, without getting outside of yours when you are not in a DEEP red district.
The upper midwest, that Trump so expertly marched right up in 2016, will disappoint with that stupid messaging. You HAVE to get the non traditional MAGA voters to show up, and care.. and that sort of messaging won’t do it.
The DEMS overplaying their hands, sadly is the only chance I see for the GOP to not lose the house... The Supreme Court Fight will bring out the crazy of the D’s... no doubt.. but the GOP is shooting for confirmation prior to the new session beginning in Oct... IF the GOP does this, it will be good he is seated for the new sesssion... but may be too far away from election day for the Dem Crazy to affect the election.
We shall see how it plays out...
The 538 poll the day of the election... 11/8/16:
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=2016-forecast-analysis
Well the apparent 36 percent of blacks approving of Trump is an encouraging sign. That’s supposedly not our “base” but it dang well should be.
You will have to wait for her to stop coughing first.
So what if they win?
We are awake now.
No post-constitutional BS will be allowed
Just sayin’ demos win by fraud alone.
And homey don’t play that....
I remember when Zogby was the bee’s knees. Wikipedia says that his polling firm was accurate for the presidential elections from 1996–2012.
We have great opportunities before us, but we have to turn out and vote come November!
The two best indicators I had that Trump was going to win was the article I read here on Free Republic (the Saturday, I think) before the election that said the Clinton campaign had cancelled their scheduled post-election fireworks show on the NYC waterfront over “concerns from the city’s Fire Marshal.”
The other was that weird video Hillary put out the week or so before asking why she wasn’t up 50% if everyone was saying she was up by 25%.
No polling necessary. It was all about the fear you could sense in Hillary’s camp and the confidence you could sense in Trump’s.
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