A finish of +8 is still reasonably possible.
Why do Buckeyes so like this Brown? I never understood that, but Buckeyes do those things.
Trump does 3 rallies a week should just about cover it.
A big Democrat Swamp scandal would be nice in a few weeks.
Concern in NV is that there may be enough votes for jack-ee Rosen coming out of Vegas to beat Heller and screw the rest of the counties. He may not be great but he’s not a dem. We already have one of those.
JMO, but in WV, Morrisey doesn’t seem to have the resources to go toe-to-toe with Manchin. Manchin & related PACs have managed to define Morrisey as a carpetbagger & in cahoots with Big Pharma(!).
The response from the Morrisey 2018 bunch? Attempts to portray Manchin as pro-choice & pro-immigration. Again, IMO, these efforts fall short of the mark.
If I had anything to do with advertising for the Morrisey 2018 campaign (I don’t) I would hammer Manchin as “Joe 2-face.” Says one thing, does another. Or maybe bill Manchin as the “Senator from Bloomberg.” Crank the spots out in comic-book fashion to get the low-info voter.
Should anyone from the Morrisey camp see this, you’re welcome.
As for Ohio, the GOPe candidate — Jim Renacci defeated Mike Gibbons to face Sherrard Brown (aka McGruff the Crime Dog). See the poll numbers? Say what you like about Mike Gibbons as a candidate, but he clearly would have taken the fight to Brown in a way Renacci studiously hasn’t. IMO, just a poor candidate to put up against Brown.
YMMV.
What’s going to happen if GOP pick up 10 Senate seats AND hold the house?
I mean, who are the rats going to blame? Chi-coms, Norks, QAnon, Ruskies, who else do they have to throw under the bus, Fox news???
Since 1978 in the 23 instances were an incumbent Senator ran for re-election in a state where the opposite party’s presidential candidate had taken it, the number of incumbents who lost is zero. Not saying that will be the case this year, but the fact that Trump took all those states with Democrat incumbents is not a predictor on who will be re-elected in November.
This is the real reason the Left started its attack on Trump.
They needed to save the Senate.
The GOP-e decided to help them.
CT voters has a primary today...the R Senator sounds great...Murphy is a clone of Bill Nelson, but stupider...
Don’t know what t think.
I wasn’t on the jury and did not hear or read the testimony.
TEX (Trump +9): Cruz (R) +6 (the fact that TEXAS is this close
gets Dems excited... but that 9% = 813,000 votes to overcome)
*************
Cruz will win. This election is a statewide
race for government positions, Gov on down.
My opinion:
Democrats retain (16):
California
Connecticut
Delaware
Hawaii
Maryland
Massachusetts
Minnesota 1
Minnesota 2
New Jersey
New Mexico
New York
Rhode Island
Virginia
Washington
Maine
Vermont
- - -
Republicans retain (9):
Arizona
Mississippi
Nebraska
Tennessee
Texas
Utah
Wyoming
Mississippi
Nevada
- - -
Flip from D to R (5):
Indiana
Missouri
Montana
North Dakota
West Virginia
- - -
Battleground (5):
Florida
Michigan
Ohio
Pennsylvania
Wisconsin
- - -
The fat lady is not singing yet.
The Republican leads in 5, not 4. You forgot to count Rick Scott who leads Bill Nelson. I’d bet dollars to donuts Scott wins that election.
I’m a bit concerned about Tennessee. I’m hopeful Marsha Blackburn wins it. I haven’t seen recent polling there.
I think Heitkamp in North Dakota, Donnelly in Indiana and McCaskill in Missouri go down.
I win in NJ would be stunning.
Nevada could go either way and Arizona looks like a tossup for that seat though I am simply stunned that an openly Lesbian Democrat could actually win a seat in Arizona. Figure the Democrat wins at least one of those two.
So I’ll conservatively estimate the Republicans gain a net +2 or +3 Senate seats. Not a great results but not bad and buys some insurance against Rinos getting wobbly.
I heard that PA just had a close poll, where Casey was up only 3, not 17... but I cannot find it. Anyone have a source?
They just put NJ and WI into the "Leaning Dem" category, from the "Safe Dem" category.