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Weak Evidence For New Gun Control Laws
Townhall.com ^ | July 23, 2018 | John R. Lott Jr

Posted on 07/23/2018 8:54:38 AM PDT by Kaslin

Since the February shooting at a high school in Parkland, Florida, gun control advocates have been crowing about all the new gun control laws that they are getting passed. This past week, Gabby Giffords’ gun control organization, the Giffords Law Center, touted the passage this year of 55 new gun-control laws in 26 states, the most in any recent year on record. And Illinois Republican Governor Bruce Rauner signed two new gun control bills into law at the end of last week.

Everyone wants to do something to stop mass public shootings. Unfortunately, these laws will not make Americans safer and surely won’t prevent mass public shootings such as the one in Parkland.

We have to be careful that gun control laws not disarm law-abiding citizens instead of criminals. To the extent that this happens, gun control laws will increase crime.  So there needs to be reasonable evidence that the regulations actually reduce crime.  Let’s take a look at the proposals that are getting the most traction right now.

1) “Universal background checks.”  One survey shows that 22% of guns obtained in the US in the last two years were acquired without a background check. But this is mainly a result of inheritances and, to a lesser extent, gifts. There is no evidence that guns acquired through inheritance are commonly used in crime. The survey claims that 16% of the time, guns are obtained when people purchase guns at stores without undergoing background checks. But this is illegal everywhere in the US, and is not a credible claim.

Universal background checks would impose checks on private transfers of guns.  But research by economists and criminologists consistently shows that this wouldn’t reduce any type of crime rate. The research shows the same thing for background checks in general.

Some surveys show 90% public support for universal background checks. But when these laws were put on the ballots in Nevada and Maine in 2016, they had a hard time breaking 50%, despite Michael Bloomberg massively outspending his opponents by 3-to-1 or 6-to-1 margins.

One problem is the incredibly high error rate in the background check system. Instead of stopping actual felons, it almost always mistakenly stops people who have similar names to felons.

Another problem is the cost of these checks, which can add anything from $55 to the price of a gun in Oregon to $125 in DC to up to $200 in New York City. This can prevent poor people from getting the guns that they need to defend themselves and their families. 

If background checks reduce crime, then everyone benefits and the costs should be covered by taxpayers. But Democrats will fight tooth and nail against that, because they want gun buyers to bear the burden. In 2013, all but two Democrats in the Colorado House of Representatives voted against a Republican amendment to exempt impoverished individuals from a new tax on private transfers of guns.

2) “Red flag laws.”   This law would allow people’s guns to be taken away without even a hearing before a judge, which is something that most states currently require.  When people really pose a clear danger to themselves or others, they should be confined to a mental health facility.  But denying them the right to legally buy a gun won't accomplish anything. People can get guns in other ways, and just about as easily as they can buy illegal drugs. And if someone is really a danger, why only take away his guns?   Why not also take away other things that can be used as weapons, such as cars? Giving the government this kind of power will erode personal freedoms and may not save any lives at all.

3) Take guns out of the hands of accused domestic abusers.  People convicted of either misdemeanor or felony domestic violence already lose the right to own a gun for the rest of their lives. But people make false accusations all the time, and a man may well become enraged by the confiscation of his firearms. Such a law may lead to explosive situations. Obviously, taking away a man’s gun doesn't prevent him from engaging in abuse.

4) Safe storage gun laws. Nicolas Kristof at the New York Times recently pointed to evidence that most people don’t lock up their guns. He believes that requiring individuals to lock up their guns will reduce accidental child gun deaths and teenage suicides. 

The CDC claims that from 2006 to 2015, an average of 59 children under the age of 15 died annually from accidental gunshots.  According to my research, published in the Journal of Law and Economics and elsewhere, accidental gun deaths and suicides among these young people didn’t change when gunlock laws were enacted.

Gunlock laws in certain states have made it more difficult for people to defend their families. This will embolden criminals to attack more people in their homes; there were 300 more total murders and 4,000 more rapes annually in states with these laws. Burglaries also rose dramatically.

Gun control advocates are used to getting their way without having to address the arguments made against their proposals. That doesn’t create a productive dialogue, and it doesn’t help us figure out what laws will actually save the most lives.


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Editorial
KEYWORDS: banglist; guncontroll

1 posted on 07/23/2018 8:54:38 AM PDT by Kaslin
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To: Kaslin

The gun grabbing/tyrannical bastards will never give up.


2 posted on 07/23/2018 8:56:40 AM PDT by laplata (Liberals/Progressives have diseased minds.)
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To: Kaslin

John Lott makes good arguments.

Independents are influenced, if they see the arguments.

It is all about getting the information out there.


3 posted on 07/23/2018 9:19:16 AM PDT by marktwain (President Trump and his supporters are the Resistance. His opponents are the Reactionaries.)
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To: laplata
The gun grabbing/tyrannical bastards will never give up.

No they will not. The worship of government power is a religion to them, so you cannot reason with them (their position isn't based on reason) and you cannot bargain with them (because they will never honor any bargain, and they have absolutely nothing to offer anyway - they want to take your fundamental right to self defense and give you nothing in return).

This can only end three ways.

  1. They win and achieve total civilian disarmament. Like Jews going meekly into the cattle cars the American people hand over their guns to the police, and the few resisters are killed "resisting arrest." This is their desired outcome. Note they don't mind guns in the hands of police and other government JBTs
  2. They try to impose total disarmament, but enough of their beloved police and enough of them are killed to make the issue moot for a generation
  3. We win enough political power to destroy them legislatively
The problem is that they don't acknowledge elections when they lose.
4 posted on 07/23/2018 9:19:37 AM PDT by from occupied ga (Your government is your most dangerous enemy)
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To: JohnLott

Ping.


5 posted on 07/23/2018 9:23:07 AM PDT by ButThreeLeftsDo (Free Republic Needs Your Monthly Donations!!!)
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To: Kaslin

Now over 20,000 state and federal gun laws and more are needed?


6 posted on 07/23/2018 9:44:08 AM PDT by SkyDancer ( ~ Just Consider Me A Random Fact Generator ~ Eat Sleep Fly Repeat ~)
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To: Kaslin; All
Note that the congressional record shows that constitutional lawmaker Rep. John Bingham had included the 2nd Amendment (2A) when he read to the House the first eight amendments as examples of constitutional protections that the states obligated themselves to respect when they ratified the 14th Amendment (14A).

In other words, 14A gives citizens the power to work with federal lawmakers to make punitive federal civil laws that discourage state actors from making laws / policies that abridge constitutionally enumerated protections.

H O W E V E R …

All roads of corruption in the federal and state governments lead to Congress imo.

More specifically, we’re still stuck with a corrupt, post-17th Amendment ratification Congress left over from the lawless Obama Administration that has a track record for wrongly remaining silent while state actors abridge constitutionally enumerated protections, 2nd Amendment-protections in this example.

The remedy for Constitution-ignoring federal and state governments …

Patriots need to finish the job that they started when they elected Trump president.

More specifically, patriots now need to be making sure that there are plenty of Trump-supporting candidates on the 2018 primary ballots, candidates who will be willing to make punitive laws to discourage state actors from abridging constitutionally enumerated protections.

Patriots then need to pink-slip career lawmakers by sending patriot candidate lawmakers to DC on election day so they can start supporting Trump in weeding the constitutionally enumerated rights abusers out of the system.

And until the states wise up and repeal the ill-conceived 17th Amendment, as evidenced by concerns about the integrity of the outcome of Alabama's and Pennsylvania's special elections, patriot candidates need to win elections by a large enough margin to compensate for the following concerns.


7 posted on 07/23/2018 9:59:28 AM PDT by Amendment10
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To: from occupied ga

Very well said and right on!

They are extremely dangerous and determined. If they ever can do so, they would round us up and load us on the cattle cars. People such as John Brennan would gladly become Camp Commandants. And there are a lot of John Brennan’s among their ranks.

This time the “Jews” are armed.


8 posted on 07/23/2018 10:12:22 AM PDT by laplata (Liberals/Progressives have diseased minds.)
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To: Kaslin

I don’t know.

Very strict guns laws appear to have worked in Toronto and at Trader Joe’s in Silver Lake.

/s


9 posted on 07/23/2018 10:41:53 AM PDT by School of Rational Thought
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