Posted on 07/10/2018 3:15:27 PM PDT by detective
Democrats are in for an uphill battle in November’s midterm elections as they struggle to overtake the GOP-led Senate, according to an Axios and SurveyMonkey poll of key states released Tuesday.
Although Democrats only need to pick up two seats to gain the majority in the Senate, they are struggling to control 10 states already held by Democratic senators. These states are now predominantly red states with voters who are strong supporters of President Donald Trump. They include Indiana, Missouri, Montana and North Dakota, all of which Trump won in 2016, while his Democratic opponent Hillary Clinton couldn’t even win over 40 percent of voters in any of those states, according to a Politico report.
Chances of flipping most states where Republican senators are up for reelection seems slim, with states like Nebraska, Utah and Wyoming most likely a solid GOP win, according to polling data by RealClearPolitics. Democrats’ only hope will be to replace GOP Sen. Jeff Flake from Arizona as he retires with one of their own, while simultaneously defeating GOP Sen. Dean Heller in Nevada.
(Excerpt) Read more at dailycaller.com ...
Sounds like the winning "strategy" proposed by George Will.
What is alarming is the deluge of people from blue states moving here.I am afraid we are losing the state.
Menendez led Republican ex-Marine Hugin 28 percent to 24 percent, with 46 percent undecided, in a recent poll. Nobody on the left is eager to vote for Menendez, who also had to beat down underage hooker allegations. Hugin's a milquetoast middle-of-the-roader, but he'd be a great pick up over Menendez, and next to closeted presidential pretender Corey Booker.
If I were the dems I would go in with an anti-fracking anti-pipeline pro-environment pro- EPA regulatory bureaucracy stance. I would make it the cornerstone of my campaign. I know for a fact those folk detest economic growth and jobs in a productive industry and would not trade a pristine environment for a better economy. /s/
Yes. We must. However it's the Establishment Republicans who are experts at that. Trumpsters do the opposite. Let's pray for a Trumpster surge in the GOP. If Trumpsters take over the Republican Party, America will be saved from the Jaws of Destruction.
“‘the media are the real leaders of the Democrat party’”
i’ve repeatedly said something similar, but i’ve gone Rush one step further: i’ve maintained that the leftist fake stream media IS the Dem party at this point, given that the Dem party is in total disarray, unable to raise money, and unable to establish or articulate a coherent platform ...
also i believe you are absolutely spot on regarding the rest of your post ... if you are correct, and i believe you are, then the midterms should be an absolute blowout in favor of the Pubs ...
Remember, they cheat.
LOL!
It’s the Blue Ripple.
From your keyboard to God’s monitor screen...
“Many of us will stay home and let Sinema win. We are sick of voting for the lesser of two evils and then being called names for doing as the party says.”
that’s a really great idea ... that’ll show ‘em ... especially if you never want Trump to appoint another Federal judge during his next 6.5 year in office, including SCOTUS judges ...
RINO votes count just as much in Congress as non-RINO votes, no matter how reprehensible they may be ... so, either suck it up buttercup or help the Socialist Democrat Party obtain majorities in Congress so that they can impeach Trump, impeach SCOTUS judges, and pack SCOTUS with more than nine judges, all things that top Dem leadership have threatened during the last week ...
Let’s pick up a few surprising seats...Murphy seat and Warren’s Tipi, er sorry I meant seat...
Replacing Flake with a Flake.
Danger for DEMS
FL (Trump won by 1): Bill Nelson-D (AUG 24 Primary, current polling has Nelson behind Rick Scott 46-41)
IN (Trump by 19): Joe Donnelly-D already polling behind 48-47 to Mike Braun
ND (Trump by 36): Heidi Heitkamp-D down 48-44 to Kevin Kramer-R
SHOULD be danger for Dems, but somehow, unconscionably, isn't a GOP lead yet.
WV (Trump won by 42): Joe Manchin-D was polling behind Patrick Morrissey (44-46 on MAY 10), but now up 50-43 (JUN 19)
MO (Trump by 18): Claire McCaskill-D up, but only 48-44 over Josh Hawley
MT (Trump by 21): Jon Tester-D up 52-44 over Matt Rosendale in May, but Trump visited recently
That's +3, but more could be in play, with a huge effort form the RNC (yeah, right)...
OH (Trump won by 8): Sherrod Brown, seeking his 3rd term in Ohio (GOP candidate is Jim Renacci, current polling at 51-38 for Brown)
WI (Trump won by 0.8%): Tammy Baldwin (AUG 14 Primary, Vukmir likely GOP candidate but polls behind 49-40)
PA (Trump won by 0.7%): Bob Casey (Lou Barletta is a weak challenger, 47-32 is the most recent poll)
MICH (Trump won by 0.2%): Debbie Stabenow, 40 yrs in MI politics (AUG 7 Primary, Stabenow polling 51-30 over both likely opponents)
Still, +3 would be nice... But... NEV, TENN, and ARIZ are currently potential DEM pickups:
There's 4 current GOP seats in danger:
NEV (Trump lost by 2): Jacky Rosen-D up 45-41 early over incumbent Dean Heller-R
ARIZ (Trump won by 4): AUG 28 Primary to replace Jeff Flake (RINO)... Krysten Sinema-D polling ahead of Martha McSally-RINO early, 39-32, with 20+% undecided.
TENN (Trump won by 26): Corker (RINO) retiring, Primary AUG 2, Phil Bredesen-D polled over Marsha Blackburn-R, 46-43 on MAY 1.
MISS (Trump won by 18): Special Election Jungle Primary to replace retired RINO Thad Cochran... leader is current appointee Cindy Hyde-Smith-R over Mike Espy-D and Chris McDaniel-R, 30-22-17. There is a likely runoff if nobody gets 50%. She is polling ahead of Espy 46-34, head to head.
The other 20 races are pretty much already decided (>10% spread in poling). 13 DEM (WA, CA MINNx2, VA, CT, RI, MASS, NJ, NY, MD, DEL, HI) and 5 GOP (MISS#2, TX, UT, NEB, WY) and 2 IND (Maine and VT)
Several August Primaries coming up.
LIKE
We gain at least 5 senate seats this fall.
Bank on it.
I hope so... and, as usual, the biggest push forward will likely have to come from Trump, not the RNC.
I still cannot believe that TENN and MT are both in play. 1/2 of those who voted for Trump will not go for the GOP Senator? HALF???
(It's almost like they've been paying attention to how ineffective the Congressional Republicans have been since 2016! Hmm.)
And WV??? Seriously? A 42-pt win can’t get a GOP Senator???
“Looks like we get 4-6 seats.”
I see it that way, too. And we hold the House.
And there will be a new Speaker.
L
Wish we had a new Speaker now:)
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