Says here it’s close: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2018/senate/mo/missouri_senate_hawley_vs_mccaskill-6280.html
I saw the senile biddy on CSPAN ranting about “children separated from her parents”. :-)
The R candidate needs to keep it simple:
“My opponent has made it absolutely clear what her number one priority is—and that is helping illegal aliens. My number one priority—the U.S. citizens of Missouri.”
Consider the previous Senate elections:
In 2012: McCaskill:54% and Akin:39%, with a third party candidate getting the rest.
In 2006, McCaskill narrowly squeaked by with 49.6% to republican Jim Talent.
The 2006 election is the one that is more pertinent. Recall that in 2012, McCaskill had no challenger in her primary, and the dufus republicans had an OPEN primary, so the democrats conspired to vote in the republican primary for Akin (a wing nut). This was just enough to give Akin victory in a 3-person primary battle. Shortly afterwards, Akin made his stupid ‘if a woman is really being raped then the vagina contracts, making intercourse impossible’ comment. Akin then refused to quit the race. Akin was a gift to McCaskill, and this was the reason for her huge victory margin.
The 2006 result is a better model. But this ain’t 2006. This is 2018, where the democrat party has taken a far left turn. All of these attacks on Trump by the lamestream media are having the opposite effect IMHO.
And just like Hillary, there is the McCaskill ‘hag effect’. Sorry to say it, but it’s true.
As long as the republican candidate does not put his foot in his mouth a la Akin, MO should go red.