She is, but the faux candidacy of Sheriff Joe-—WHO IS BACKING HIM???-—has split the anti-McTurd vote right down the middle. Ms McTurd is now about 1% ahead of the combined Ward/Joe vote-—which isn’t a good sign no matter how you look at it.
The issue here is money, too. Ward isn’t “poor”, she does have $1.9 million. Marfa has $4.2 million. Arpaio has a paltry half-million.
https://www.opensecrets.org/races/election?id=AZ