Posted on 06/04/2018 3:00:13 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
November 6, 2018 is the only poll that counts>
And just think where we would be if we had a Republican Congress that didn’t actively try to tank President Trump. We need to screw these guys right out of their chairs in November.
Excellent!
How long before the news media decides that red is a more favorable color than blue and swap the colors again?
“November 6, 2018 is the only poll that counts>”
Rush was saying the left thinks that the exit polling is more reliable. Hahahahaha
Blue wave becomes a yellow stream. At least they can write their names in the snow.
don’t say “excellent” just yet....the rats are motivated and have the GOTV advantage via their hatred for Trump...the stupid party/GOPe has done nothing to encourage its base...
my concern is unlike 2010 and 2014 when we had the Tea Party kicking butt and taking names, i don’t see any real conservative grass roots movement to push the GOTV at this point..
Yes, certainly, the Democrats will be devastated if they don’t take the House in November, and it’s hard to imagine the level of despondency that will take hold if Trump wins reelection in 2020. In theory, that would be the time to take the Party out of the hands of the far left, but I’m not sure that there are enough rational Democrats left to be able to do that.
This issue is raised early in every election year.
First, assessments of political polls must consider the client, the person or entity that pays for the poll. Almost all public polls are paid for by the media. The media use polls to supplement their stories and to generate interest in their news products. They want a certain outcome of their investment and the outcome changes as the election day becomes closer. The polls that we see now are an opportunity to advance the media’s preference for an upcoming election. Since, they can never been held accountable for the results of early polls, they can use whatever methodology they think will get the result they want. When the election is imminent, the media must change their methodology because the actual election result will be compared with their polls. They have to be more accurate. In 2016, they were so confident of the outcome, they didn’t think that they needed to calibrate their polls. They could report a Clinton blowout because they knew that would be the result. Oops.
Second, the pollsters always claim that these early polls include “all Americans”, or “registered voters” because it’s too early to know who will vote in November. This may be true, but it will give the result they want. These populations will always favor the Democrats since many of these people will not bother to vote. So, they know that the result will be skewed. They could adjust the result using historical data, but it would defeat one of their purpose of these early polls.
The best advise: ignore the bottom line poll result, just watch for the trends, and the trends right now favor the Republicans.
The excellent was for the graphic.
Yes, I’m aware that the GOPe has a long record of snatching defeat from victory. And that victory is far from assured even if the GOPe wasn’t stupid.
Why has this shift occurred? The reasons for President Trump's rebound are myriad...
Number one, there is no shift -- he's never lost support, the books were cooked each and every time some partisan media shill wanted to smear him.WE HAVE ONE JOB -- SHOW UP IN NOVEMBER.
Good assessment.
when it comes to their own primaries they’re right
One number that I will pay close attention to is the black male (outside the inner city) vote for ages 21-35
Just think, during the entire six-month period that the Democrats have lost 10 points in the generic ballot, not a minute has gone by that the liberal media has not denounced, ridiculed, and attacked Donald Trump.
Bring on the Red Tsunami!
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