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To: Alberta's Child
It would go a long way toward explaining a lot of curious things about why Trump was able to pull off such a stunning upset in the 2016 election. Just to name a few:

Seriously? Like he could possibly hide polling data in Wisconsin or Michigan?

Hillary lost because she's a f***ing idiot. This electoral college crap isn't hard. Trump's path to a win is pretty much narrowed down to having to pick off some critical states. Block him in any of those, and he's done.

She didn't look at or didn't believe polling information coming out of critical swing states like Ohio, Pennsylvania, and so forth. She thought they couldn't possibly vote for Trump because they hadn't voted Republican in a long time.

She was a lazy idiot. It's that simple.

133 posted on 05/11/2018 3:26:39 PM PDT by DiogenesLamp ("of parents owing allegiance to no other sovereignty.")
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To: DiogenesLamp
Had nothing to do with hiding anything. But I could easily see a scenario where top Trump campaign officials -- maybe even Trump himself -- fabricated an internal debate over Wisconsin and Michigan ... perhaps telling each other that they should stage rallies there just to put up a brave front even though they knew damn well they were going to lose those states. Do you think that would motivate Hillary to campaign in places like Texas and Arizona in the last days of the campaign?

Hillary lost because she's a f***ing idiot. This electoral college crap isn't hard. Trump's path to a win is pretty much narrowed down to having to pick off some critical states. Block him in any of those, and he's done.

The electoral college isn't hard, but the way it played out in 2016 was certainly unexpected.

If you had told me in late October 2016 that Trump would win the election, I would have believed you.

If you had told me that he would win the election the way he did, I would have thought you were crazy. Start with the 2012 election map and list the Obama states (in order of probability) that Trump would win, I'd come up with the following:

1. Iowa
2. Ohio
3. Florida
4. New Hampshire
5. Virginia
6. Nevada
7. New Mexico
8. Colorado

I listed these in this order because with the exception of New Hampshire, these were all states that George W. Bush won in 2004. I would have put Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania (in some order) as #9 through #11.

142 posted on 05/12/2018 11:36:19 AM PDT by Alberta's Child ("I saw a werewolf drinking a pina colada at Trader Vic's.")
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