Posted on 05/08/2018 4:44:37 PM PDT by Morgana
I’m relieved to hear that, given those supposed “internal polls” showing that aßhat Blankety-Blank Blankenship ahead. Morrisey would make the most conservative senator of the three frontrunners, although I fear that he’ll have a tougher time beating Manchin than would have Jenkins. Morrisey-Manchin should be a horserace to the end, but at least we have an even chance of winning, as opposed to no chance with Blankenship.
I just hope that Blankenship doesn’t run as an independent as he threatened to do if Morrisey won the nomination. Blankenship should get get the message that Republican voters sent him and just go away.
Oh thank God!!!!
Those internal polls, wherever they came from, didn’t pass the smell test to begin with. Blankenship apparently can’t run Independent because WV has a sore loser law. He also appears not to even be a resident of the state (I’m told he lives in Nevada), so I don’t know how he even qualified for the ballot.
I think you overestimate Jenkins as a candidate. No reason to believe he’d be any stronger. He was also not trusted by Conservatives, having a squishy record slightly to the left of Capito, a paltry 63% lifetime rating from the ACU. Morrisey has already won statewide and was the “Conservative” preference. Hopefully he’ll vote closer to Alex Mooney’s record.
I see no reason that Morrisey doesn’t win by at least 10% over Manchin, so long as he doesn’t screw up, and highlights Manchin’s terrible record (I was shocked that he dropped from a 27% ACU score in 2016 down to an 8%(!) in 2017. The way he’s been talking and others, you’d think he was at 50%).
I guess the media was indulging in some wishful thinking with regards to Blankens**t’s chances.
According to Poltics1, Rocky De La Feunte is on the ballot for Senate in CA and FL.
How the hell can you be a resident of 2 states, is this bastard registered to vote in both states?
Some months ago you told me your gut said Manchin would win.
Excellent question.
I believed he would win for a few reasons: if we had a weak and uninspiring candidate for starters. Morrisey managed to defeat a rich nutjob, and that should give him some momentum. I thought if he ended up facing a weak and uninspiring Jenkins, nevermind the nutjob, he might prevail. Manchin’s voting record apparently has shockingly moved in the wrong direction (I didn’t see the 2017 ratings until today, the ACU hadn’t put them up until recently, apparently).
Crap like we saw with him talking out of both sides of his ass with the abortion issue was flooring, and Morrisey should be highlighting all of this. He’s voting 92% of the time with the far left and against the President (the irony is that that 8% Manchin got was the highest rating for a Dem Senator) and in a state where not a single county has voted Democrat for President since 2008. He’s simply out of step and well out of touch with the electorate.
Add to that, now, recent polling data showed well over 50% of WV voters want to replace Manchin with someone else. It’s been 66 years since that Senate seat voted Republican, and it’s well past time for a change in direction.
RINO Walter Jones in NC renominated with just 43% (40% runoff threshold). Ugh.
“because there was a good chance that Joe would flip parties.”
I’ve always hoped he would. Unfortunately, like most politicians, he probably has a dirty skeleton hiding somewhere that all of a sudden would come to life if he were to flip parties. Considering he’s a long time dem, it’s highly likely.
Saw that about Jones winning again. The opposition split the vote again. RINO Pittenger got ousted in NC-9, though.
I see in IN that Mike Braun’s brother lost for a House seat nomination, but VP Pence’s brother won in his district.
Alas, as for OH, they got the Establishment RINO Cuban guy into Renacci’s seat over Christina Hagan. And, sadly, DeRINO winning, albeit by an unimpressive margin given his resources/endorsements, etc.
Back to WV, it looks like the late OH Congressman Sam Devine’s daughter (who will be 68) won the nomination for Evan Jenkins’s seat. A wee bit old to be embarking on a career in Congress. Her dad was 65 when he lost in 1980 after 22 years in Congress, one of the few Republican losses in the Reagan landslide. Sadly, Devine’s defeat by a Democrat paved the way for a certain Republican to take the seat back in 1982... that being none other than John “Pig Vomit” Kasich himself. Ugh.
You saw that Manchin voted 92% leftist in 2017 ? He actually managed to move further to the left, not to the right, from 2016. Folks seem to think this guy has a remotely moderate record and he doesn’t. If a Republican had a 92% leftist rating, we’d call them a Communist.
fair enough. won’t disagree with you on that. I’ve always felt though that Manchin is more of just an old school democrat then the anti-American commies that plague the party today.
I like Blankenship - but he would be the Roy Moore candidate....
I supported Christina Hagan in OH-16 because she’s a proven conservative with a record as a state legislator to prove it and is young enough to become a national leader someday. But I wouldn’t describe businessman and ex-NFL player Anthony Gonzalez as an “Establishment RINO.” While, like all candidates seeking their first political office, he lacks a legislative or other government record to back up his issue positions, his stances on important issues are quite conservative: https://voteanthonygonzalez.com/issues/. “Establishment RINOs” don’t receive an endorsement from Ohio Right to Life, or call for the end to chain migration and the construction of a wall on our southern border, or support replacing Obamacare with market-based reforms, or endorse renegotiating the Iran nuclear deal. Is there a reason why you think that Gonzalez’s issue positions are not genuine?
Hard to NOT go with an OSU guy if you’re in OH. That alone carries a ton of support.
BTW, the early numbers I looked at were huge in GOP favor. With 84% in the GOP had turned out 250,000 more voters.
You cannot discount the fact that Hernandez was an OSU player in and OSU district.
In OH, this is like being Bear Bryant’s son would be in AL.
If I didn’t say so on this thread, Richard Baris of PPD thinks Morrissey can beat Manchin.
He thinks Braun has a pretty good shot at Donnelly. Last night poll had Scott up 4 in FL.
Those would be three “flips.” MO and ND should be easy targets.
More worried about AZ-—either Ward or McSally will have a race-—plus we could lose McSally’s House seat; Heller will be difficult in NV; Tester should be a sitting duck, but isn’t.
However, getting strong candidates in IN and WV gives me more hope for a larger senate margin than I thought. If we can find someone in WI, and if James can get quick name recognition in MI, we could have a shot at 57-even 59 seats.
I know html just fine. I just think it’s silly to have to enter html in manually in the 21st century.
Turnout numbers were good for the GOP in OH, IN and much of NC. I am a bit concerned with relatively low GOP turnout in NC-02 and NC-09, two Democrat pickup opportunities. RAT turnout was much higher in WV as well, but that’s to be expected due to historical Democrat registration in the state.
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