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We Have A Congressman Calling For Civil War
http://www.market-ticker.org/akcs-www?post=233438 ^ | May 5, 2018 | Karl Denninger

Posted on 05/06/2018 7:22:23 AM PDT by Wolfie

We Have A Congressman Calling For Civil War

Let's not mince words: Eric Swalwell is advocating for Civil War.

"Instead, we should ban possession of military-style semiautomatic assault weapons, we should buy back such weapons from all who choose to abide by the law, and we should criminally prosecute any who choose to defy it by keeping their weapons. The ban would not apply to law enforcement agencies or shooting clubs."

.... " The Parkland teens have taught us there is no right more important than every student’s right to come home after class. The right to live is supreme over any other."

Right here, Mr. Sawlwell is advocating for a civil war -- right now.

He is in fact advocating for millions of murders.

He is claiming as justification exactly the same argument made for keeping slaves -- that some people are superior to others.

Mr. Swalwell claims that the right to live is supreme over any other.

The problem is that without disarming everyone -- including every weapon, and that includes the police, he is declaring that this right only exists for certain people and not others and he intends to murder anyone who disagrees with them.

Let's not mince words: All laws are ultimately backed by homicide. If you refuse to respect the validity of the law the guns will come out and they will be used on you. That's homicide and those arguing for laws are in each and every case arguing for homicide. We thus must debate for each and every law what category that proposed homicide falls into. I remind you there are several categories of homicide, including:

1. Meritorious (e.g. shooting someone who is raping your daughter) 2. Justifiable (e.g. shooting someone who breaks into your home -- but has not yet attacked you.) 3. Accidental (e.g. you lose control of your vehicle due to black ice on the road, etc.) 4. Negligent (e.g. your car has terribly bald tires and hydroplanes, etc.) 5. Felonious (e.g. you stick up a bank and shoot a teller)

All homicide, in other words, is not equal. Some is punishable, some is regrettable, some is just bad luck and some is worthy of cheering. But make no mistake -- all laws are in fact declarations of intent to commit homicide upon those who disagree with them and the category of that homicide must be debated and agreed upon as that intent is inherent in the passage of any law.

The Constitution, however, is not the "10 Suggestions." It is the supreme law of the land. It trumps all other laws and cannot be changed by Statute or by judicial fiat. The 14th Amendment says its protections and divisions of power extend to the State and local level, and denies the States any ability to infringe on its requirements.

The Second Amendment is clear on its face: Shall Not Be Infringed means what it says. In addition the word militia means what it says too: All adult males physically capable of rendering armed resistance in the event of need who are expected to have their own arms and ammunition. Go ahead and include the gals if you wish; works for me, but that's not the historical context. In other words the gals are free to show up and render such resistance but able-bodied men are expected to. There are exactly two ways to overrule those words: 1) Revolution or secession, at which point the Constitution ceases to exist entirely, all at once (that's the point of either of those events, duh) and 2) Amendment by the process set forth in the Constitution.

That many people will honor a law, ordnance or regulation that is expressly in violation of the Constitution does not obligate anyone else to do so. That someone in any branch of government claims that the clear words written in said Constitution don't mean what they say does not obligate anyone to agree. The Constitution is not a debate society; it is a set of facts and a contract between the people and the government.

The people have no obligation to honor a violation of that contract today or tomorrow irrespective of whether they have in the past.

If you wish to read the actual arguments made before the 2nd Amendment was adopted (along with the rest of the Constitution), along with what militia actually means go read both The Federalist and Anti-Federalist. They set forth in black ink the debate that was held and why the elements of the Constitution exist along with the hierarchy of law that is inherent in this nation's governance. They're not debatable either; they're historical fact and were in fact the elements of the debate, penned and presented, for the express purpose of making sure nobody could misunderstand their intent, the arguments presented and the outcome.

Now let me point out both why the Second Amendment actually exists and why the ordinary person needs to own not just one but at least two high-capacity, high-accuracy rifles -- like AR-15s.

This first permanent settlement in America is arguably Jamestown, in 1622. It is now 2018. That's 396 years. In that time we have had two serious internal Civil Wars; one of which was successful in its aims (the Revolution) the other not (The Civil War or, if you prefer The War of Northern Aggression.) That is one incident per 198 years, on average. In other words there is a 0.51% chance per year of violent civil war or uprising intending to render moot the entire existing government across a material section of the nation's landmass. May I remind you that America is in fact one of the best large land-masses in regard to this risk; Continental Europe has had two serious internal wars in the last 100 years, for a per-year risk of 2% or four times ours. Some parts of Europe have been much worse than that, as has most of the Middle East and a large part of Asia. We can argue over the reason for that later -- and the 2nd Amendment might be part of it.

0.5% per year is a very low risk, but it's definitely not zero.

An average adult lives to about 80, and is an adult at 18. He or she is therefore an adult for approximately 62 years.

Now let me ask the question: What risk of calamity do you believe justifies your personal holding of insurance against the risk of your death in the event the bad thing happens?

If you live in a "100 year" flood plain this means on average over very long periods of time it floods once every 100 years. Your mortgage is for 30 years. Your mortgage company will require you to buy flood insurance because the cumulative risk of a flood during that 30 years is about 26%. That is plenty for the bank to require you pay for that insurance -- or they won't write your mortgage.

What is the risk of, for example, contracting cancer during your lifetime? The answer is about 38.5%.

What is the risk of needing an AR-15 to survive a severe civil conflict (defined as revolution or civil war) during your 62 adult years, given the history of such conflicts on the landmass known today as United States since white European-ancestry have been in permanent residence upon same?

The math is simple: 1 - (cumulative odds of NOT having it happen over 62 years), or in arithmetic notation 1 - (0.9949 ^ 62)

Ready for the result?

It's 27.17% -- higher than your house flooding if you live in a 100 year flood plain.

What if we keep taking in immigrants who refuse to assimilate and we become more socialist much as Europe has done over the last several hundred years -- and our risk in fact looks like theirs based on the last 100 years. What is the risk you will need that AR-15 during your adult lifetime in that case, which I think is a fair argument on the risk we take today given how we refuse to secure our borders and expel those who are here illegally now?

Sitting down?

71.4%

That's right -- there is a 71.4% chance that Europe will suffer a war of similarity to WWI and WWII during a person's adult lifetime, based on the two World Wars. It's not much different odds, incidentally, if you start enumerating all the other wide scale wars (civil and otherwise) on the European Continent all the way back to the time of the Roman Empire!

You are reasonably close in odds to needing that rifle as you to are to getting cancer during your lifetime. Indeed, it's about 70% as likely.

You're also more likely to need that AR-15 than your home is to flood during a 30 year period if you live in a 100 year flood plain.

And if we do not get rid of all the illegal invaders in this nation and keep admitting those who have no respect for or intent to follow our Constitution, along with putting people with rank disrespect for same in Congress and our Executive like Maxine Waters, Nancy Pelosi, Eric Swalwell and both Presidents Obama and Trump then it's a fair bet that your odds are not 27.1% but far closer to 70%.

In other words, it's odds-on.

If the bad happens while you might need a pistol, a hunting rifle or .22 for secondary defensive or eating purposes your primary weapon requirement is going to be a high-powered rifle like the AR-15. You will also need a nice-sized stack of high-capacity magazines loaded and ready to go, a case (or more) of ammunition and two rifles, because in such a situation you will not be able to get parts or spares for your gun and thus two is one and one is none.

Further, in such a situation just like in every other similar situation over time there will be plenty of people who have nothing EXCEPT said rifle and will attempt to take everything you have from you, using the complete breakdown of ordinary civilization as their excuse, murdering you and your entire family in the process. We see myriad examples of this all over the world today, including in Syria right now. You will either be able to attempt to stop them because you personally posses a high-power rifle and ammunition for it or you will be murdered, anyone who happens to be female will likely be raped first and everything you own will be confiscated or destroyed.

There is utterly nobody who has graduated from High School who should not have been able to within seconds compute these odds and understand both how the math works behind this and why. That there is any uptake among the people of this country for such an act as confiscation of these weapons from civilians is proof positive that our government has intentionally failed to educate our young people for decades for the explicit purpose of making them unable to calculate the odds of such an event and thus understand why it is absolutely critical that these weapons not only be perfectly legal for ordinary people to posses but that their possession and proficiency in their use must be encouraged.

Indeed it is likely that the pre-NFA state of the law prior to the 1930s is why America has a risk of such war or revolution that is one quarter of that of other developed and similar cultures and nations -- specifically, the entirety of Europe.

But in today's world with people like Eric Swalwell in Congress and our de-facto refusal to demand that any who wish to immigrate to the United States do so only under the expectation and belief that they agree with the Constitution in all respects the risk is much more-likely to be akin to that in Europe.

You don't need one AR-15, in short.

Every adult in fact needs two or more of them because during your adult life you're odds on to experience the very unfortunate set of events that will require you own and have a working one, right now, or you and all of those who you love will be dead.


TOPICS: Government; US: California
KEYWORDS: 2ndamendment; banglist; captainj; captainjackswallow; cwii; cwiiping; denninger; ericswalwell; guns; nra; secondamendment; ticker
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To: DuncanWaring

Aren’t some blue states trying to outlaw public display of the Don’t Tread On Me flag?


61 posted on 05/06/2018 9:57:12 AM PDT by elcid1970 ("The Second Amendment is more important than Islam. Buy ammo.")
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To: Wolfie

Eric Swalwell has forfeited his right to life


62 posted on 05/06/2018 9:58:47 AM PDT by Thibodeaux (Long Live the Republic!)
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To: Big Red Badger

“Well...
We had a Good Run.
I’ll just curl up in a ball...
And Whimper.”

I know you’re kidding, but this isn’t East Germany. Mr. Google knows all about our would-be fascist rulers’ home addresses & families, if you get my drift.


63 posted on 05/06/2018 10:03:42 AM PDT by elcid1970 ("The Second Amendment is more important than Islam. Buy ammo.")
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To: elcid1970

“Aren’t some blue states trying to outlaw public display of the Don’t Tread On Me flag?”

The EEOC commission ruled that the flag is a symbol of hate as it was designed by a slave owner.

I would reciprocate and ban any and all African flags and colors since Africans sold white men their slaves.


64 posted on 05/06/2018 10:28:39 AM PDT by CodeToad (The Democrats haven't been this pissed off since the Republicans took their slaves away.)
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To: SaxxonWoods
This is going nowhere. Congress isn’t going to ban a “style” of weapons. Just another ankle biter trying to make his bones with the left.

Uhhhh.....they did for 10 years with AWB.

46 gop-es voted for the 94 AWB....that is 46 gopes voted against the Second Amendment.

7 gop sinators voted for the AWB.

70 voted for the Brady Bill in 1993.

14 gop-es voted against the 2017 Concealed Carry bill.

65 posted on 05/06/2018 10:39:40 AM PDT by ealgeone
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To: CodeToad

Wow, Federally banned. Wonder how the ban is enforced.

The `Trump Slump’ in sales of guns & ammo is long past. Citizens no longer trust our central government.


66 posted on 05/06/2018 10:41:45 AM PDT by elcid1970 ("The Second Amendment is more important than Islam. Buy ammo.")
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To: elcid1970
"Mr. Google knows all about our would-be fascist rulers’ home addresses & families, if you get my drift."

Forget drifts. Let's just say it out loud.

They can come to our homes to confiscate our guns and arrest us...but we won't be home...we'll be at THEIR place!

67 posted on 05/06/2018 10:45:54 AM PDT by CodeToad (The Democrats haven't been this pissed off since the Republicans took their slaves away.)
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To: ealgeone

“....they did for 10 years with AWB.”

AWB ‘94 only banned new sales of guns with certain features. There was no provision for registration & confiscation like what this San Fran Nutcase wants.

His fascistic bill needs to be blared to the heavens so that citizens will flock to the gun stores yet again. Heck, I’ve never liked the AR-15 (Kalashnikov is far better IMO) but I may go buy one just to spite Swallowswell.


68 posted on 05/06/2018 10:47:01 AM PDT by elcid1970 ("The Second Amendment is more important than Islam. Buy ammo.")
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To: CodeToad

“What’s sauce for the goose....”

“What goes around.....”

“Karma’s a bitch”

And so on.


69 posted on 05/06/2018 10:49:17 AM PDT by elcid1970 ("The Second Amendment is more important than Islam. Buy ammo.")
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To: elcid1970

That’s what did it for me: BCT Ft Gordon GA AUG 1967. Many weapons ago.


70 posted on 05/06/2018 10:53:16 AM PDT by onedoug
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To: Wolfie
no right more important than every student’s right to come home after class

Planned Parenthood reused to comment on this...

71 posted on 05/06/2018 10:55:05 AM PDT by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn)
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To: CodeToad
100%!
72 posted on 05/06/2018 10:58:37 AM PDT by Chode (You have all of the resources you are going to have. Abandon your illusions and plan accordingly.)
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To: elcid1970

At My age ...
FRiend...

I just Love To Whimper.


73 posted on 05/06/2018 11:11:46 AM PDT by Big Red Badger (UNSCANABLE in an IDIOCRACY!)
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To: DuncanWaring
"particularly if other avenues for resolving our differences are taken away. Such as widespread vote fraud by leftists making elections meaningless, or a small cadre of judges over-ruling all attempts to end destructive policies over the clear will of the people"

I would add another contributing factor to possible CWII- The censorship being imposed on conservatives by social media.

Rather than letting both sides vent, and work out their differences in the arena of ideas- the silencing of one side only serves to build up even more anger and resentment.

As for the democrat calling for forced gun confiscation- This is what the dems want-a disarmed public. Then they can impose their tyrannical, high tax, open borders, Socialist/Marxist government.

Our founders put in the 2nd Amendment as yet another check on the government. If only most people understood this 😞

74 posted on 05/06/2018 11:32:00 AM PDT by Pajamajan ( Pray for our nation. Thank the Lord for everything you have. Don't wait. Do it tokday.)
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To: elcid1970

That RUGER AR
very cheap now.

Great little shooter!


75 posted on 05/06/2018 11:32:53 AM PDT by Big Red Badger (UNSCANABLE in an IDIOCRACY!)
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To: grumpygresh

All anyone needs to do is call themselves a member of “The Shooting Club” of which every red blooded American is an automatic member. No card needed.


76 posted on 05/06/2018 11:40:32 AM PDT by Senormechanico
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To: Senormechanico

“Shooting clubs” means, “government sanctioned, licensed, controlled, regulated just like New Jersey”.

You’ll be like England and New Jersey, locked weapons, restricted ammo purchases, etc.


77 posted on 05/06/2018 11:53:28 AM PDT by CodeToad (The Democrats haven't been this pissed off since the Republicans took their slaves away.)
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To: CodeToad

or ‘The shell that used to be their place’.


78 posted on 05/06/2018 11:53:38 AM PDT by GreyHoundSailor
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To: GreyHoundSailor

“or ‘The shell that used to be their place’.”

Ashes to Ashes
Dust to Dust
Attack us at our place
Yours will blow in the dust


79 posted on 05/06/2018 11:59:12 AM PDT by CodeToad (The Democrats haven't been this pissed off since the Republicans took their slaves away.)
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To: elcid1970

I haven’t heard of that, but it wouldn’t surprise me.


80 posted on 05/06/2018 12:00:51 PM PDT by DuncanWaring (The Lord uses the good ones; the bad ones use the Lord.)
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