These states, that Trump won, have democrat senators, running for re-election, who barely won in 2012: WI, MT, MO, IN, OH, and PA. I think that Republicans will win five of those six races, but I don’t know which five. A Democrat will win in Nevada.
In the House, Republicans will gain seats in Illinois’ 10th District and Nevada’s 3rd and 4th Districts. I don’t know the other five districts where they’ll gain seats because there are about 400 other districts that I haven’t researched, yet.
If the GOP reclaims NV 3rd and 4th, they will also retain the NV Senate seat (albeit with Danny Tarkanian, not Dean Heller).
I will take it!
You can go ahead and put a name on that as they have their certain nominee, Rep. Jackie Rosen.
As DJ said, taking back both House seats (especially the 4th which is slightly more D than the state) and losing the Senate race are an unlikely combo. The way Nevada has gone lately has been feast or famine. But given that we seem to have a strong candidate for Nevada 4 (Las Vegas City Councilman Stavros Anthony) and not so great options for the Senate seat, it's not out of the question, I guess.
You think we'll take back IL-10?! With Sapan Shah? Not impossible but gosh, what's your thinking on that? If we're winning seats like that it'll be Christmas in November.
I don't know how you can project if you have yet to analyse 400 seats. You need to do the analysis prior to projecting, no? ;p Later on I'll make a list of target seats.
On the subject of Heller vs. Tark in the NV Senate primary, Heller is subpar, and was acting in a most displeasing manner until he was apparently scared straight by the President, and Tark is a proven loser, losing Nevada 3 TO JACKIE ROSEN last year even as Trump carried it, so I remain very much on the fence.