[wardaddy]

All those Alabamans voting across state line south of me need to look around while they vote

Ok

There appear more blacks voting

Now think for a minute

Blacks and whites vote democrat and GOP today about same proportion each respectively

90%

So that essentially means baring the tiny non white and non black segment that if u see more whites voting than blacks statewide then likely Moore wins

Unless the 27 percent black population shows up more in numbers than the 70 percent white population

Am I the only one here sees this?

Now could whites vote say 70/30 Moore Jones instead of 90/10

Maybe but that would be a huge collapse

The media orgs in 2016 refused to exit poll serious red states anymore because it looks so bad for them but they didn’t stop exit polling blue states did they?

So we have no serious data comparing white versus black turnout in 2016

What data exists suggests that except when Obama runs that whites turn our more than blacks

I’m betting Moore wins handily

[DoughtyOne]

I get your drift, and it seems reasoned.

That occurred to me earlier. I think it’s a sound thought.

[fortheDeclaration]

Jones would have to have an Obama like turnout by blacks to get close, very unlikely.

[blam]

"Am I the only one here sees this?"

I saw more Blacks at the voting place than normal....normally none, I saw six this morning. This is a small rural voting precinct.

I went shopping after voting and saw a large number of Blacks with a 'I Voted' sticker on their lapel.

That's my experience this morning in SW rural Alabama. (about 20 miles southwest of Mobile)

A Beautiful breezy , sunny day.