Bill Nye the 'Fake Science' Guy Gets Schooled by Meteorologist on Hurricane Irma and Climate Change

Last week, media personality Bill Nye "the science guy" waded into meteorology, claiming that man-made climate change is directly responsible for the strength of hurricanes Harvey and Irma.

"It's the strength [of these hurricanes] that's almost certainly associated with global warming," Nye told Dan Rather in a radio interview. "Global warming and climate change are the same thing. As the world gets warmer and there's more heat energy in the atmosphere you expect storms to get stronger."

Nye doubled down on this statement. "The more heat energy in the atmosphere strengthens the storms, Dan," he said. "We are all gonna pay for Harvey, we're all gonna pay for Irma, one way or another."

What’s really amazing is that the “models” they’ve created to predict future temperatures doesn’t even work when data from the past is entered. Seems no matter what data you enter, you get the same output - increasing temperatures. Now that’s some creative algorithm design right there!

a+b+c=18; a+b-d=18; z-y+f=18, etc.

I had one young true believer tell me that increased snowfall is directly attributable to global warming because increased air and water temperatures lead to increased evaporation of water, which, in turn, leads to increased snowfall. “OK” I said, but he was dumbfounded when I asked him, “So how does global ‘warming’ lead to temperatures low enough to create snow in areas that haven’t had it in years and at much later times of the year than has occurred in decades?”

1990 - First IPCC report says world has been warming and future warming seems likely.

Inconvenient FACTS: RECENT history tends to argue against the claim of “global warming”, “climate change” or whatever we’ll call it when the Kool-Aid drinking enemies of capitalism and western civilization decide to change the name again.

2009 is often referred to as “The Year without a Summer” when over 3,000 records for low temperature were recorded in July.

June 2012 - Eight US states had measurable snowfall and one - Nevada (Elko County) - had not recorded snowfall in June since record-keeping began.

February 11, 2015 - ALL 50 states had areas with snow on the ground, something that hadn’t happened since February 2010.

January 22 and 23, 2016 - Snow fell from the western panhandle of Florida east to Jacksonville and as far south as Gainesville.

Does that sound like global “warming”?

Here's my favorite part(s):

E. Summary for Atlantic Hurricanes and Global Warming

In summary, neither our model projections for the 21st century nor our analyses of trends in Atlantic hurricane and tropical storm counts over the past 120+ yr support the notion that greenhouse gas-induced warming leads to large increases in either tropical storm or overall hurricane numbers in the Atlantic. One modeling study projects a large (~100%) increase in Atlantic category 4-5 hurricanes over the 21st century, but we estimate that this increase may not be detectable until the latter half of the century.

First, they have no evidence to support the notion that greenhouse gases causes more intense storms. And, even if they are correct (they aren't) the effect won't be felt for another 40+ years!

Therefore, we conclude that despite statistical correlations between SST and Atlantic hurricane activity in recent decades, it is premature to conclude that human activity–and particularly greenhouse warming–has already caused a detectable change in Atlantic hurricane activity. (“Detectable” here means the change is large enough to be distinguishable from the variability due to natural causes.) However, human activity may have already caused some some changes that are not yet detectable due to the small magnitude of the changes or observation limitations, or are not yet confidently modeled (e.g., aerosol effects on regional climate).

Too soon to draw any conclusions because the change is within the margin of error.

We also conclude that it is likely that climate warming will cause hurricanes in the coming century to be more intense globally and to have higher rainfall rates than present-day hurricanes. In our view, there are better than even odds that the numbers of very intense (category 4 and 5) hurricanes will increase by a substantial fraction in some basins, while it is likely that the annual number of tropical storms globally will either decrease or remain essentially unchanged. These assessment statements are intended to apply to climate warming of the type projected for the 21st century by IPCC AR4 scenarios, such as A1B.

'It is likely', 'in our view, there are better than even odds' are weasel words of those to are guessing.

The relatively conservative confidence levels attached to these projections, and the lack of a claim of detectable anthropogenic influence at this time contrasts with the situation for other climate metrics, such as global mean temperature. In the case of global mean surface temperature, the IPCC 5th Assessment Report (2013) presents a strong body of scientific evidence that most of the global warming observed over the past half century is very likely due to human-caused greenhouse gas emissions.

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.