Notice that in diagram #3 in the posted article (last updated 5pm), one track still has Irma missing Florida and heading toward Texas.
The other 19 tracks all turn toward Florida.
“one track still has Irma missing Florida and heading toward Texas.”
I would like to see it hit Mexico and the remnants head for the desert Southwest and Southern California where we could use the rain.
The one track going to Texas is a linear extrapolation of the current direction. I.e.: where it would go if it kept going in a straight line.
Always an interesting thing to see, but.... Not usually all that accurate as a predictor.
A bit ago, the Weather Channel was still determined to stick with their original track. Despite the eye being west of Miami, they showed a graphic of it turning around to head east to hit Miami.
That is its directional track. If no more turning it goes straight to houston.