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Hurricane Irma Live Thread III
NHC/NOAA ^ | NHC/NOAA | NHC/NOAA

Posted on 09/09/2017 2:08:31 PM PDT by NautiNurse

The entire Florida Peninsula and points north are poised to experience Hurricane Irma after the storm hugged Cuba's northern coastline. Thousands of Floridians who evacuated the Atlantic cost to Gulf Coast areas found their safe shelter under direct threat from Hurricane Irma as the forecast shifted W Friday night and Saturday. Hurricane Irma's prolonged interaction with Cuba diminished its strength to Category 3.

Irma is forecast to increase in strength as it crosses the FL Straits. The Florida Keys experienced strong outer bands while Irma grazed the N Cuba coastline.


Mash image to find lots of satellite imagery links

Public Advisories
NHC Discussions


NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Key West, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Tampa Bay, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Orlando, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Miami, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Melbourne, FL
NOAA Local Weather Statements/Radar Jacksonville, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Charleston, SC
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Wilmington, NC, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Morehead City, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Norfolk, VA


Buoy Data SE US & GOM
Buoy Data NC/SC/GA

Hurricane Irma Live Thread I
Hurricane Irma Live Thread II


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; US: Alabama; US: Florida; US: Georgia; US: South Carolina
KEYWORDS: florida; freepforecasts; hurricane; irma; livehurricaneirma; stormsurge
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To: petitfour

At least, I THINK that’s the annual one. Maybe not. As I said, preachers don’t always tell the truth.


1,021 posted on 09/09/2017 10:33:13 PM PDT by MayflowerMadam
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To: VanShuyten
I'm not conflating anything. My point is simply that it is much more difficult to model climate than it is to model something much more short-term and finite like the path of a specific hurricane.

The ability to accurately model and accurately predict any process is dependent upon understanding the mechanisms/determinants that define that process. There are many, many more unknown variables in climate science than there are in predicting the path of a hurricane.

1,022 posted on 09/09/2017 10:33:13 PM PDT by neverevergiveup
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To: justa-hairyape

Jose is going to get caught up in the same upper level. Will not make it to the USA.


1,023 posted on 09/09/2017 10:33:59 PM PDT by eyedigress ((Old storm chaser from the west))
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To: Jack Black

Those structures must have been well built. The only that really failed on them was the roof. Put on a new roof and gut and redo the inside(water damage) and they are good to go. Better than starting from scratch. Still devastating though.


1,024 posted on 09/09/2017 10:34:18 PM PDT by Revel
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To: dirtboy

Short term, she has a lot of bath water to work with, and not just in the Florida Straits. Her circulation reaches into the Northern Caribbean (shrimp boil water), the eastern Gulf (egg poaching water) and the Bahamas (veggie blanching water). So there is fuel all over that she can tap into, she has well-defined outfloW

87 degrees. Eighty freaken seven


1,025 posted on 09/09/2017 10:34:45 PM PDT by Truthoverpower (The guvmint you get is the Trump winning express !)
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To: Paul R.
as a 10 yr. old our family’s brick house was totaled by a tornado.

That had to be absolutely horrifying. Glad you and your family came through it unscathed.

Two years ago, the Rowlett tornado passed within two miles of my house. 850 houses in my town were flattened within minutes. My wife and I actually stood outside watching the transformers blow, but we never saw the funnel cloud because the air was so thick with rain.

1,026 posted on 09/09/2017 10:34:50 PM PDT by Windflier (Pitchforks and torches ripen on the vine. Left too long, they become black rifles.)
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To: fatima

Drunk update from the Keys.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q4iL8m-zupQ&feature=youtu.be
Very boring.


1,027 posted on 09/09/2017 10:34:53 PM PDT by fatima (Free Hugs Today :))
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To: HKMk23

What it does not show is upper level currents.


1,028 posted on 09/09/2017 10:35:20 PM PDT by eyedigress ((Old storm chaser from the west))
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To: Bodleian_Girl

“Get Zello!”

I plan to load it tomorrow. I copied your other post of the channel to listen to.


1,029 posted on 09/09/2017 10:35:23 PM PDT by MayflowerMadam
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To: dirtboy

That is not good is it? Signifies intensifying?


1,030 posted on 09/09/2017 10:36:27 PM PDT by thesearethetimes... (Had I brought Christ with me, the outcome would have been different. Dr.Eric Cunningham)
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To: thesearethetimes...

Yep, bigly.


1,031 posted on 09/09/2017 10:37:46 PM PDT by dirtboy
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To: MayflowerMadam

The annual one was started in 1952 according to the website for the National Day of Prayer. Roosevelt was the first to call for one at a specific time and for a specific reason. Technology made that one possible on a large scale.


1,032 posted on 09/09/2017 10:37:50 PM PDT by petitfour (APPEAL TO HEAVEN)
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To: snarkytart

South eyewall looks weak.


1,033 posted on 09/09/2017 10:37:56 PM PDT by snarkytart
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To: eyedigress

When we got to the only 7 miles of pavement — at Whitehorse Junction, I think — I almost fell to my knees and kissed it.


1,034 posted on 09/09/2017 10:38:25 PM PDT by MayflowerMadam
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To: thesearethetimes...
Smiles. Such is a military kid's life

Ain't that the truth. I could tell stories for hours.

1,035 posted on 09/09/2017 10:38:37 PM PDT by Windflier (Pitchforks and torches ripen on the vine. Left too long, they become black rifles.)
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To: dirtboy

The eye does two Jose like travel loops at the end of that run. Possibley interacting with that new red mass you mention.


1,036 posted on 09/09/2017 10:38:49 PM PDT by justa-hairyape (The user name is sarcastic. Although at times it may not appear that way.)
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To: eyedigress

Jose knows where to go - Mexico.


1,037 posted on 09/09/2017 10:38:57 PM PDT by jennychase
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To: dirtboy

After carefully reading and considering all of the information on the FR hurricane threads, I have arrived at the following prediction: at some point the hurricane will do something.


1,038 posted on 09/09/2017 10:39:15 PM PDT by American Quilter (When does the wall start going up?)
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To: dirtboy

Sent my son a copy of the latest from Recon because he was a C130 crew chief for 20 years in AF.
He said he worked on that plane (5302) along with 5301 when they were on loan from Keesler AFB for training. The 96 is the first year it went into service. Said he was glad to see it was still in action.


1,039 posted on 09/09/2017 10:39:47 PM PDT by weston (SO HERE'S THE STORY: As far as I'm concerned, it's Christ or nothing!)
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To: MayflowerMadam

We had 2 cars and two tents. 7 children.


1,040 posted on 09/09/2017 10:40:52 PM PDT by eyedigress ((Old storm chaser from the west))
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