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Hurricane Irma Live Thread Part II
NHC/NOAA ^ | NHC/NOAA | NHC/NOAA

Posted on 09/07/2017 8:09:47 AM PDT by NautiNurse

Dangerous Category 5 Hurricane Irma had a devastating impact on islands in the Caribbean.

Hurricane and Storm surge watches were issued Thursday morning for South Florida. The Florida Keys began evacuating visitors and residents, followed by flood zones in Miami and Miami Beach. Sarasota FL declared a local state of emergency Thursday morning.

Polk County FL Sheriff Grady Judd said Wednesday that law enforcement authorities would check the identities of people who turn up at shelters--and take to jail anyone found to have an active arrest warrant. “If you go to a shelter for Irma and you have a warrant, we’ll gladly escort you to the safe and secure shelter called the Polk County Jail... “If you have a warrant, turn yourself in to the jail — it’s a secure shelter.” Judd also posted that sex offenders and sex predators would not be admitted to the shelters. "We cannot and we will not have innocent children in a shelter with sexual offenders & predators. Period." Judd's statements unleashed a liberal firestorm via Twitter.


Mash image to find lots of satellite imagery links

Public Advisories
NHC Discussions


NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Miami, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Melbourne, FL
NOAA Local Weather Statements/Radar Jacksonville, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Charleston, SC
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Wilmington, NC, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Morehead City, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Norfolk, VA
Buoy Data Caribbean
Buoy Data SE US & GOM
Buoy Data NC/SC/GA


Hebert Box - Mash Pic for Tutorial
Credit: By J Cricket - Modification of map from Wiki

Hurricane Irma Live Thread I


TOPICS: Breaking News; Extended News; Front Page News; US: Florida; US: Georgia; US: North Carolina; US: South Carolina
KEYWORDS: hurricane; hurricaneirma; hurricanejose; hurricanekatia; irma; livehurricaneirma
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To: RegulatorCountry
Not familiar with the GA coast

Jacksonville to Savannah rarely take a direct hit because of the way the coast curves in. Someone may correct me, but the last hurricane I recall hitting Jacksonville came across from the Gulf. Same thing for the ones I remember going up through Georgia.

421 posted on 09/07/2017 3:12:41 PM PDT by PAR35
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To: The 10th man

I’ve never been in a hurricane. Tornadoes are bad enough.


422 posted on 09/07/2017 3:13:04 PM PDT by hsmomx3
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To: lodi90

Family’s in Duval County.....Matthew took out an old fence section they were going to replace...and split a tree...They have a new fence now......I am sure concerned how this will go for them though they’re well prepared and ready with a plan to boogie if need to..and very uch on top of this storm................Shutters going up Sat. and they will see where things stand then.....looks like late Sunday or Monday before it’s there.


423 posted on 09/07/2017 3:13:12 PM PDT by caww
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To: The 10th man

“No, not in Florida. MI for many years now. Old Order Community.”

Clare, McBain, Mio?


424 posted on 09/07/2017 3:13:26 PM PDT by bella1 (Je suis deplorable)
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To: Repeal The 17th
So far we found something that can take us for one night, tomorrow night... we get in around 5 PM to the Dekalb-Peachtree airport NW of Atlanta).

If we can figure out where to board the cats... and can't get copies of their current vaccination records because our vet is closed..... but if we can somehow unload the cats there, then Saturday we can venture to the airport and take a flight to somewhere in the US where we can spend a few more days.

425 posted on 09/07/2017 3:14:17 PM PDT by Cementjungle
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To: caww

I think the model track shifts will keep shrinking. And the only good outcome for Florida in the cone, a shift to over 30 miles to the east of the coast, is close to the right edge of the cone now, and the model trends have been going in the opposite direction.


426 posted on 09/07/2017 3:14:55 PM PDT by dirtboy
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To: janetjanet998
My brain isn't fully engaged at the moment. What is OP as in the EURO mean was about 10 miles east of the OP run
427 posted on 09/07/2017 3:15:28 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Tear down the Mexican Carrier plant and use the materials to build the wall)
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To: Parley Baer

Yup.. They just showed it again in more detail.. Whew..That would be too much.. Friends and family in Florida coming up to NJ only to have a hurricane hit here too. Go out to sea José!


428 posted on 09/07/2017 3:15:43 PM PDT by DivineMomentsOfTruth
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To: dfwgator
Looks like it’s going more westerly now.

I read that its track is 290 degrees which is just 15 degrees less than NW. Like I said, if Irma's eye goes directly over or north of Crooked Island that is good news for South Florida. We should know by tomorrow morning.

429 posted on 09/07/2017 3:15:54 PM PDT by PJ-Comix (Waiting for 2024 Total Eclipse)
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To: NautiNurse

I am not too sure what I said that you think this. I am just saying what I see. I am a little nervous myself. I believe I may have just came across wrong erg sorry would not do what you think I did... we


430 posted on 09/07/2017 3:16:05 PM PDT by DAVEY CROCKETT (Thank you Free Republic. Thank you President Donald J Trump)
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To: PAR35
You are correct FRiend, that coastal Georgia rarely is impacted, however, last year, Matthew smacked Brunswick and St. Simons Island soundly. Power was out for two weeks for some, and St. Simons was effectively closed to homeowners for days after the storm, due to countless downed BIG oaks 😔 We are praying for all in the path, but really hoping not to receive another visit 😒 Tatt
431 posted on 09/07/2017 3:17:45 PM PDT by thesearethetimes... (Had I brought Christ with me, the outcome would have been different. Dr.Eric Cunningham)
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To: NautiNurse

OP=Operation run..aka the one you see
Mean=ensembles Mean...they run the same model many times model with slightly different initial conditions


432 posted on 09/07/2017 3:18:47 PM PDT by janetjanet998
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To: Vipper

Good they got their daughter out of the way.....so many willing to stay behind and assist in the aftermath....hats off to all the medical personel who will hold down the fort.


433 posted on 09/07/2017 3:20:09 PM PDT by caww
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To: refreshed

OMG!!!! That is so scary, Irma vs Andrew. The damage in Florida will be massive.


434 posted on 09/07/2017 3:20:25 PM PDT by LuvFreeRepublic ( #MAGA)
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To: bella1

south central MI


435 posted on 09/07/2017 3:21:52 PM PDT by The 10th man
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To: LuvFreeRepublic

also Andrew was not only small but came in from the due east..so the area of the coast that got the eyewall was very small only 15-20 miles I think...the track of Irma coming from the due south means the whole east coast will get it


436 posted on 09/07/2017 3:22:28 PM PDT by janetjanet998
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To: PAR35

If Irma goes up the east coast the concave is right there on Florida, Georgia and S. Carolina meet zone....storm surges will be intense if that happens.


437 posted on 09/07/2017 3:22:33 PM PDT by caww
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To: NautiNurse; knittnmom

A long-time family friend is begging for help right now. Her daughter and son-in-law are on St Maarten, they were there for their honeymoon. Their hotel didn’t survive the storm, but they did. Now they’re trying to get out before hurricane Jose hits on Saturday, but there are no flights to be had, and the marina was destroyed. She is willing to pay to get them out.

Can anybody help?


438 posted on 09/07/2017 3:23:19 PM PDT by Ellendra (Those who kill without reason cannot be reasoned with.)
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To: Paul R.
NHC Storm Surge Potential Hurricane Irma
439 posted on 09/07/2017 3:24:36 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Tear down the Mexican Carrier plant and use the materials to build the wall)
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To: PAR35

Georgia doesn’t have a lengthy coastline, either, which I would think reduce the overall odds of getting hit on top of being sort of fortuitously tucked away as they are.

NC gets hit frequently because it projects way out into the Atlantic, as well as the way the Gulf Stream comes up so close to shore leading to Cape Hatteras, where it veers out to sea.

All of these places have been molded and even formed by hurricanes and tropical storms. It’s not just some crazy unheard of thing attributable to climate change, it’s been happening throughout recorded history. Recent population growth and construction make it far more problematic than it would have been even 20 years ago, though.

I think of my family’s old beach place on Oak Island, NC that was wiped out, there were very few grand houses there, most were more like fishing shacks precisely because they knew what could happen, Hazel was a fairly recent memory. That was the bad one for NC. I still remember multistory retail buildings in beach towns with the high water marks from storm surge, some well into the second story.


440 posted on 09/07/2017 3:24:57 PM PDT by RegulatorCountry
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