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Spotting the Losers: Seven Signs of Non-Competitive States (This is great!)
ssi.armywarcollege.edu ^ | 1998 | LTC Ralph Peters

Posted on 09/02/2017 8:26:12 AM PDT by RoosterRedux

When you leave the classroom or office and go into the world, you see at first its richness and confusions, the variety and tumult. Then, if you keep moving and do not quit looking, commonalties begin to emerge. National success is eccentric. But national failure is programmed and predictable. Spotting the future losers among the world's states becomes so easy it loses its entertainment value.

In this world of multiple and simultaneous revolutions--in technology, information, social organization, biology, economics, and convenience--the rules of international competition have changed. There is a global marketplace and, increasingly, a global economy. While there is no global culture yet, American popular culture is increasingly available and wickedly appealing--and there are no international competitors in the field, only struggling local systems. Where the United States does not make the rules of international play, it shapes them by its absence.

The invisible hand of the market has become an informal but uncompromising lawgiver. Globalization demands conformity to the practices of the global leaders, especially to those of the United States. If you do not conform--or innovate--you lose. If you try to quit the game, you lose even more profoundly. The rules of international competition, whether in the economic, cultural, or conventional military fields, grow ever more homogeneous. No government can afford practices that retard development. Yet such practices are often so deeply embedded in tradition, custom, and belief that the state cannot jettison them. That which provides the greatest psychological comfort to members of foreign cultures is often that which renders them noncompetitive against America's explosive creativity--our self-reinforcing dynamism fostered by law, efficiency, openness, flexibility, market discipline, and social mobility.

Traditional indicators of noncompetitive performance still apply: corruption (the most seductive activity humans can consummate while clothed); the absence of sound, equitably enforced laws; civil strife; or government attempts to overmanage a national economy. As change has internationalized and accelerated, however, new predictive tools have emerged. They are as simple as they are fundamental, and they are rooted in culture. The greater the degree to which a state--or an entire civilization--succumbs to these "seven deadly sins" of collective behavior, the more likely that entity is to fail to progress or even to maintain its position in the struggle for a share of the world's wealth and power. Whether analyzing military capabilities, cultural viability, or economic potential, these seven factors offer a quick study of the likely performance of a state, region, or population group in the coming century.

The Seven Factors

These key "failure factors" are:

Zero-Sum Knowledge

The wonderfully misunderstood Clausewitzian trinity, expressed crudely as state-people-military, is being replaced by a powerful new trinity: the relationship between the state, the people, and information. In the latter phases of the industrial age, the free flow of quality information already had become essential to the success of industries and military establishments. If the internationalizing media toppled the Soviet empire, it was because that empire's battle against information-sharing had hollowed out its economy and lost the confidence of its people. When a sudden flood of information strikes a society or culture suffering an information deficit, the result is swift destabilization. This is now a global phenomenon.

Today's "flat-worlders" are those who believe that information can be controlled. Historically, information always equaled power. Rulers and civilizations viewed knowledge as a commodity to be guarded, a thing finite in its dimensions and lost when shared. Religious institutions viewed knowledge as inflammatory and damnable, a thing to be handled carefully and to advantage, the nuclear energy of yesteryear. The parallel to the world public's view of wealth is almost exact--an instinctive conviction that information is a thing to be gotten and hoarded, and that its possession by a foreign actor means it has been, by vague and devious means, robbed from oneself and one's kind. But just as wealth generates wealth, so knowledge begets knowledge. Without a dynamic and welcoming relationship with information as content and process, no society can compete in the post-industrial age.

(Excerpt) Read more at ssi.armywarcollege.edu


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: bondcollapse; default; globalization; repudiation; war
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1 posted on 09/02/2017 8:26:12 AM PDT by RoosterRedux
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To: DUMBGRUNT

Ping.


2 posted on 09/02/2017 8:26:45 AM PDT by RoosterRedux
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To: All

HT to Freeper Dumbgrunt, who linked to this great article on another thread.


3 posted on 09/02/2017 8:27:46 AM PDT by RoosterRedux
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To: RoosterRedux

Sounds like the U.S. Under obama


4 posted on 09/02/2017 8:31:21 AM PDT by Chauncey Gardiner
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To: RoosterRedux

Bookmark.


5 posted on 09/02/2017 8:36:10 AM PDT by IronJack (sh)
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To: RoosterRedux

Hmmm, those points lie extremely close to a certain “religion” coupled with progressives.
Both are cases of extreme lack of morals and intelligence.


6 posted on 09/02/2017 8:39:17 AM PDT by Da Coyote
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To: RoosterRedux
Soviet Union:

Restrictions on the free flow of information. ✊
The subjugation of women.
Inability to accept responsibility for individual or collective failure.✊
The extended family or clan as the basic unit of social organization.
Domination by a restrictive religion.✊
A low valuation of education.
Low prestige assigned to work.

7 posted on 09/02/2017 8:40:32 AM PDT by \/\/ayne (I regret that I have but one subscription cancellation notice to give to my local newspaper.)
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To: RoosterRedux

8 posted on 09/02/2017 8:41:13 AM PDT by Fiddlstix (Warning! This Is A Subliminal Tagline! Read it at your own risk!(Presented by TagLines R US))
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To: \/\/ayne
"Domination by a restrictive religion.✊"

I assume that you are referring to the religion of Marxism here????

9 posted on 09/02/2017 8:48:40 AM PDT by Wonder Warthog (The Hog of Steel and NRA Life Member)
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To: RoosterRedux
Domination by a restrictive religion. = liberalism progressivism communism rinoism deepstateism islamism.
10 posted on 09/02/2017 8:53:09 AM PDT by spokeshave (The Fake Media tried to stop us from going to the White House, I am President and they are not. DJT)
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To: Wonder Warthog

Marxism acts very much like a religion as dogmatic as ISIS. This article is 19 years old and still very much full of timeless truths very much like the Bible.


11 posted on 09/02/2017 8:56:00 AM PDT by Vigilanteman (ObaMao: Fake America, Fake Messiah, Fake Black man. How many fakes can you fit into one Zer0?)
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To: Wonder Warthog

I was thinking state-mandated atheism; a little different.


12 posted on 09/02/2017 8:57:48 AM PDT by \/\/ayne (I regret that I have but one subscription cancellation notice to give to my local newspaper.)
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To: RoosterRedux

Hmmm....I was thinking Oregon was on this list.


13 posted on 09/02/2017 9:04:31 AM PDT by goodnesswins (Say hello to President Trump)
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To: RoosterRedux

I imagine The Guardian will be picking this story up shortly, Rooster, and claiming it fits Texas to a tee!


14 posted on 09/02/2017 9:07:29 AM PDT by miss marmelstein
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To: \/\/ayne

It was not really atheistic. The worshiped Lenin and Stalin (for a while) so they were more of like a state mandated cult.


15 posted on 09/02/2017 9:10:35 AM PDT by MCF (If my home can't be my Castle, then it will be my Alamo.)
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To: \/\/ayne

The valuation of education in the USSR is a tricky one; they were big on advanced academics and technology, but had to shut down whole areas of study to insulate their “revolution” from internal dissent. They are not known as the cutting edge in political thought or history, for example.


16 posted on 09/02/2017 9:13:51 AM PDT by kearnyirish2 (Affirmative action is economic warfare against white males (and therefore white families).)
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To: miss marmelstein

Heheh. It does fit Texas to a tee (in that Texas avoids being a loser).


17 posted on 09/02/2017 9:16:18 AM PDT by RoosterRedux
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To: RoosterRedux
The subjugation of women.

I don't know about this one, seemed to work well all during the Industrial Revolution.

I'll duck now.

18 posted on 09/02/2017 9:31:31 AM PDT by slowhandluke (It's hard to be cynical enough in this age.)
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To: RoosterRedux

Nice!


19 posted on 09/02/2017 9:31:57 AM PDT by DUMBGRUNT (Please! DonÂ’t tell me about Vietnam because I have been there.)
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To: Da Coyote
Both are cases of extreme lack of morals and intelligence.

It's interesting how often authors miss that point. Where do morals come from? They are certainly not genetic. In essence, this author seems to think that they just 'happen' in cultures that have free flow of information, etc., but I don't agree.

Religions always claim to offer moral guidance. That doesn't mean we would agree with their guidance, but that is their claim. Families usually offer moral guidance, though his tribalism problem is also an indication that the guidance might be flawed. Nonetheless, it has to come from somewhere.

The top failure factor of all is the tolerance of corruption. I think this author is so close to the problem that he can't see that. Without exception, the 'failed' societies he recognizes are characterized by extensive corruption. Without exception, the failed societies in the US (e.g. Detroit, Chicago) are characterized by extensive corruption.

And where the leaders worship themselves - that is, worship mankind as secular humanists, regardless of what they might claim to be their religion - corruption follows.

It has been said that 'ethics is what you do when no one is looking.' The choice is either a totally repressive police state where the individual literally cannot be corrupt (which never happens - Qui custodiat ipso custodes?) or a society where a strong moral underpinning means that the vast majority of the people behave ethically even when there are no police around.

Without that fundamental basis, the rest of his article is flawed, even though every one of his points is valid if one does have that underpinning.
20 posted on 09/02/2017 9:38:51 AM PDT by Phlyer
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