Hiya cll...Forecast models are in rather good agreement today for Irma to skirt north of PR late next week.
Currently, Irma is a rather compact storm. Wind field outward from storm's center appears to be fluctuating today between 15-25 miles for hurricane force winds, and 90-105 miles for tropical storm force winds. Hopefully, the smallish wind field will hold for the duration.
Hey, yes, thank God it is looking better. Earlier today there was a bit of panic out there and there was a run on supplies as we haven’t had a major storm since ‘98. Things have calmed down a bit tonight but we’ll definitely keep an eye on this one and the one behind it. These next couple of weeks are very stressful for us as we feel like we’re on the wrong end of a shooting range with all those Cape Verde storms spawning out there. I’m sure you know the feeling!
I’ll keep you posted on the local and regional circus as events warrant...
Latest forecast has Irma passing close to Puerto Rico as a Category 5 around late Wed/early Thurs. San Juan may get hit hard by storm surge.