Posted on 08/09/2017 6:48:30 AM PDT by Hojczyk
Even if Democrats were to win every single 2018 House and Senate race for seats representing places that Hillary Clinton won or that Trump won by less than 3 percentage points — a pretty good midterm by historical standards — they could still fall short of the House majority and lose five Senate seats. ***
In the last few decades, Democrats have expanded their advantages in California and New York — states with huge urban centers that combined to give Clinton a 6 million vote edge, more than twice her national margin. But those two states elect only 4 percent of the Senate. Meanwhile, Republicans have made huge advances in small rural states — think Arkansas, North and South Dakota, Iowa, Louisiana, Montana and West Virginia — that wield disproportionate power in the upper chamber compared to their populations. ***
In 2016, Trump lost the national popular vote by 2.1 percentage points, but Republicans won the median House seat by 3.4 points and the median Senate seat by 3.6 points — that’s the widest Senate gap in at least a century and tied with 2012 for the widest House disparity in the last half-century.
The implications beyond Congress, especially for the Supreme Court, should deeply worry Democrats.
Good point! The Democrats have refused to accept the result of the 2016 presidential election, and Senate Democrats have done everything possible, despite their minority status, to block President Trump from staffing his administration and making routine judicial appointments. Don’t think the Republicans aren’t taking notes. Next time we have a Democratic president, he or she will in all probability be dealing with a Republican Senate. If a majority-Republican Senate copies the minority Democrats’ 2017 playbook, a Democratic administration can be brought to a halt and never permitted to function.
(Excerpt) Read more at powerlineblog.com ...
It would take 65 seats for the GOP to do anything..if they ever do anything
Time for a MAGA Party..
Wow, this is encouraging analysis.
..but.. RUSSIA RUSSIA RUSSIA!!!
They’ll find some way to cram Colin Kaepernick up the national schnozz one more time (which certainly won’t help).
If President Trump succeeds, he will be the greatest President in U.S. history--the man who saved America from destruction.
(That's the worst nightmare America's enemies can imagine. Pray that it comes to pass.)
But, but but DEMOGRAPHICS was supposed to keep them in power for the next 40+ years as the GOP was the party of old, white people...
We will need to replace almost every GOP member in the Senate to get anything done. They are all rotten and will never really support MAGA. We must defeat them in primaries and, for those not up for reelection in 2018, build campaigns for these frauds to resign,
Well, that's just a shame.
Brings a smile & a warm fuzzy feeling :)
It’s gonna get interesting.
I don't see where the democrats have to worry about that.
Hey now. Math is your friend.
Deliver an even bigger majority in 2018 to set up redistricting in 2020.
Here are some real math numbers.
1st. 2018 is not going to end well for them. They have 25 seats up, with 11 vulnerable. Compare that to the Republicans who have only seats up with merely 2 vulnerable.
Let’s just say losing 30% cor the Dems would be a friggin disaster but, not as bad as 2020....more later.
2nd. SCOTUS...3 more turns at bat over the next 8 years.
3rd. Federal Judges. Over the next 7.5 years we will realign more than 1/2 or more than 700 Federal Judges and may even break up pesky courts like the 9th.
Hell, we could replace a few annoying judges in Hawaii.
4th. The Wall.
5th. Obamacare will be repealed.
6th. Lower Capital gains tax and offer enticing tax advantages to repatriate some of the $3 Trillion offshore and put that capital to work investing in factories and new business ideas.
This will invigorate the economy.
7th. 2020. Dems have 11 Senate seats up, compared to 22 for Republicans.
We probably have a net gain of 3 for the Senate.
All 435 seats in Congress are up but, if we can get the issues of healthcare coverage, The economy and the wall in progress as well at least SCOTUS we will probably have an increase in the house as well(I am still studying that batlefield and don’t have numbers yet)
So why all the fighting from the Dems and these charges which are no more than vapor?
Well, their product sucks. Its a stew of hate, Socialism/Marxist utopian ideals and more segregation of society by invented classes of aggrieved people.
But, the real kicker is this about Reapportionment. Can you say Entropy?
8. Yeah that’s right. With more wins under the belt of the Republicans we will have a larger swath of land to carve up because the census will take place, which the predicate for redistricting and guess who wins that fight no matter what?
Republicans and we get an increase in key states we will continue to win. Alabama, Georgia and Florida will gain 1 more representative in the house, who will likely be a Republican
However, Texas will gain 3 or 4 representatives locking up the south for Republicans over the next decade.
So, in 2020 we will gain further majorities in the house and senate, redistrict in our favor, we will be in the middle of an economy that out performs all other nations, 2 SCOTUS or more will be seated in our favor, 300-400 Federal judges are seated Obamacare/Check, Tax Policy/Check, The Wall/Check, Fair Trade/Check, ISIS Dead/Check, Russia petitions for statehood (jus kee dean), Trump Re-elected / Yuge Check.
And the dems wander the wilderness for 10 years because they stand zero chance of doing anything significant after 2020.
And the DNC is not only running an insane $3.5 million dollars in debt but, their fundraising is at the lowest in 14 years.
And they have no candidate for 2020 as yet but, their current financial or intellectual leadership.
Oh, and that Trump meme “ He’s going to step down!” Uhmmm...Boo Chit.
He’s already fundraising for his 2020 PAC with $12,000,000 cash on hand.
That’s right. After disbursements he’s got $12 million.
That’s debt free money.
Oh, and the RNC is cash flow positive with $44,000,000 in the bank.
I ask you, at this point, who is going to win?
Conclusion:
Democrats are so broke they can’t pay attention and have zero money to support any war but.
Cheap azz Chinese knockoff of an intellect.
So, get use to Donald Trump being president for 8 years.
Now if we could just get rid of the Vichy Republicans like McCain, Graham, Collins, Murkowski, etc.
Exactly, I want to read a headline saying the old anti-Trump GOP is having the same problem.
Exactly, I want to read a headline saying the old anti-Trump GOP is having the same problem.
Fear Not!
Republicans are doing everything they can to hand democrats a big win in 2018.
“Deliver an even bigger majority in 2018 to set up redistricting in 2020.”
The good news about all of that is that right now the Republicans control both houses of the legislature in 25 states, and the Dems in only 5 (and that’s not likely to change much in the next couple of cycles). Plus, there are 33 or 34 Republican governors. So the Republicans can either dictate how the districts will look (i.e. what the demographics will be like), or at least exercise an actual or effective veto and ensure some degree of balance/fairness, in 90% of the states. Frankly, in the other 5 states, things are so far gone that it almost doesn’t matter what the Dems do there.
“In the last few decades, Democrats have expanded their advantages in California and New York — states with huge urban centers that combined to give Clinton a 6 million vote edge, more than twice her national margin. But those two states elect only 4 percent of the Senate.”
Let’s see those CA voter rolls, please.
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