Posted on 05/06/2017 5:46:36 AM PDT by Kaslin
Iraq is 3.5 times larger than the DPRK and our surveillance technology today is leaps and bounds what we had back then. The failings of the “Great Scud Hunt” led to literally decades of work to close the reasons for those failings. Dramatic shortening of the kill chain. Drones that loiter over suspect areas for nearly a day and a half. Far better optics and sensor data. On and on and on.
And the DPRK’s high altitude air defense system is stuck in the 1970s.
No, you’re not going to get them all. But direct detection and strikes are just one of the many layers to neutralize the ballistic threat.
The ROK wants the north’s military threat gone, but at the same time don’t want to have to face war with their brothers. They dream of a peacefully reunified democratic Korea (although the younger generations increasingly care less about reunification than the older generations). Liberal ROK leaders generally try reaching out with olive branches, which the DPRK exploits. For example, they’ll send aid, which the DPRK never tells their people that it came from the ROK, and instead pretends that __they’re__ the ones sending the __ROK__ aid. At one point the ROK built a joint industrial complex in the DPRK; just a couple years later relations worsened and the DPRK seized the complex; now they’re looting all of the buildings and selling the hardware from them. It’s the same story every time.
The ROK tries to maintain enough military threat (including alliance with the US) that even if the DPRK launches a very painful initial attack, it’s ultimately Pyongyang that will fall, not Seoul - thus preventing one of the main national goals of the DPRK, reunification of Korea under the control of the Kims. The Kims will not give up on their long term goal, however, and they know that ultimately it requires getting the US to abandon them. And that this requires ICBMs and thermonuclear weapons that the US can’t stop, in order to blackmail the US into leaving the Korean peninsula - knowing that the US will always be more afraid oflosing its cities than they are afraid of losing their cities. So they’re not going to abandon their nuclear and missile programs, no matter what the cost.
If an EMP hits where will the working radio’s be to receive their broadcasts?
Study it.
Search by "EMP" and "congressional report".
It is real and FAR from exaggerated.
If anything the consequences will be worse.
Today all the most significant deficiencies in capability are at the leadership level.
I have studied it. That is why I suspect it is exaggerated. I wasn’t just idly making a comment.
Well, he's learned the DC game well, obviously.
I don’t believe the predictions about the EMP or a presumptive North Korean attack on the United States. Nine out of ten Americans dead? Sure, that’s the premise of “One Second After.” Maybe it’ll be that way. Maybe not.
My concern is the unexpected and unpredictable consequences of those actions. If history is any guide, it’s that once something like war is initiated, there will be events that very few people foresee. Attacking the United States with a nuclear weapon in any form could produce any result from a Carthage-style elimination to the creation of a worldwide Pax Americana empire. Who the hell knows? Certainly not me. I think the fear of an unpredictable result is the thing holding people back, and Kim enjoys playing the role of the rouge madman.
Good to read this article, though, as a way for me to see what the prognosticators are thinking about at the current time.
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