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Why Italy Matters [AFTER BREXIT & TRUMP, IT'S NOW "ITALY FIRST"]
Investors Business Daily ^ | 11/30/2016 | ROBERT J. SAMUELSON

Posted on 12/02/2016 3:01:26 AM PST by expat_panama

Italy may be the next stop on the world's journey to more economic nationalism. First we had Brexit — Britain's decision to leave the European Union. Then we had the election of Donald Trump as the next U.S. president, pledging to put "America first" in his policies. Now Italy may be treading down the same path.

What's at issue is a constitutional referendum, scheduled for Dec. 4, that would make it easier for the parliament to pass measures intended to improve a lackluster economy. But the latest polls suggest the referendum will fail, placing Italy in a precarious economic and political position.

Almost everyone agrees that Italy's economic performance needs help. According to figures from the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), growth of the economy has been limping along at less than 1% annually, while unemployment is about 11.5%. Government debt is 132% of GDP.

In an ideal world, faster economic growth would enable Italy to pay down its debt and reduce unemployment. But Italy's political system is "gridlocked," says Jacob Funk Kirkegaard of the Peterson Institute, a U.S. think tank.

It's hard to loosen the economy's shackles. The legislature has upper and lower houses that must pass identical bills...

...A widely agreed vulnerability is Italy's banking system, which is heavily invested in weak loans and Italian government debt. According to the OECD, about 18% of banks' business loans are "non-performing," meaning interest or principle aren't being paid on time.

"If you have a crisis in the Italian banking sector," said economist Megan Greene of Manulife Asset Management on CNBC, the business-news cable channel, "that could spread across Europe."...

(Excerpt) Read more at investors.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: economy; euro; investing

1 posted on 12/02/2016 3:01:26 AM PST by expat_panama
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To: expat_panama

[snip] But the latest polls suggest the referendum will fail, [snip]

We shall see if this is the same broken record. Polls created to suppress the voting opposition.


2 posted on 12/02/2016 3:22:07 AM PST by mazda77
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To: mazda77
But the latest polls suggest the referendum will fail

Italian politics are always confusing to outsiders, but it seems to me that we American conservatives would want this referendum to fail if it does, in fact, lead to further weakness in the European Union superstate.

3 posted on 12/02/2016 3:58:42 AM PST by Avalon Memories (Deplorables of the world, unite!)
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To: expat_panama

Vote is on Sunday.

YES= Gov’t doing good job. We want them to have more power.
NO = Current Gov’t sucks. We want change.

This is my understanding of the whole thing, anyway.


4 posted on 12/02/2016 4:02:42 AM PST by ToastedHead
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To: Avalon Memories
Italian politics are always confusing to outsiders, but it seems to me that we American conservatives would want this referendum to fail if it does, in fact, lead to further weakness in the European Union superstate.

Italy has a very active Communist Party as part of the mix which helps make it a bit more incomprehensible to us - at least we have a respite in our journey in their direction.

5 posted on 12/02/2016 4:12:51 AM PST by trebb (Where in the the hell has my country gone?)
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To: expat_panama

Italy’s exit of the EU should be called “Italeave”


6 posted on 12/02/2016 4:24:13 AM PST by LydiaLong
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To: Avalon Memories
...but it seems to me that we American conservatives would want this referendum to fail if it does, in fact, lead to further weakness in the European Union superstate.

Why would any Conservative support a superstate that squelches national identity, culture and individualism?

That's exactly what the EU does to member states.

7 posted on 12/02/2016 4:31:39 AM PST by usconservative (When The Ballot Box No Longer Counts, The Ammunition Box Does. (What's In Your Ammo Box?))
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To: expat_panama

The Obama admin has had people screwing with other foreign elections. Wonder if they have anyone on the ground in Italy for this one...


8 posted on 12/02/2016 4:35:24 AM PST by mewzilla (I'll vote for the first guy who promises to mail in his SOTU addresses.)
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To: expat_panama; All

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-12-01/how-december-4th-could-trigger-most-violent-economic-shock-history


9 posted on 12/02/2016 5:18:56 AM PST by PGalt
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To: expat_panama

Later


10 posted on 12/02/2016 5:32:00 AM PST by wjcsux ("In a time of universal deceit, telling the truth becomes a revolutionary act." - George Orwell)
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To: expat_panama

We want a “no” vote.


11 posted on 12/02/2016 5:37:43 AM PST by KyCats
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To: expat_panama

What took them so long? France will come shortly after Italy...


12 posted on 12/02/2016 5:42:25 AM PST by Hotlanta Mike ('You can avoid reality, but you can't avoid the consequences of avoiding reality.")
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To: PGalt

Thanks for the link! I’ve been reading a lot of articles, Italian, domestic on the referendum. And I can’t find one that isn’t a load of biased, fear-mongering swill.


13 posted on 12/02/2016 5:58:20 AM PST by mewzilla (I'll vote for the first guy who promises to mail in his SOTU addresses.)
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To: LydiaLong
Italy’s exit of the EU should be called “Italeave”

Or use Italian and make it Ciaotalia!

14 posted on 12/02/2016 6:19:30 AM PST by Moltke (Reasoning with a liberal is like watering a rock in the hope to grow a building)
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To: LydiaLong
Italy’s exit of the EU should be called “Italeave”

THAT'S PERFECT!

[Wife loved it too...]

15 posted on 12/02/2016 6:28:07 AM PST by expat_panama
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To: Moltke

Or use Italian and make it Ciaotalia!
________________

Or arrivedercitaly...


16 posted on 12/02/2016 6:41:47 AM PST by LydiaLong
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To: expat_panama

Anti-globalism on the march...nice!


17 posted on 12/02/2016 6:53:52 AM PST by freepertoo
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To: LydiaLong
Italy’s exit of the EU should be called “Italeave”

How about "PartItalia"?

18 posted on 12/02/2016 8:33:57 AM PST by Family Guy (A society's first line of defense is not the law but customs, traditions and moral values. -Williams)
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To: expat_panama
Cosí pregiamo.
19 posted on 12/02/2016 11:38:35 AM PST by Albion Wilde ("Americanism, not globalism, will be our credo."--Donald Trump)
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To: Family Guy
Italiucita (ee-tal-yoos-KEY-ta — Italy exit).
20 posted on 12/02/2016 11:41:41 AM PST by Albion Wilde ("Americanism, not globalism, will be our credo."--Donald Trump)
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