Replies

“Where are you getting the GA prez vote by congressional district from?”

I got the GA presidential vote by CD from the moonbats at Daily Kos, who once again are crunching all the numbers so that we don’t have to do so. They already have up CD presidential data for AR, CT, GA, HI, ID, KY, LA, MN, NH, NM, NV, OK, SC, UT and VA; for some reason, they don’t have CD numbers up for ME or NE, which Dave Leip already has made available.

Here’s the link; it should go without saying that there’s a barf alert for all of the articles on the website:

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/11/19/1163009/-Daily-Kos-Elections-presidential-results-by-congressional-district-for-the-2012-2008-elections

“Will was a lot closer, only a 6 point win, Will never votes more Republican than DuPage.”

And Bucks County never votes more Republican than Chester. Obviously, Will County and Bucks County have a larger percentage of blue-collar voters than do DuPage and Chester. Obviously, Donald Trump was not a typical Republican candidate; hopefully he’ll prove to be an economic conservative (albeit with a populist tinge) in office and we’ll get those upper-middle-class and upper-class conservative Republicans back in the fold, which would give us clear majorities in enough states to get 350+ electoral votes.

David Nir of Daily Kos just put up CD presidential numbers for OH. Trump carried all 12 GOP-held CDs, and outperformed Romney in 13 of the 16 CDs in the state (all but the Cincinnati-based OH-01 represented by Republican Steve Chabot; where Trump got 51.2% to Romney’s 52.4%, the Columbus-based OH-03 represented by Democrat Joyce Beatty, where Trump got 28.6% to Romney’s 28.9%; and the suburban-Columbus OH-12 represented by Republican Patrick Tiberi, where Trump got 53.2% to Romney’s 54.4%.

There was some speculation that Trump may have carried the Mahoning Valley-to-Akron OH-13 represented by Democrat Tim Ryan (in fact, Nancy Pelosi scoffed at Tim Ryan’s challenge for the Minority Leader position by saying that Ryan wasn’t even able to help Hillary carry his own district), but the less Democrat parts of Mahoning and Trumbull Counties lie outside the CD and apparently the Akron precincts in the district went strongly enough for Hillary that she was able to carry the district by 51.1% to 44.6%. But Hillary’s 6.5% margin was a huge drop from Obama’s 27.5% margin in 2012, and Trump’s 9.2% outperformance of Romney was his second-best among OH CDs (Trump outperformed Romney by a whopping 14.1% in the OH-06, represented by Republican Bill Johnson (but formerly held by Democrat ex-Gov. Ted Strickland, who got trounced by Rob Portman in the Senate race both statewide and in the district) that runs along the Ohio River from Portsmouth to Poland (or thereabouts).

Here’s the presidential-vote-by-CD link once again: http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/11/19/1163009/-Daily-Kos-Elections-presidential-results-by-congressional-district-for-the-2012-2008-elections