Posted on 11/11/2016 8:38:43 AM PST by edwinland
In the run-up to Election Day, we wondered whether more voters than normal would split their tickets because of Donald Trump’s unique candidacy, perhaps voting for Republicans down-ballot but for Hillary Clinton in the presidential contest. Republican Senate candidates, unsure of how to deal with Trump, tried different approaches — endorsing him, disavowing him, refusing to say whom they’d vote for. In the end, it didn’t matter. Every state that elected a Republican candidate for Senate voted for Trump, and every state that elected a Democratic Senate candidate voted for Clinton.
The 2016 Senate elections were the most nationalized ever.
...
Instead, one of the clearest trends in recent American politics — growing polarization and partisanship — accelerated. Most voters have sorted themselves into two camps: liberal Democrats and conservative Republicans. This trend is apparent up and down the ballot to a degree that we’ve never seen before.
(Excerpt) Read more at fivethirtyeight.com ...
More than ever before, Republicans voted straight ticket. That means (depending on the State) Republicans voted against a female democrat presidential candidate, then they voted against a male or female democrat Senate candidate, then they voted against a male or female Democratic House candidate etc. etc.
Sorry, New York Times, but when Republicans vote against all democrat men and women, the connecting thread is not sexism.
Next, more than ever before, Democrats voted straight ticket. That means that (depending on the State) Democrats voted for a female democrat presidential candidate, then they voted for a male or female democrat Senate candidate, then they voted for a male or female House candidate etc. etc.
The connecting thread is not the desire for women to break glass ceilings; it's polarization.
If a large number of voters voted for male Democrat Senators and Representatives then voted against the one female Democrat on the ballot, the New York Times and their ilk could *start* to make a statistical case for sexism. (And even then you'd have to somehow exclude factors like emails and pay to play from the equation).
But it didn't happen so they can't. But of course that won't stop them.
Next election - we need to remember RCP, 538 and most polls are Rat propaganda. Polls can be true, if done properly, but the vast majority are designed to be pure Rat propaganda. That includes RCP and 538.
Rep. Hank Johnson, Dumbass-Georgia, put out a press release expressing his relief that the country did not tip over as so many states in the middle part were flipped.
A lot of people are ready to vote for a woman.
A lot of them would even vote for a Democrat woman.
They just did not want to vote for THAT woman.
Georgia gets quality crazy from their democrats.
If you take out California results of 2.5M+ votes for Hillary, she lost badly in the rest of the country.
Embarrassing
translation: Enough potheads have moved to Colorado to where it is no longer purple.
This was a turnout election—A Democrat turnout election.
As many here predicted a lot of Democrats stayed home, just like they do in mid-year elections.
Hillary’s negative ads kept them home.
Hillary’s corruption kept them home.
Hillary’s white skin kept black voters home.
This campaign was a referendum on Hillary.
Vigo County was somewhat skewed as the national bellwether.
Trump won by a landslide in every Red State but he won swing states by narrow margins.
Had swing states voted as Red States did, Trump would have won the popular vote as well.
Data shows Republican senators out performed Trump by 1%.
As he gets down to it he either going to prove his critic and hater very wrong and become very populate in the next two years.. or... he will be a total bust and his popularity will drop dramatically
The other thing is depending on the way he governs this change will not be in the middle...
some of his biggest hater could do total flip and love the guy...
and some of his strongest supporters could do the same flip and hate him
We all owe Nate Silver and his 538 site an immense debt of gratitude for keeping the MSM and the Democrat party in the dark about who was really winning the election. If the Democrats had any inkling at all that they would lose the White House and the Senate don’t you think they would have been fighting tooth and nail to get Garland confirmed to the USSC? Props to the lying Polls!
In California, Arnold Schwarzenegger was a celebrity governor who ended up doing nothing. Trump is a doer, he has been one for years, and I don't believe he'll break that pattern.
No purple States but plenty of sane folks with the proverbial purple fingers....
Yeah, hell he could be Governor here in IL ;-)
Just had to share these Election Day anecdotes with you.
A.M. Overheard two girls discussing Hillary Clinton's chances and excitedly referring to the 538 Web site.
P.M. (early evening) Overheard an angry twentysomething guy on his cell phone saying "But 538.com said... that can't be wrong...." (he was livid).
Boy oh boy.
From the article: “It’s how close the presidential and Senate votes were within states.”
If the votes were close, the state is purple. I’m pretty sure that if you break it down by precinct, there will be a lot of purple within counties and the states.
These articles on how Trump won are becoming tiresome and might be fueling the George Soros fires of protest against that victory. Respect for our Constitutional elections are going by the wayside because of these protests...all Governors should make their states stand for the United States Constitution and make these sorts of protests illegal as they are protests against the rule of law.
I’ll defend Nate just a bit. He is working with what he has. He took a lot of punishment for giving Trump even a 30% chance. Sure he’s a lib that wanted Trump to lose, but he may have presented one of the least biased aggregate models of 2016.
If nothing else, 2016 proves computer modelling is really nothing more than voodoo with a CPU. I am looking at you, global warming models!
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.